Sturt Sabres vs Norwood Flames Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 10:45

Final 94-92

28-34 22-18 23-25 21-15

Position#3

Record9-2

FormWWLWW

Points / game96.3

Allowed / game84.6

Sturt Sabres 🏆

Norwood Flames

Position#6

Record5-6

FormLWWLW

Points / game94.8

Allowed / game93.6

NBL1 Central

Other2024

Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Norwood Flames winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

104-62

104

+42

A30/03

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

92-77

+15

A06/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

97-94

H14/04

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

101-89

101

+12

A20/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

82-96

-14

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

89-79

+10

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

104-90

104

+14

H05/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

81-104

104

-23

H11/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

98-58

+40

H25/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

111-98

111

+13

A01/06

NBL1 Central

27-16

17-14

27-10

33-22

11-19

31-32

26-16

24-10

25-21

28-31

30-20

14-22

22-31

21-19

26-25

32-14

25-21

20-26

20-29

17-20

18-25

22-21

29-18

20-15

28-25

29-22

23-29

24-14

10-34

21-30

28-21

22-19

19-12

24-16

28-18

27-12

25-24

29-25

31-17

26-32

180.6Avg total

95.9Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	96.3	84.6	180.9	+11.6	82%
Season at home (6)	93.7	87.7	181.3	+6.0	67%
Season away (5)	99.4	81.0	180.4	+18.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	95.9	84.7	180.6	+11.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	85.8	182.4	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	86.8	94.0	180.8	-7.2	40%
vs Similar (5)	86.4	91.2	177.6	-4.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	95.5	75.8	171.3	+19.8	85%

This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Norwood Flames Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central Districts Lions

113-118

113

118

-5

A28/03

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

77-92

-15

H06/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

87-107

107

-20

A13/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

79-82

-3

H20/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

101-76

101

+25

H25/04

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

84-110

110

-26

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

96-86

+10

A04/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

106-71

106

+35

A11/05

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

89-104

104

-15

H26/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

119-106 OT

119

106

+13

A01/06

NBL1 Central

29-27

26-32

34-27

24-32

19-11

32-31

16-26

10-24

16-38

28-22

28-20

15-27

18-32

21-14

17-26

23-10

16-14

28-22

22-13

35-27

18-27

25-22

17-25

24-36

32-19

23-33

17-18

24-16

24-22

30-16

30-19

22-14

17-25

22-28

20-35

30-16

31-17

23-31

11-24

32-25

190.3Avg total

95.1Scored

95.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	94.8	93.6	188.5	+1.2	45%
Season at home (5)	87.6	86.4	174.0	+1.2	40%
Season away (6)	100.8	99.7	200.5	+1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	95.1	95.2	190.3	-0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	98.8	95.4	194.2	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	81.2	93.5	174.6	-12.3	23%
vs Similar (6)	94.3	91.5	185.8	+2.8	50%
vs Weaker (11)	98.4	84.9	183.3	+13.5	82%

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sturt SabresNorwood Flames

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.8	44.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	26.0	46.2	-5.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	20.6	43.3	+2.2	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.1	44.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	21.9	43.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.2	44.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	23.0	46.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.1	21.1	46.2	+4.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	22.8	46.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.6	47.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.8	47.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.2	24.4	46.6	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.2	25.8	49.0	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	23.3	46.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	23.2	45.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	25.1	50.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	26.0	50.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	23.6	24.8	48.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.2	21.1	46.3	+4.1	64%	-

Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

44-30

+14

A30/03

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

42-51

-9

A06/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

53-52

H14/04

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

43-50

-7

A20/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

45-47

-2

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

40-46

-6

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

57-47

+10

H05/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

31-64

-33

H11/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

43-28

+15

H25/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

54-49

A01/06

NBL1 Central

91.6Avg total

45.2Scored

46.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	44.0	87.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	44.1	88.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.8	44.0	86.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	46.4	91.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	46.8	91.8	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.4	48.4	88.8	-8.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	51.8	95.2	-8.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.8	41.0	85.8	+3.8	60%	-

This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Norwood FlamesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central Districts Lions

