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Northwestern vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-74
34-29 36-45
Position#208
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game61.9
vs
Position#234
Record6-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Northwestern v Penn State
10 Mar 2026
NORT76
PENN66
29 Jan 2026
NORT94
PENN73
11 Feb 2024
NORT68
PENN63
10 Mar 2023
NORT65
PENN67
01 Mar 2023
NORT65
PENN68
05 Jan 2022
NORT70
PENN74
07 Mar 2020
NORT80
PENN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#243
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H13/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H17/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
82-46
82
46
+36
H19/11
NCAA
Providence
#13
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H23/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A05/12
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H12/12
NCAA
Ill.-Springfield
#536
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
61-27
35-37
48-30
40-20
42-26
27-36
45-41
43-23
35-39
32-37
32-27
30-27
37-34
35-23
35-29
47-29
43-21
33-26
34-47
140.2Avg total
77.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.961.9139.8+16.073%
Season at home (9)79.760.3140.0+19.378%
Season away (2)70.069.0139.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.762.5140.2+15.270%
Last 5 (5)73.462.6136.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.578.3143.8-12.79%
vs Similar ◀ (13)68.566.0134.5+2.546%
vs Weaker (5)77.858.8136.6+19.0100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#220
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A16/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H19/11
NCAA
Cornell
#143
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
63-68 OT
63
68
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H02/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H06/12
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H09/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
23-44
40-27
34-32
41-38
44-36
29-26
29-32
29-17
31-28
23-29
35-34
30-41
34-35
32-27
42-27
29-42
35-38
27-26
34-32
131.7Avg total
65.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.765.2131.9+1.555%
Season at home (7)70.163.3133.4+6.971%
Season away (4)60.868.5129.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)65.965.8131.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)64.266.2130.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.773.5143.2-3.829%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.068.1138.1+1.960%
vs Weaker (1)60.045.0105.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +0.3+0.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +9.1+9.12nd half: +0.3+0.3
NorthwesternPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
High Point
#243
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
40-20
40
20
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Providence
#13
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Georgia
#353
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H23/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A05/12
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Ill.-Springfield
#536
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H02/01
NCAA
64.7Avg total
35.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.765.5+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.929.963.8+4.161%-
Last 30 away (12)31.236.868.0-5.717%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.164.7+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.463.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.738.771.5-6.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)29.330.860.1-1.546%-
vs Weaker (5)39.425.064.4+14.4100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#220
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Cornell
#143
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
29-17
29
17
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#104
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H02/01
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.3Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.333.665.8-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.932.265.2+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)31.535.166.6-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.331.062.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)28.233.061.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.936.369.2-3.436%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.932.164.0-0.340%-
vs Weaker (1)29.017.046.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northwestern wins
2
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
24/01/21Penn State v Northwestern81-78
07/03/20Northwestern v Penn State80-69
15/02/20Penn State v Northwestern77-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/22HMichigan State67-73
21/12/21HIll.-Springfield90-50
12/12/21HNJIT70-52
05/12/21AMaryland67-61
01/12/21AWake Forest73-77 OT
23/11/21HGeorgia78-62
23/11/21HProvidence72-77
19/11/21HFairleigh Dickinson82-46
17/11/21HNew Orleans83-67
13/11/21HHigh Point95-60
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/22HIndiana61-58
11/12/21AMichigan State64-80
09/12/21HWagner74-54
06/12/21HOhio State64-76
02/12/21HMiami (FL)58-63
27/11/21AOregon State60-45
27/11/21ALSU63-68 OT
22/11/21HCornell85-74
19/11/21HSt. Francis Brooklyn74-59
16/11/21AUMass56-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%78%50%
Points / game77.979.770.0
Allowed / game61.960.369.0
Point differential+16.0+19.3+1.0
Avg total139.8140.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%78%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%50%
Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%71%25%
Points / game66.770.160.8
Allowed / game65.263.368.5
Point differential+1.5+6.9-7.8
Avg total131.9133.4129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC12120100%75.960.7+15.2
2 UCLA98189%81.165.6+15.6
3 Michigan State1513287%75.865.5+10.3
4 Purdue1412286%85.966.6+19.4
5 Wisconsin1311285%70.663.6+7.0
6 Minnesota1210283%70.464.2+6.2
7 Ohio State119282%76.768.5+8.2
8 Iowa1411379%87.470.5+16.9
9 Illinois1310377%80.864.6+16.2
10 Indiana1310377%75.761.6+14.1
11 Northwestern118373%77.961.9+16.0
12 Maryland138562%70.766.9+3.8
13 Rutgers138562%68.665.5+3.2
14 Oregon148657%71.266.1+5.1
15 Penn State116555%66.765.2+1.5
16 Michigan137654%72.866.8+5.9
17 Washington115645%70.573.4-2.8
18 Nebraska156940%74.777.3-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern343670
Penn State294574
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