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Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-79
32-37 36-42
Position#320
Record8-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#109
Record17-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Buffalo
31 Dec 2025
NORT67
BUFF81
11 Feb 2025
NORT67
BUFF73
13 Feb 2024
NORT72
BUFF68
28 Feb 2023
NORT75
BUFF85
24 Feb 2022
NORT68
BUFF79
23 Feb 2021
NORT74
BUFF102
23 Jan 2021
NORT v BUFF
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
72-100
72
100
-28
H12/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A16/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
40-41
28-33
35-36
38-30
37-26
31-35
34-52
33-35
31-35
35-53
37-47
27-27
37-31
22-25
44-38
38-37
37-41
34-40
38-34
141.2Avg total
68.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)64.772.2136.9-7.531%
Season at home (8)69.574.8144.2-5.225%
Season away (18)62.671.1133.6-8.533%
Last 10 (10)68.372.9141.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)69.874.6144.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)65.778.3144.0-12.623%
vs Similar (6)64.065.0129.0-1.033%
vs Weaker (2)62.552.0114.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
53-74
53
74
-21
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
112-85
112
85
+27
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
30-27
41-41
34-45
20-37
33-37
34-27
40-27
50-35
52-29
38-36
42-38
51-38
61-47
38-30
45-39
33-38
54-35
45-40
41-44
153.0Avg total
81.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.672.3153.9+9.368%
Season at home (11)84.169.6153.7+14.573%
Season away (14)79.674.4154.1+5.264%
Last 10 (10)81.671.4153.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)89.677.0166.6+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar (10)71.371.8143.1-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.772.6158.3+13.182%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
Northern IllinoisBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#237
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H12/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/02
NCAA
66.1Avg total
31.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.235.164.3-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.036.568.5-4.530%-
Last 30 away (20)27.934.462.2-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)31.334.866.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.236.467.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.436.866.2-7.418%-
vs Similar (6)29.732.261.8-2.533%-
vs Weaker (2)26.025.051.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#68
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Toledo
#21
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
38.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.271.2+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.832.769.5+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)37.335.772.9+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.673.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.477.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (10)30.833.264.0-2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.034.974.9+5.176%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
1
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
23/02/21Northern Illinois v Buffalo74-102
04/01/20Buffalo v Northern Illinois72-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/22AEastern Michigan72-74
19/02/22HMiami (Ohio)75-78
18/02/22AAkron66-63
16/02/22ABall State64-58
12/02/22HToledo72-100
09/02/22HAkron64-70
05/02/22ABowling Green65-87
02/02/22AWestern Michigan75-56
29/01/22HCentral Michigan63-69
28/01/22HBall State67-74
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/22AMiami (Ohio)86-84
19/02/22HWestern Michigan87-73
17/02/22AEastern Michigan83-69
16/02/22ABowling Green112-85
12/02/22HBall State80-74
09/02/22HEastern Michigan102-64
05/02/22ACentral Michigan74-54
29/01/22HOhio53-74
26/01/22AToledo75-86
22/01/22HKent State64-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26818
Win %31%25%33%
Points / game64.769.562.6
Allowed / game72.274.871.1
Point differential-7.5-5.2-8.5
Avg total136.9144.2133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game81.684.179.6
Allowed / game72.369.674.4
Point differential+9.3+14.5+5.2
Avg total153.9153.7154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio2823582%74.566.4+8.0
2 Toledo2822679%80.468.4+12.1
3 Buffalo2517868%81.672.3+9.3
4 Akron2718967%70.662.6+8.1
5 Kent State2718967%71.564.1+7.4
6 UMass26121446%75.177.7-2.6
7 Ball State27121544%75.577.7-2.2
8 Miami (Ohio)28121643%75.373.4+2.0
9 Bowling Green28121643%81.680.1+1.5
10 Eastern Michigan28101836%69.976.2-6.4
11 Northern Illinois2681831%64.772.2-7.5
12 Central Michigan2671927%66.178.2-12.0
13 Western Michigan2862221%64.876.4-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois323668
Buffalo374279
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