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Michigan State vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-64
42-29 38-35
Position#104
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#234
Record5-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan State v Penn State
26 Jan 2027
MICH v PENN
upcoming
15 Jan 2025
MICH90
PENN85
04 Jan 2024
MICH92
PENN61
11 Dec 2021
MICH80
PENN64
09 Feb 2021
MICH60
PENN58
04 Feb 2020
MICH70
PENN75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H02/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
42-48
46-25
44-21
31-23
42-29
49-31
34-28
23-28
40-33
32-24
32-36
36-38
22-37
36-28
37-36
43-23
38-45
37-24
38-43
137.3Avg total
73.4Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.463.9137.3+9.580%
Season at home (8)73.265.0138.2+8.275%
Season away (2)74.059.5133.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.463.9137.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)70.266.8137.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.972.4138.4-6.535%
vs Similar ◀ (8)64.164.1128.2+0.075%
vs Weaker (5)78.857.6136.4+21.2100%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H11/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
56-81
56
81
-25
A16/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H19/11
NCAA
Cornell
#143
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
L
63-68 OT
63
68
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H02/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H06/12
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
43-34
35-26
40-33
33-37
23-44
40-27
34-32
41-38
44-36
29-26
29-32
29-17
31-28
23-29
35-34
30-41
34-35
32-27
42-27
133.7Avg total
68.3Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.764.3132.0+3.356%
Season at home (6)71.764.2135.8+7.567%
Season away (3)59.764.7124.3-5.033%
Last 10 (10)68.365.4133.7+2.950%
Last 5 (5)63.861.2125.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)70.375.4145.7-5.120%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.467.2137.6+3.264%
vs Weaker (1)60.045.0105.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.0+2.0
Michigan StatePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Toledo
#21
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A09/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
36.5Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.430.562.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.328.662.9+5.767%-
Last 30 away (12)29.433.362.8-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.528.364.8+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.827.464.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.433.265.6-0.935%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)27.827.455.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)39.826.266.0+13.6100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A16/11
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H19/11
NCAA
Cornell
#143
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/11
NCAA
LSU
#93
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
29-17
29
17
+12
A27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H02/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Wagner
#33
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H09/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.3Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.966.7-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.933.367.2+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)31.434.666.0-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.963.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)28.628.056.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.637.471.0-3.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.131.463.5+0.643%-
vs Weaker (1)29.017.046.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Michigan State wins
1
Penn State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21AMinnesota75-67
04/12/21HToledo81-68
02/12/21HLouisville73-64
26/11/21HBaylor58-75
25/11/21HUconn64-60
24/11/21HLoyola Chicago63-61
20/11/21HEastern Michigan83-59
18/11/21AButler73-52
12/11/21HWestern Michigan90-46
10/11/21HKansas74-87
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21HWagner74-54
06/12/21HOhio State64-76
02/12/21HMiami (FL)58-63
27/11/21AOregon State60-45
27/11/21ALSU63-68 OT
22/11/21HCornell85-74
19/11/21HSt. Francis Brooklyn74-59
16/11/21AUMass56-81
11/11/21HYoungstown State75-59
12/03/21AWisconsin74-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game73.473.274.0
Allowed / game63.965.059.5
Point differential+9.5+8.2+14.5
Avg total137.3138.2133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game67.771.759.7
Allowed / game64.364.264.7
Point differential+3.3+7.5-5.0
Avg total132.0135.8124.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USC990100%78.361.3+17.0
2 Purdue98189%88.065.4+22.6
3 UCLA87188%82.966.8+16.1
4 Minnesota87188%70.862.8+8.0
5 Michigan State108280%73.463.9+9.5
6 Ohio State108280%75.767.5+8.2
7 Wisconsin108280%68.460.5+7.9
8 Indiana97278%78.063.8+14.2
9 Illinois97278%77.965.9+12.0
10 Northwestern86275%78.863.2+15.5
11 Iowa107370%86.470.4+16.0
12 Michigan96367%72.964.9+8.0
13 Oregon95456%68.364.4+3.9
14 Penn State95456%67.764.3+3.3
15 Maryland95456%68.666.7+1.9
16 Rutgers95456%66.166.1+0.0
17 Washington84450%72.673.5-0.9
18 Nebraska115645%75.477.5-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State423880
Penn State293564
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