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Northwestern vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 68-79
33-38 35-41
Position#251
Record8-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#35
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Northwestern v Illinois
13 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
NORT68
ILLI79
06 Dec 2024
NORT70
ILLI66
24 Jan 2024
NORT96
ILLI91
04 Jan 2023
NORT73
ILLI60
29 Jan 2022
NORT56
ILLI59
07 Jan 2021
NORT56
ILLI81
27 Feb 2020
NORT66
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
41-47
32-55
41-30
44-40
38-46
41-24
52-29
39-30
47-40
23-29
35-32
31-28
49-32
34-34
44-50
35-28
31-48
35-33
32-34
151.0Avg total
77.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.171.2150.3+7.950%
Season at home (10)83.567.8151.3+15.770%
Season away (6)71.876.8148.7-5.017%
Last 10 (10)77.273.8151.0+3.430%
Last 5 (5)71.471.6143.0-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.576.5148.0-5.010%
vs Similar (14)73.968.9142.9+5.057%
vs Weaker (6)82.766.0148.7+16.767%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#137
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
45-42
32-43
29-31
32-34
43-28
48-42
40-38
37-37
43-46
41-25
50-23
46-25
44-30
40-26
33-39
43-16
38-39
35-24
40-45
146.5Avg total
80.1Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.067.4153.4+18.681%
Season at home (12)88.866.9155.7+21.875%
Season away (4)77.869.0146.8+8.8100%
Last 10 (10)80.166.4146.5+13.780%
Last 5 (5)82.058.4140.4+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.099.0165.0-33.00%
vs Similar (10)79.279.8159.0-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.368.5156.8+19.889%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +4.4+4.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +9.3+9.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +4.4+4.4
NorthwesternIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
35.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.067.6+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.430.567.9+6.988%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.967.1-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.069.4+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.462.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.436.268.6-3.850%-
vs Similar (14)34.631.866.4+2.964%-
vs Weaker (6)37.830.768.5+7.283%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#137
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H23/12
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A04/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H09/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A11/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
39.6Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.475.0+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.633.175.8+9.575%-
Last 30 away (10)36.536.973.4-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.630.369.9+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.023.264.2+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.055.589.5-21.50%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.573.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.830.374.2+13.589%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northwestern wins
7
Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ARutgers75-77 OT
08/01/26AMichigan State66-76
03/01/26HMinnesota78-84
30/12/25HHoward80-60
20/12/25AButler58-61
17/12/25HValparaiso86-70
13/12/25HJackson State93-53
06/12/25HOhio State82-86
04/12/25AWisconsin73-85
28/11/25HOklahoma State81-86
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AIowa75-69
09/01/26HRutgers81-55
04/01/26APenn State73-65
29/12/25HSouthern Univ.90-55
23/12/25HMissouri91-48
13/12/25HNebraska80-83
10/12/25AOhio State88-80
07/12/25ATennessee75-62
28/11/25HUconn61-74
25/11/25HUTRGV87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %50%70%17%
Points / game79.183.571.8
Allowed / game71.267.876.8
Point differential+7.9+15.7-5.0
Avg total150.3151.3148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %81%75%100%
Points / game86.088.877.8
Allowed / game67.466.969.0
Point differential+18.6+21.8+8.8
Avg total153.4155.7146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska17170100%81.765.8+15.9
2 Purdue1716194%86.068.3+17.7
3 Michigan1514193%94.668.5+26.1
4 Michigan State1715288%79.064.2+14.8
5 USC1714382%84.576.2+8.4
6 Illinois1613381%86.067.4+18.6
7 Iowa1712571%78.762.7+16.0
8 Indiana1712571%83.168.8+14.3
9 Wisconsin1712571%82.875.0+7.8
10 Ohio State1611569%83.171.9+11.2
11 UCLA1611569%78.969.1+9.8
12 Washington1610662%81.773.1+8.6
13 Minnesota1710759%73.166.8+6.4
14 Penn State169756%78.175.4+2.8
15 Rutgers179853%69.873.2-3.4
16 Northwestern168850%79.171.2+7.9
17 Oregon178947%75.474.2+1.2
18 Maryland1771041%73.278.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern333568
Illinois384179
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