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Norths Bears vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 97-86
25-26 16-17 25-24 31-19
Position#4
Record3-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#16
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game87.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Norths Bears v Penrith P.
10 May 2025
NORT97
PENR86
11 May 2024
NORT96
PENR86
15 Apr 2023
NORT113
PENR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H12/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A13/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A05/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A13/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A03/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
29-20
31-14
23-30
24-26
14-22
26-19
21-20
15-18
21-26
17-30
21-28
16-20
14-21
19-28
21-17
25-23
16-17
12-17
8-23
17-21
13-20
20-14
13-26
21-15
14-18
19-17
23-15
11-19
22-6
20-16
12-19
23-20
24-17
16-18
21-20
23-17
20-21
18-21
15-18
154.7Avg total
75.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.974.9145.7-4.043%
Season at home (2)73.578.0151.5-4.550%
Season away (5)69.873.6143.4-3.840%
Last 10 (10)75.379.4154.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)73.071.6144.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.191.5172.6-10.410%
vs Similar (9)71.477.9149.3-6.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.277.5166.6+11.791%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
L
71-102
71
102
-31
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
90-114
90
114
-24
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
91-100
91
100
-9
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
55-96
55
96
-41
A26/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
25-30
18-28
16-24
17-15
20-29
14-31
30-23
21-32
21-33
27-23
21-26
16-17
23-23
22-21
17-20
23-11
24-20
25-19
12-22
19-25
16-21
22-10
28-26
25-28
16-21
27-25
23-26
12-31
14-25
14-21
15-19
19-33
19-29
12-18
22-28
11-22
21-19
20-19
12-15
169.9Avg total
77.1Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.687.7163.3-12.129%
Season at home (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
Season away (5)72.092.0164.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)77.192.8169.9-15.720%
Last 5 (5)73.492.2165.6-18.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.996.1175.1-17.27%
vs Similar (2)86.590.0176.5-3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
Norths BearsPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H12/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H12/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A03/05
NBL1 East
76.1Avg total
37.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.982.0+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.944.286.1-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)40.437.978.4+2.569%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.476.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.872.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.845.387.1-3.520%-
vs Similar (9)37.940.278.1-2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.237.480.5+5.882%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A13/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A29/03
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A26/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East
85.8Avg total
37.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.848.086.8-9.223%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.346.685.9-7.336%-
Last 30 away (16)38.449.387.7-10.912%-
Last 10 (10)37.448.485.8-11.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.450.885.2-16.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.447.886.2-9.421%-
vs Similar (2)44.051.595.5-7.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Norths Bears wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
06/07/24Penrith P. v Norths Bears81-98
11/05/24Norths Bears v Penrith P.96-86
15/07/23Penrith P. v Norths Bears80-108
15/04/23Norths Bears v Penrith P.113-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AHills Hornets76-77
27/04/25HSutherland Sharks84-75
25/04/25ASydney Comets65-60
13/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders77-65
12/04/25HCanberra63-81
05/04/25AManly W.61-80
29/03/25ABankstown Bruins70-86
13/07/24AHills Hornets74-102
12/07/24HManly W.85-87
06/07/24APenrith P.98-81
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ASydney Comets64-75
27/04/25ACanberra72-108
26/04/25ABA CoE55-96
12/04/25AInner West Bulls91-100
11/04/25HHills Hornets85-82
06/04/25HManly W.84-72
29/03/25ASutherland Sharks78-81
13/07/24AInner West Bulls90-114
06/07/24HNorths Bears81-98
05/07/24HSydney Comets71-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game70.973.569.8
Allowed / game74.978.073.6
Point differential-4.0-4.5-3.8
Avg total145.7151.5143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%100%0%
Points / game75.684.572.0
Allowed / game87.777.092.0
Point differential-12.1+7.5-20.0
Avg total163.3161.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra660100%97.276.2+21.0
2 BA CoE76186%89.066.7+22.3
3 Sutherland Sharks65183%85.076.3+8.7
4 Maitland M.64267%87.380.5+6.8
5 Illawarra Hawks 264267%83.581.0+2.5
6 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
7 Inner West Bulls63350%88.787.8+0.8
8 Hills Hornets73443%75.775.3+0.4
9 Manly W.73443%77.078.6-1.6
10 Norths Bears73443%70.974.9-4.0
11 Bankstown Bruins73443%77.385.0-7.7
12 Newcastle Falcons62433%75.877.2-1.3
13 Central Coast Crusaders62433%78.281.5-3.3
14 Penrith P.72529%75.687.7-12.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits61517%70.791.5-20.8
16 Hornsby S.6060%73.891.3-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norths Bears2516253197
Penrith P.2617241986
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