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Uconn vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:09
Final 77-52
28-23 49-29
Position#5
Record34-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game63.6
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#27
Record29-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Uconn v Illinois
04 Apr 2026
UCON71
ILLI62
30 Mar 2024
UCON77
ILLI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#174
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H28/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-21
47-33
44-29
47-32
42-31
32-36
42-24
32-36
34-33
53-27
52-47
43-43
26-24
47-33
52-19
39-33
40-18
35-40
40-31
42-21
143.1Avg total
82.0Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.663.6145.1+18.092%
Season at home (23)84.560.5145.0+24.0100%
Season away (14)76.768.6145.4+8.179%
Last 10 (10)82.061.1143.1+20.9100%
Last 5 (5)83.261.8145.0+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.064.3144.3+15.790%
This opponent (Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H17/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H21/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H24/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A29/03
NCAA
1H
2H
48-45
57-52
39-37
52-46
40-34
31-43
39-29
34-32
31-29
46-45
40-51
58-36
41-40
52-47
39-38
46-31
50-26
39-37
36-26
36-43
162.1Avg total
85.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)84.273.2157.5+11.078%
Season at home (25)85.170.7155.8+14.488%
Season away (12)82.478.5160.9+3.958%
Last 10 (10)85.476.7162.1+8.790%
Last 5 (5)87.475.0162.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)81.277.9159.1+3.364%
vs Weaker (19)88.475.9164.4+12.584%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +8.3+8.32nd half: +3.9+3.9
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.6+12.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +8.3+8.32nd half: +3.9+3.9
UconnIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#174
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H24/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
40.3Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.730.168.8+8.780%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.827.866.6+11.094%-
Last 30 away (12)38.733.572.2+5.258%-
Last 10 (10)40.327.768.0+12.6100%-
Last 5 (5)42.027.869.8+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.529.968.4+8.679%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#163
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H16/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H24/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A29/03
NCAA
75.8Avg total
40.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.175.7+5.580%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.834.476.2+7.484%-
Last 30 away (11)38.536.474.9+2.273%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.575.8+4.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.277.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)38.037.575.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker (19)42.133.775.8+8.495%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Uconn wins
0
Illinois wins
No previous meetings.
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HSan Diego State82-52
24/03/24HNorthwestern75-58
22/03/24HStetson91-52
16/03/24HMarquette73-57
15/03/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)95-90
14/03/24HXavier87-60
10/03/24AProvidence74-60
07/03/24AMarquette74-67
03/03/24HSeton Hall91-61
25/02/24HVillanova78-54
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24AIowa State72-69
24/03/24HDuquesne89-63
21/03/24HMorehead State85-69
17/03/24HWisconsin93-87
16/03/24HNebraska98-87
15/03/24HOhio State77-74
10/03/24AIowa73-61
06/03/24HPurdue71-77
02/03/24AWisconsin91-83
29/02/24HMinnesota105-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372314
Win %92%100%79%
Points / game81.684.576.7
Allowed / game63.660.568.6
Point differential+18.0+24.0+8.1
Avg total145.1145.0145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372512
Win %78%88%58%
Points / game84.285.182.4
Allowed / game73.270.778.5
Point differential+11.0+14.4+3.9
Avg total157.5155.8160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %5%4%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3734392%81.663.6+18.0
2 Marquette37271073%78.169.8+8.2
3 Creighton35251071%80.469.9+10.5
4 Seton Hall32201262%72.870.2+2.6
5 Providence34211362%72.969.0+3.9
6 St. John's (N.Y.)33201361%78.871.9+6.9
7 Butler32181456%77.273.7+3.5
8 Villanova33181555%70.565.5+5.0
9 Xavier35161946%74.674.5+0.1
10 Georgetown3292328%70.877.9-7.0
11 DePaul323299%64.781.8-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3632489%83.869.4+14.3
2 Illinois3729878%84.273.2+11.0
3 Nebraska34231168%77.770.9+6.8
4 Oregon36241267%75.672.3+3.3
5 Northwestern34221265%73.369.1+4.3
6 Wisconsin36221461%74.770.0+4.7
7 Ohio State33201361%74.969.5+5.4
8 Indiana33191458%72.374.3-2.0
9 Michigan State35201557%72.966.1+6.8
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn284977
Illinois232952
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