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Notre Dame vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-65
38-43 32-22
Position#291
Record10-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game65.6
Notre Dame 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#119
Record18-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Notre Dame v Wake Forest
27 Feb 2024
NOTR70
WAKE65
04 Feb 2023
NOTR64
WAKE81
09 Mar 2021
NOTR80
WAKE77
02 Feb 2021
NOTR79
WAKE58
29 Jan 2020
NOTR90
WAKE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
23-34
29-37
32-36
23-23
35-38
23-38
30-27
22-28
38-42
25-33
28-38
35-39
39-27
31-28
27-27
31-25
41-25
29-49
56-39
129.5Avg total
63.3Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)63.165.6128.7-2.537%
Season at home (16)63.864.2127.9-0.444%
Season away (11)62.267.6129.8-5.527%
Last 10 (10)63.366.2129.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)68.466.0134.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)61.268.1129.3-6.921%
vs Similar (11)68.964.7133.6+4.264%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
80-51
80
51
+29
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
91-58
91
58
+33
H21/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-33
42-32
34-33
30-52
37-27
35-50
42-28
57-42
46-20
34-31
39-45
44-34
27-29
42-48
22-21
25-28
45-33
46-25
36-38
47-41
146.8Avg total
77.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.669.7149.3+9.967%
Season at home (18)83.267.5150.7+15.789%
Season away (9)72.374.1146.4-1.822%
Last 10 (10)77.869.0146.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)74.668.4143.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
vs Similar (12)75.672.8148.4+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.367.0148.3+14.375%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +1.9+1.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +1.9+1.9
Notre DameWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A24/02
NCAA
61.3Avg total
28.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.663.1-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.230.863.1+1.441%-
Last 30 away (13)28.434.863.2-6.531%-
Last 10 (10)28.432.961.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.865.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.633.563.1-3.921%-
vs Similar (11)32.330.963.2+1.464%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H24/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
37.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.134.071.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.734.773.4+4.167%-
Last 30 away (12)34.632.967.5+1.742%-
Last 10 (10)37.630.768.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.833.267.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.533.565.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)36.933.870.7+3.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.934.272.1+3.762%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Notre Dame wins
4
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
26/02/23Wake Forest v Notre Dame66-58
04/02/23Notre Dame v Wake Forest64-81
19/02/22Wake Forest v Notre Dame79-74
10/03/21Notre Dame v Wake Forest80-77
02/02/21Notre Dame v Wake Forest79-58
29/02/20Wake Forest v Notre Dame84-73
30/01/20Notre Dame v Wake Forest90-80
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ASyracuse85-88
22/02/24ALouisville72-50
15/02/24HGeorgia Tech58-55
10/02/24HVirginia Tech74-66
08/02/24ADuke53-71
03/02/24APittsburgh60-70
01/02/24AVirginia53-65
27/01/24HBoston College58-61
25/01/24HMiami (FL)61-73
16/01/24ABoston College59-63
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HDuke83-79
21/02/24HPittsburgh91-58
17/02/24AVirginia47-49
13/02/24ADuke69-77
10/02/24HNC State83-79
07/02/24AGeorgia Tech80-51
04/02/24HSyracuse99-70
01/02/24APittsburgh72-77
23/01/24ANorth Carolina64-85
20/01/24HLouisville90-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL37%
HomeLLLWW44%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %37%44%27%
Points / game63.163.862.2
Allowed / game65.664.267.6
Point differential-2.5-0.4-5.5
Avg total128.7127.9129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%6%18%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %67%89%22%
Points / game79.683.272.3
Allowed / game69.767.574.1
Point differential+9.9+15.7-1.8
Avg total149.3150.7146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%72%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2822679%81.570.4+11.1
2 Duke2721678%80.467.7+12.7
3 Clemson2820871%78.470.8+7.6
4 Virginia2820871%63.458.4+5.0
5 SMU Mustangs2819968%77.166.7+10.5
6 Wake Forest2718967%79.669.7+9.9
7 Syracuse29191066%76.674.9+1.7
8 Pittsburgh28181064%74.667.1+7.5
9 NC State27171063%76.071.4+4.6
10 Boston College27151256%76.073.5+2.4
11 Virginia Tech28151354%74.170.4+3.7
12 Florida State27141352%76.074.8+1.2
13 Miami (FL)30151550%76.473.2+3.1
14 California28131546%74.975.8-0.9
15 Stanford27121544%76.976.4+0.4
16 Georgia Tech28121643%70.775.2-4.5
17 Notre Dame27101737%63.165.6-2.5
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame383270
Wake Forest432265
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