55-59

-4

A28/03

NBL1 Central

Sturt Sabres

51-42

H06/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

44-60

-16

A13/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

39-46

-7

H20/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

44-36

H25/04

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

43-49

-6

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

55-52

A04/05

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

54-38

+16

A11/05

NBL1 Central

Central Districts Lions

39-53

-14

H26/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

54-48

A01/06

NBL1 Central

96.1Avg total

47.8Scored

48.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	45.4	90.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	45.3	91.4	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	45.4	90.0	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	48.3	96.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	48.0	97.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.3	47.3	89.6	-5.0	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.5	47.0	89.5	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (11)	50.3	42.2	92.5	+8.1	82%	-

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	18.5	43.0	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.6	19.3	44.9	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	17.7	41.1	+5.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	20.3	47.1	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	20.6	48.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.8	19.2	43.0	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.1	17.6	42.8	+7.5	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	22.9	44.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.3	44.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.2	43.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.5	22.8	42.2	-3.3	31%	-
vs Similar (6)	25.8	22.5	48.3	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	18.9	43.1	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.3	18.3	44.7	+8.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.0	41.9	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	24.4	48.0	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.6	17.1	42.8	+8.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	22.7	46.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	21.4	47.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	37.4	86.1	+11.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.7	38.7	86.4	+8.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.8	36.0	85.8	+13.8	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.7	38.3	89.0	+12.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.6	39.0	90.6	+12.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.4	45.6	92.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.0	39.4	82.4	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	50.8	34.8	85.5	+16.0	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	43.8	87.2	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	43.1	86.4	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	44.4	87.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	46.0	91.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	45.6	91.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.8	46.2	85.0	-7.3	23%	-
vs Similar (6)	51.8	44.5	96.3	+7.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.3	40.5	84.8	+3.7	45%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sturt Sabres wins

Norwood Flames wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/24	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	77-92
27/05/23	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	89-78
26/03/23	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	66-102
06/08/22	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	84-88
07/05/22	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	86-77
28/08/21	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	69-83
08/08/21	Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames	74-80
22/05/21	Norwood Flames v Sturt Sabres	77-97

Sturt Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/24	A	Forestville Eagles	111-98
25/05/24	H	North Adelaide Rockets	98-58
11/05/24	H	West Adelaide Bearcats	81-104
05/05/24	H	Eastern Mavericks	104-90
27/04/24	A	Southern Tigers	89-79
25/04/24	H	Woodville Warriors	82-96
20/04/24	A	Central Districts Lions	101-89
14/04/24	H	South Adelaide Panthers	97-94
06/04/24	A	Norwood Flames	92-77
30/03/24	A	North Adelaide Rockets	104-62

Norwood Flameslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/24	A	North Adelaide Rockets	119-106 OT
26/05/24	H	Central Districts Lions	89-104
11/05/24	A	Southern Tigers	106-71
04/05/24	A	Woodville Warriors	96-86
27/04/24	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	84-110
25/04/24	H	South Adelaide Panthers	101-76
20/04/24	H	Eastern Mavericks	79-82
13/04/24	A	Forestville Eagles	87-107
06/04/24	H	Sturt Sabres	77-92
28/03/24	A	Central Districts Lions	113-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres

NBL1 Central 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WLWLW	67%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	82%	67%	100%
Points / game	96.3	93.7	99.4
Allowed / game	84.6	87.7	81.0
Point differential	+11.6	+6.0	+18.4
Avg total	180.9	181.3	180.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Norwood Flames

NBL1 Central 2024

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	45%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	45%	40%	50%
Points / game	94.8	87.6	100.8
Allowed / game	93.6	86.4	99.7
Point differential	+1.2	+1.2	+1.2
Avg total	188.5	174.0	200.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	40%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Forestville Eagles	12	10	2	83%	99.1	87.2	+11.9
2	Sturt Sabres	11	9	2	82%	96.3	84.6	+11.6
3	South Adelaide Panthers	11	8	3	73%	88.3	83.5	+4.8
4	West Adelaide Bearcats	11	6	5	55%	94.2	86.9	+7.3
5	Norwood Flames	11	5	6	45%	94.8	93.6	+1.2
6	Central Districts Lions	11	5	6	45%	95.5	97.6	-2.1
7	Woodville Warriors	11	5	6	45%	87.8	90.5	-2.7
8	Eastern Mavericks	11	4	7	36%	81.1	88.4	-7.3
9	North Adelaide Rockets	11	2	9	18%	81.9	97.7	-15.8
10	Southern Tigers	12	2	10	17%	79.9	89.1	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sturt Sabres	28	22	23	21	94
Norwood Flames	34	18	25	15	92

← all games of the day

Sturt Sabres vs Norwood Flames Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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