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Northwestern vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 96-91 (OT)
34-32 42-44 20-15
Position#86
Record13-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#27
Record14-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northwestern v Illinois
13 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
NORT68
ILLI79
06 Dec 2024
NORT70
ILLI66
24 Jan 2024
NORT96
ILLI91
04 Jan 2023
NORT73
ILLI60
29 Jan 2022
NORT56
ILLI59
07 Jan 2021
NORT56
ILLI81
27 Feb 2020
NORT66
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#286
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H14/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A16/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
35-38
25-25
31-21
36-13
29-33
39-33
35-30
29-46
37-50
46-31
42-43
32-40
44-32
25-32
38-39
32-28
40-41
35-39
34-36
138.9Avg total
70.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.767.4140.2+5.372%
Season at home (11)77.967.5145.4+10.591%
Season away (7)64.667.4132.0-2.943%
Last 10 (10)70.268.7138.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.672.2145.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.277.5148.8-6.250%
vs Similar (17)67.966.2134.1+1.659%
vs Weaker (9)72.859.7132.4+13.189%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
43-52
44-27
30-30
49-24
48-49
48-28
56-43
46-29
50-37
32-47
46-36
37-34
34-34
39-37
28-39
37-36
51-37
40-28
46-35
155.6Avg total
84.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.367.5149.8+14.878%
Season at home (14)82.965.4148.2+17.586%
Season away (4)80.275.0155.2+5.250%
Last 10 (10)84.071.6155.6+12.470%
Last 5 (5)78.072.6150.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)74.275.5149.8-1.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.463.3146.6+20.193%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
NorthwesternIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#286
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A16/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
36-13
36
13
+23
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.563.8+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.830.966.7+4.876%-
Last 30 away (13)30.129.859.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.466.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.068.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.039.568.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (17)32.828.261.0+4.576%-
vs Weaker (9)36.230.766.9+5.667%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#33
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/01
NCAA
73.2Avg total
40.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.470.6+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.331.668.8+5.770%-
Last 30 away (10)34.140.074.1-5.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.832.473.2+8.490%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)32.937.570.4-4.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.130.870.9+9.393%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northwestern wins
8
Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ANebraska69-75
18/01/24HMaryland72-69
13/01/24AWisconsin63-71
10/01/24APenn State76-72
08/01/24HMichigan State88-74
03/01/24AIllinois66-96
30/12/23HJackson State74-63
21/12/23AArizona State65-46
16/12/23ADePaul56-46
14/12/23HChicago State73-75
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HRutgers86-63
19/01/24AMichigan88-73
14/01/24HMaryland67-76
12/01/24HMichigan State71-68
06/01/24APurdue78-83
03/01/24HNorthwestern96-66
30/12/23HFairleigh Dickinson104-71
23/12/23HMissouri97-73
17/12/23HColgate74-57
09/12/23ATennessee79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%91%43%
Points / game72.777.964.6
Allowed / game67.467.567.4
Point differential+5.3+10.5-2.9
Avg total140.2145.4132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%55%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)80% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %78%86%50%
Points / game82.382.980.2
Allowed / game67.565.475.0
Point differential+14.8+17.5+5.2
Avg total149.8148.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2018290%85.869.2+16.5
2 Wisconsin1915479%75.766.9+8.8
3 Illinois1814478%82.367.5+14.8
4 Nebraska2015575%78.570.0+8.6
5 Oregon1813572%78.272.8+5.4
6 Northwestern1813572%72.767.4+5.3
7 Ohio State1913668%76.167.4+8.6
8 Michigan State1912763%76.265.2+11.0
9 Minnesota1912763%76.268.0+8.2
10 Indiana1912763%74.274.3-0.1
11 Maryland2012860%70.264.0+6.2
12 Iowa1911858%85.177.5+7.6
13 Washington1911858%80.375.8+4.5
14 Rutgers1810856%68.366.5+1.8
15 Penn State1991047%76.474.3+2.1
16 UCLA1981142%65.264.6+0.6
17 USC1981142%75.775.2+0.5
18 Michigan1971237%78.778.7-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Northwestern34422096
Illinois32441591
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