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Northwestern St. vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 97-71
38-35 59-36
Position#334
Record2-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#343
Record5-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Incarnate Word
16 Jan 2027
NORT v INCA
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
NORT54
INCA49
03 Mar 2025
NORT73
INCA57
13 Jan 2024
NORT97
INCA71
01 Mar 2023
NORT81
INCA64
27 Jan 2022
NORT79
INCA70
07 Jan 2022
NORT83
INCA80
06 Jan 2021
NORT67
INCA75
12 Feb 2020
NORT70
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#232
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
40-91
40
91
-51
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A09/12
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
54-95
54
95
-41
A13/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
51-76
51
76
-25
H16/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H20/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
55-96
55
96
-41
A30/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
40-47
39-28
31-46
14-40
26-51
25-36
49-47
30-45
24-50
24-34
27-42
59-33
40-42
21-47
34-49
33-39
37-51
26-31
33-37
147.3Avg total
64.7Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.581.5150.0-12.913%
Season at home (6)74.274.5148.7-0.333%
Season away (9)64.886.1150.9-21.30%
Last 10 (10)64.782.6147.3-17.910%
Last 5 (5)66.881.0147.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.684.7150.3-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (4)73.276.8150.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (13)82.167.7149.8+14.492%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
47-57
29-38
36-29
40-40
42-56
36-36
39-40
34-37
23-43
36-32
31-34
41-37
33-40
45-31
38-43
29-38
36-37
18-37
41-38
148.3Avg total
70.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.777.3150.9-3.633%
Season at home (5)78.870.8149.6+8.060%
Season away (10)71.180.5151.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)70.777.6148.3-6.920%
Last 5 (5)69.673.4143.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.576.9146.5-7.427%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.276.2150.3-2.038%
vs Weaker (1)104.063.0167.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -12.1-12.12nd half: -5.1-5.1
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: -12.1-12.12nd half: -5.1-5.1
Northwestern St.Incarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#232
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A18/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A29/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A02/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A09/12
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A13/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H20/12
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A30/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H09/01
NCAA
67.0Avg total
30.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.570.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.832.571.4+6.362%-
Last 30 away (17)33.436.169.5-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)30.636.467.0-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.869.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.438.568.8-8.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)41.730.672.3+11.192%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Our Lady Of The Lake
#384
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A09/01
NCAA
70.0Avg total
34.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.969.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.432.869.2+3.554%-
Last 30 away (17)33.936.570.4-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)34.135.970.0-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.068.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.936.568.4-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.134.270.3+1.854%-
vs Weaker (1)56.024.080.0+32.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HMcNeese State59-68
07/01/24ALamar70-90
30/12/23ALSU55-96
20/12/23HSouthern-New O.99-75
16/12/23HRice51-76
13/12/23ABoise State54-95
09/12/23ASouthern Miss74-83
02/12/23ABaylor40-91
29/11/23ALouisiana Monroe70-74
18/11/23APresbyterian75-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24ALamar59-75
06/01/24HTexas A&M-CC65-75
03/01/24HOur Lady Of The Lake83-74
31/12/23AUTRGV74-77
21/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)67-66
13/12/23ARice57-80
09/12/23HNorthern Arizona75-76
02/12/23ABethune-Cookman82-96
26/11/23AJacksonville State65-67
25/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %13%33%0%
Points / game68.574.264.8
Allowed / game81.574.586.1
Point differential-12.9-0.3-21.3
Avg total150.0148.7150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %33%60%20%
Points / game73.778.871.1
Allowed / game77.370.880.5
Point differential-3.6+8.0-9.4
Avg total150.9149.6151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1513287%79.459.7+19.7
2 Stephen F. Austin1610662%78.969.4+9.4
3 Texas A&M-CC159660%77.166.4+10.7
4 Lamar158753%82.576.2+6.3
5 Nicholls State157847%73.575.9-2.4
6 New Orleans156940%74.976.9-2.1
7 SE Louisiana156940%67.871.5-3.7
8 TX A&M Commerce1661038%73.974.3-0.4
9 Incarnate Word1551033%73.777.3-3.6
10 UTRGV1651131%75.480.3-4.9
11 Houston Christian1431121%70.682.8-12.2
12 Northwestern St.1521313%68.581.5-12.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern St.385997
Incarnate Word353671
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