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Notre Dame vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-77
38-40 48-37
Position#241
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game60.0
vs
Position#333
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A24/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
51-84
51
84
-33
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A13/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
27-27
31-25
41-25
29-49
56-39
38-43
32-22
31-34
38-28
25-41
26-43
38-43
38-39
45-35
39-45
34-40
25-32
46-29
43-31
141.1Avg total
71.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.060.0149.0+29.0100%
Season at home (1)89.060.0149.0+29.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.369.8141.1+1.560%
Last 5 (5)71.875.6147.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)60.666.8127.4-6.326%
vs Similar (11)72.365.9138.2+6.464%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H06/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H09/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A05/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#378
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
34-41
32-26
30-47
33-31
45-38
32-47
40-44
27-39
37-37
33-37
46-48
33-40
33-38
37-38
31-40
43-38
40-44
37-41
50-37
150.9Avg total
72.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)87.078.0165.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.778.2150.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)67.679.6147.2-12.014%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
Notre DameBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A24/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
34.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.633.264.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.830.964.8+2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)28.636.264.8-7.623%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.771.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.634.163.7-4.516%-
vs Similar (11)34.931.766.6+3.273%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H02/03
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/11
NCAA
Fredonia State
#378
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
34.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.637.367.9-6.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.438.869.2-8.421%-
Last 30 away (16)30.836.166.8-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)34.136.870.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)30.437.267.6-6.824%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HStonehill89-60
13/03/24AWake Forest59-72
12/03/24HGeorgia Tech84-80
09/03/24AVirginia Tech76-82
06/03/24ANorth Carolina51-84
03/03/24HClemson69-62
28/02/24HWake Forest70-65
24/02/24ASyracuse85-88
22/02/24ALouisville72-50
15/02/24HGeorgia Tech58-55
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HFredonia State87-78
05/11/24AOld Dominion83-82
09/03/24HNorthern Illinois68-78
06/03/24HOhio66-78
02/03/24HToledo79-85
28/02/24AKent State64-76
24/02/24AWestern Michigan72-91
21/02/24HEastern Michigan78-69
17/02/24HAkron62-73
14/02/24ANorthern Illinois68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+29.0+29.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.087.083.0
Allowed / game80.078.082.0
Point differential+5.0+9.0+1.0
Avg total165.0165.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.060.0+38.0
2 Miami (FL)220100%100.568.0+32.5
3 SMU Mustangs220100%99.067.5+31.5
4 Notre Dame110100%89.060.0+29.0
5 Pittsburgh220100%89.562.0+27.5
6 Clemson220100%89.563.0+26.5
7 Stanford220100%82.557.5+25.0
8 Virginia Tech220100%88.067.0+21.0
9 NC State220100%89.069.0+20.0
10 California220100%88.573.0+15.5
11 Wake Forest330100%72.061.0+11.0
12 Florida State220100%73.563.5+10.0
13 Virginia110100%65.056.0+9.0
14 Syracuse110100%86.082.0+4.0
15 Louisville21150%74.061.0+13.0
16 Georgia Tech21150%89.083.5+5.5
17 North Carolina21150%89.584.0+5.5
18 Boston College21150%62.070.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State220100%84.059.5+24.5
2 Buffalo220100%85.080.0+5.0
3 Northern Illinois21150%85.058.5+26.5
4 Western Michigan21150%71.053.0+18.0
5 Akron21150%81.568.5+13.0
6 UMass21150%86.074.5+11.5
7 Ball State21150%76.565.5+11.0
8 Eastern Michigan21150%63.561.0+2.5
9 Central Michigan21150%73.071.5+1.5
10 Miami (Ohio)21150%72.572.0+0.5
11 Toledo21150%82.082.0+0.0
12 Ohio21150%80.082.0-2.0
13 Bowling Green2020%76.584.0-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame384886
Buffalo403777
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