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Northwestern vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-74
31-29 52-45
Position#191
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#154
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern v Illinois (Chi.)
12 Nov 2024
NORT83
ILLI74
20 Dec 2022
NORT92
ILLI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H23/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H15/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A22/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H05/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
39-28
29-24
39-37
37-36
43-51
25-20
24-33
53-41
37-25
29-33
32-37
19-20
39-38
18-40
40-35
51-15
39-31
32-24
34-47
137.1Avg total
71.5Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.058.5136.5+19.550%
Season at home (1)90.046.0136.0+44.0100%
Season away (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)71.565.6137.1+5.950%
Last 5 (5)70.465.4135.8+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.886.7167.5-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.968.9140.8+3.153%
vs Weaker (9)73.459.1132.6+14.378%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H18/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A25/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
H29/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A09/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
91-43
91
43
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
45-45
32-46
28-29
36-36
52-43
29-45
44-43
44-38
39-45
31-36
28-33
41-27
22-36
25-27
22-47
51-22
40-21
34-41
57-38
155.2Avg total
77.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.061.0152.0+30.0100%
Season at home (2)91.061.0152.0+30.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.178.1155.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)74.469.4143.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.777.0147.7-6.325%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.971.9140.7-3.036%
vs Weaker (4)76.064.5140.5+11.550%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -0.3-0.3
NorthwesternIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#347
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A24/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A10/11
NCAA
61.7Avg total
33.0Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.065.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.232.171.3+7.187%-
Last 30 away (15)29.330.059.3-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)33.028.761.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)29.826.456.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.537.566.0-9.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.630.965.5+3.767%-
vs Weaker (9)37.427.064.4+10.489%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A09/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
35.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.768.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.535.072.5+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)32.432.464.8+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.870.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.430.667.0+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.133.765.8-1.642%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.634.269.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (4)41.032.073.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northwestern wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Northwestern v Illinois (Chi.)92-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24ADayton66-71
05/11/24HLehigh90-46
24/03/24AUconn58-75
22/03/24AFlorida Atlantic77-65 OT
15/03/24HWisconsin61-70
10/03/24HMinnesota90-66
07/03/24AMichigan State49-53
02/03/24HIowa80-87
29/02/24AMaryland68-61
23/02/24HMichigan76-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HYale91-79
05/11/24HSt. Francis (PA)91-43
09/03/24ABradley47-74
08/03/24ASouthern Illinois84-82 OT
03/03/24AMissouri State59-69
29/02/24HDrake105-107 OT
25/02/24AIndiana State73-88
22/02/24HEvansville88-79
18/02/24HBelmont60-75
15/02/24ABradley73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.090.066.0
Allowed / game58.546.071.0
Point differential+19.5+44.0-5.0
Avg total136.5136.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+30.0+30.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State220100%105.560.0+45.5
2 Illinois220100%101.062.5+38.5
3 Maryland330100%83.051.3+31.7
4 Indiana220100%85.058.0+27.0
5 Oregon220100%85.062.0+23.0
6 Wisconsin330100%83.761.3+22.3
7 Ohio State220100%80.559.5+21.0
8 Iowa220100%89.070.5+18.5
9 Rutgers220100%75.058.5+16.5
10 USC220100%76.060.0+16.0
11 Purdue330100%84.769.0+15.7
12 Minnesota220100%74.060.5+13.5
13 Nebraska220100%75.062.5+12.5
14 UCLA32167%73.354.0+19.3
15 Michigan State32167%82.064.7+17.3
16 Michigan21150%85.562.5+23.0
17 Northwestern21150%78.058.5+19.5
18 Washington21150%66.068.0-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake220100%79.546.0+33.5
2 Illinois (Chi.)220100%91.061.0+30.0
3 Northern Iowa32167%81.067.3+13.7
4 Murray State21150%90.560.0+30.5
5 Valparaiso21150%87.064.5+22.5
6 Evansville21150%79.564.5+15.0
7 Belmont21150%83.573.0+10.5
8 Indiana State21150%78.572.5+6.0
9 Southern Illinois21150%83.077.0+6.0
10 Bradley21150%81.075.5+5.5
11 Illinois State21150%71.067.5+3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern315283
Illinois (Chi.)294574
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