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Norths Bears vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 96-86
23-22 22-21 23-15 28-28
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game93.4
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Norths Bears v Penrith P.
10 May 2025
NORT97
PENR86
11 May 2024
NORT96
PENR86
15 Apr 2023
NORT113
PENR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A22/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H29/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H28/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
89-112
89
112
-23
H04/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A05/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
25-21
18-28
22-17
18-17
24-17
22-15
21-22
18-30
18-23
15-11
15-21
21-20
17-16
18-15
14-20
20-11
16-23
14-1
22-19
26-25
18-27
18-18
19-18
16-24
32-16
23-22
18-26
14-24
19-14
19-11
26-13
23-29
25-30
20-20
21-33
19-24
22-18
10-25
19-16
157.9Avg total
77.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.479.7158.1-1.343%
Season at home (3)79.776.0155.7+3.767%
Season away (4)77.582.5160.0-5.025%
Last 10 (10)77.880.1157.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)81.486.6168.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.393.7174.0-13.429%
vs Similar (13)77.978.0155.9-0.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.771.9163.6+19.8100%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#5
L
80-108
80
108
-28
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H04/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
17-26
26-27
18-27
21-29
19-20
21-21
16-25
15-21
12-33
31-21
28-18
12-26
21-15
22-20
18-26
22-26
22-27
29-34
22-25
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
18-26
21-31
34-14
22-21
19-36
19-24
25-23
15-26
21-19
16-17
11-23
17-21
23-15
15-21
15-26
17-24
174.6Avg total
79.6Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.093.4172.4-14.414%
Season at home (3)71.091.7162.7-20.70%
Season away (4)85.094.8179.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)79.695.0174.6-15.410%
Last 5 (5)77.091.0168.0-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.294.1167.3-20.911%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
Norths BearsPenrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H29/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A06/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H04/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A05/05
NBL1 East
83.4Avg total
40.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.282.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.582.2-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.982.5+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.047.489.4-5.429%-
vs Similar (13)38.843.582.3-4.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.633.877.4+9.880%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/05
NBL1 East
83.8Avg total
36.4Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.749.484.0-14.711%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.548.283.7-12.815%-
Last 30 away (15)34.050.384.3-16.37%-
Last 10 (10)36.447.483.8-11.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.681.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.549.183.6-14.611%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Norths Bears wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
15/07/23Penrith P. v Norths Bears80-108
15/04/23Norths Bears v Penrith P.113-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ABA CoE70-83
04/05/24HInner West Bulls89-112
28/04/24HSutherland Sharks78-62
25/04/24ASydney Comets89-88
20/04/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits81-88
13/04/24HHills Hornets72-54
06/04/24ABankstown Bruins70-71
29/07/23HSutherland Sharks66-85
23/07/23HSydney Comets85-71
22/07/23AInner West Bulls78-87
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HCanberra70-86
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons65-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets78-109
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks95-92
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88
14/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders95-112
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks73-87
23/07/23AInner West Bulls86-93
22/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders77-95
15/07/23HNorths Bears80-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game78.479.777.5
Allowed / game79.776.082.5
Point differential-1.3+3.7-5.0
Avg total158.1155.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game79.071.085.0
Allowed / game93.491.794.8
Point differential-14.4-20.7-9.8
Avg total172.4162.7179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.770100%98.475.7+22.7
2 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
3 Inner West Bulls87188%95.878.5+17.2
4 Manly W.54180%95.880.2+15.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits75271%95.088.9+6.1
6 BA CoE74357%83.977.9+6.0
7 Bankstown Bruins74357%76.774.3+2.4
8 Hills Hornets74357%83.682.7+0.9
9 Sydney Comets84450%80.579.9+0.6
10 Norths Bears73443%78.479.7-1.3
11 Sutherland Sharks83538%80.884.0-3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
13 Newcastle Falcons82625%67.878.5-10.8
14 Penrith P.71614%79.093.4-14.4
15 Hornsby S.8080%73.094.9-21.9
16 Illawarra Hawks7070%75.0103.4-28.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norths Bears2322232896
Penrith P.2221152886
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