PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sturt Sabres vs Norwood Flames Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 76-99
27-21 16-26 15-27 18-25
Position#6
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Position#10
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game85.3
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames
17 Apr 2025
STUR76
NORW99
15 Jun 2024
STUR94
NORW92
27 May 2023
STUR89
NORW78
07 May 2022
STUR86
NORW77
28 Aug 2021
STUR69
NORW83
08 Aug 2021
STUR74
NORW80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norwood Flames winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H05/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A12/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
22-15
26-37
36-30
15-19
23-31
33-23
35-20
23-27
23-14
22-26
30-22
16-17
32-23
29-17
27-18
20-30
31-28
16-16
18-32
33-21
22-18
29-23
16-19
18-21
16-33
26-9
24-28
20-23
27-24
15-23
21-31
20-22
27-26
21-19
19-26
15-21
22-19
16-27
29-26
187.9Avg total
94.9Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.095.7179.7-11.70%
Season at home (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Season away (2)82.597.0179.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)94.993.0187.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)87.291.8179.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.195.2183.4-7.125%
vs Similar (6)89.089.3178.3-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)99.383.1182.4+16.288%
This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norwood FlamesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A15/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
64-116
64
116
-52
H16/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A29/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H05/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A07/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H10/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H05/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H11/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
18-22
25-23
15-21
15-30
16-36
20-27
13-23
27-21
21-22
24-19
26-16
24-24
21-25
14-17
25-8
24-16
24-17
11-21
15-28
23-31
21-18
13-15
20-19
20-22
20-18
28-18
16-13
16-17
12-17
14-10
23-32
20-24
22-19
16-25
26-29
22-18
15-18
12-28
17-19
164.2Avg total
78.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.785.3157.0-13.70%
Season at home (2)75.090.0165.0-15.00%
Season away (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)78.885.4164.2-6.630%
Last 5 (5)75.282.0157.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.393.5175.8-11.221%
vs Similar (4)100.598.0198.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (12)93.581.8175.2+11.875%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Sturt SabresNorwood Flames
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A12/04
NBL1 Central
91.9Avg total
46.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.746.392.0-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.246.494.6+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)43.546.189.6-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.891.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.045.689.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.249.493.6-5.125%-
vs Similar (6)46.247.793.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.244.290.4+2.150%-
This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norwood FlamesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#3
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A15/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
31-66
31
66
-35
H16/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A29/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H05/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A07/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/07
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H11/04
NBL1 Central
85.8Avg total
41.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.991.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.344.289.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)45.447.592.9-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.385.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)43.346.689.9-3.443%-
vs Similar (4)46.251.297.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker (12)47.443.290.6+4.258%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sturt Sabres wins
2
Norwood Flames wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ASouth Adelaide Panthers82-93
05/04/25HCentral Districts Lions87-93
29/03/25AForestville Eagles83-101
03/08/24AForestville Eagles84-91
27/07/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats100-81
20/07/24HForestville Eagles85-106
13/07/24AEastern Mavericks104-75
06/07/24HSouthern Tigers98-89
30/06/24AWoodville Warriors106-93
29/06/24HCentral Districts Lions120-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HWest Adelaide Bearcats66-83
05/04/25HSouthern Tigers84-97
29/03/25ANorth Adelaide Rockets65-76
10/07/24HWoodville Warriors84-71
07/07/24ASouth Adelaide Panthers77-83
05/07/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats74-82
29/06/24AEastern Mavericks84-74
22/06/24HSouthern Tigers98-78
16/06/24HForestville Eagles64-116
15/06/24ASturt Sabres92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.087.082.5
Allowed / game95.793.097.0
Point differential-11.7-6.0-14.5
Avg total179.7180.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norwood Flames
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.775.065.0
Allowed / game85.390.076.0
Point differential-13.7-15.0-11.0
Avg total157.0165.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Adelaide Panthers330100%85.372.7+12.7
2 Central Districts Lions330100%93.784.3+9.3
3 West Adelaide Bearcats32167%85.067.0+18.0
4 Forestville Eagles32167%105.388.0+17.3
5 Eastern Mavericks32167%98.797.7+1.0
6 Southern Tigers31233%79.084.3-5.3
7 Woodville Warriors31233%71.084.7-13.7
8 North Adelaide Rockets31233%70.084.0-14.0
9 Sturt Sabres3030%84.095.7-11.7
10 Norwood Flames3030%71.785.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2716151876
Norwood Flames2126272599
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.