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Northwestern St. vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 54-49
0-0 18-23 0-0 36-26
Position#331
Record9-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#287
Record11-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northwestern St. v Incarnate Word
16 Jan 2027
NORT v INCA
upcoming
23 Feb 2026
NORT54
INCA49
03 Mar 2025
NORT73
INCA57
13 Jan 2024
NORT97
INCA71
01 Mar 2023
NORT81
INCA64
27 Jan 2022
NORT79
INCA70
07 Jan 2022
NORT83
INCA80
06 Jan 2021
NORT67
INCA75
12 Feb 2020
NORT70
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A20/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A27/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A31/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H05/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H14/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-41
0-0
36-41
0-0
32-37
0-0
35-32
0-0
30-33
0-0
34-42
0-0
20-34
0-0
38-27
0-0
31-27
0-0
37-47
0-0
19-29
0-0
29-23
0-0
37-33
0-0
33-35
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-31
0-0
29-43
0-0
35-32
0-0
37-25
0-0
34-28
133.4Avg total
65.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.173.6143.8-3.532%
Season at home (13)72.968.7141.6+4.254%
Season away (15)67.777.9145.6-10.313%
Last 10 (10)65.967.5133.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)64.462.8127.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.377.5143.8-11.224%
vs Similar (10)68.067.3135.3+0.740%
vs Weaker (3)95.372.3167.7+23.067%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Texas A&M
#316
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-38
0-0
29-42
0-0
22-37
0-0
49-42
0-0
41-31
0-0
34-50
0-0
42-44
0-0
51-62
0-0
32-26
0-0
39-43
0-0
30-30
0-0
34-51
0-0
26-40
0-0
36-34
0-0
30-46
0-0
53-45
0-0
28-39
0-0
36-39
0-0
43-39
0-0
39-34
153.5Avg total
72.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.574.8150.3+0.639%
Season at home (14)83.973.8157.7+10.164%
Season away (14)67.075.9142.9-8.914%
Last 10 (10)72.381.2153.5-8.920%
Last 5 (5)71.079.4150.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.578.6147.1-10.218%
vs Similar (7)69.975.9145.7-6.014%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.370.0154.3+14.375%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
Northwestern St.Incarnate Word
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#297
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H03/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A07/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H17/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
31.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.936.968.8-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.534.968.4-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)30.538.869.2-8.219%-
Last 10 (10)31.133.764.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.063.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.639.670.3-9.018%-
vs Similar (10)30.333.663.9-3.330%-
vs Weaker (3)44.332.777.0+11.767%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Texas A&M
#316
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A07/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.768.3-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.473.3+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)30.034.064.0-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)32.337.069.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.870.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.135.865.9-5.727%-
vs Similar (7)27.934.061.9-6.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.334.074.3+6.375%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HHouston Christian71-53
17/02/26HMcNeese State64-75
14/02/26HSE Louisiana69-66
10/02/26ALamar70-68
07/02/26AEast Texas A&M48-52
05/02/26HEast Texas A&M68-74
03/02/26HNicholls State58-61
31/01/26ANew Orleans64-75
27/01/26AStephen F. Austin67-69
20/01/26AHouston Christian80-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AEast Texas A&M82-73
17/02/26HNew Orleans64-78
14/02/26HNicholls State83-91
10/02/26ASE Louisiana62-74
07/02/26AMcNeese State64-81
03/02/26ATexas A&M-CC71-69
31/01/26HUTRGV93-106
28/01/26AHouston Christian75-81
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
19/01/26HEast Texas A&M58-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW32%
HomeLLWLW54%
AwayLLLLW13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%54%13%
Points / game70.172.967.7
Allowed / game73.668.777.9
Point differential-3.5+4.2-10.3
Avg total143.8141.6145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)60% (5)14% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeLLLLL64%
AwayLWLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%64%14%
Points / game75.583.967.0
Allowed / game74.873.875.9
Point differential+0.6+10.1-8.9
Avg total150.3157.7142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2825389%77.765.8+11.9
2 McNeese State2823582%80.966.4+14.5
3 UTRGV26151158%75.869.3+6.5
4 Texas A&M-CC29151452%72.668.4+4.2
5 New Orleans29141548%76.678.7-2.0
6 Lamar29121741%70.868.8+2.0
7 Nicholls State29121741%73.376.0-2.7
8 Incarnate Word28111739%75.574.8+0.6
9 Houston Christian28101836%67.472.8-5.4
10 Northwestern St.2891932%70.173.6-3.5
11 SE Louisiana2982128%64.670.3-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Northwestern St.01803654
Incarnate Word02302649
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