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Notre Dame vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-54
41-24 35-30
Position#291
Record5-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game62.6
Allowed / game66.6
Notre Dame 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia
USA
Position#66
Record10-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game54.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Notre Dame v Virginia
27 Jan 2026
NOTR97
VIRG100
30 Dec 2023
NOTR76
VIRG54
29 Jan 2022
NOTR69
VIRG65
30 Dec 2020
NOTR57
VIRG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#22
L
59-83
59
83
-24
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
66-64 OT
66
64
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
45-65
45
65
-20
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
26-44
33-25
22-30
38-22
37-33
28-31
25-34
26-33
23-29
40-34
46-31
24-52
35-26
35-33
27-29
29-32
16-33
24-25
36-31
128.5Avg total
62.0Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)62.666.6129.2-4.042%
Season at home (8)65.566.2131.8-0.850%
Season away (4)56.867.2124.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)62.066.5128.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)63.667.2130.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.173.2137.3-9.112%
vs Similar (11)69.068.9137.9+0.145%
vs Weaker (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A20/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
79-44
79
44
+35
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-19
31-32
26-14
36-19
18-28
23-37
26-23
30-31
27-26
32-21
37-24
47-38
41-17
36-30
24-30
32-24
32-38
22-39
43-16
36-28
118.2Avg total
64.8Scored
53.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)66.854.5121.2+12.283%
Season at home (10)70.651.2121.8+19.4100%
Season away (2)47.571.0118.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)64.853.4118.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)70.056.8126.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.047.0124.0+30.0100%
vs Similar (17)65.860.5126.2+5.365%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)66.556.9123.4+9.692%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +2.6+2.6
Notre DameVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#22
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H23/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A02/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A10/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H23/12
NCAA
63.6Avg total
31.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.766.1-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.231.464.6+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)31.536.467.9-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.663.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.265.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.235.265.5-5.018%-
vs Similar (11)34.931.766.6+3.264%-
vs Weaker (2)37.531.569.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
26-14
26
14
+12
H17/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A20/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#142
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
43-16
43
16
+27
H28/12
NCAA
55.8Avg total
32.3Scored
23.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.026.158.1+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (21)33.023.656.6+9.486%-
Last 30 away (9)29.731.861.4-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)32.323.555.8+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.425.060.4+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.017.058.0+24.0100%-
vs Similar (17)30.427.057.4+3.465%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.625.559.1+8.183%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Notre Dame wins
4
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Virginia v Notre Dame57-55
29/01/22Notre Dame v Virginia69-65
13/01/21Virginia v Notre Dame80-68
30/12/20Notre Dame v Virginia57-66
12/02/20Virginia v Notre Dame50-49 OT
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HMarist60-56
19/12/23HCitadel45-65
16/12/23HGeorgetown68-72 OT
10/12/23AMarquette59-78
06/12/23HWestern Michigan86-65
02/12/23AMiami (FL)49-62
29/11/23ASouth Carolina53-65
23/11/23HMd.-East. Shore75-55
17/11/23AOklahoma State66-64 OT
17/11/23HAuburn59-83
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HMorgan State79-44
20/12/23AMemphis54-77
16/12/23HNortheastern56-54
06/12/23HN. Carolina Central77-47
02/12/23HSyracuse84-62
30/11/23HTexas A&M59-47
22/11/23HWest Virginia56-54
20/11/23AWisconsin41-65
17/11/23HTexas Southern62-33
15/11/23HN. Carolina A&T80-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW42%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%50%25%
Points / game62.665.556.8
Allowed / game66.666.267.2
Point differential-4.0-0.8-10.5
Avg total129.2131.8124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%12%25%
Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %83%100%0%
Points / game66.870.647.5
Allowed / game54.551.271.0
Point differential+12.2+19.4-23.5
Avg total121.2121.8118.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1211192%82.269.2+13.1
2 Virginia1210283%66.854.5+12.2
3 Miami (FL)1310377%83.169.9+13.2
4 Pittsburgh129375%81.163.4+17.7
5 North Carolina129375%86.273.2+13.0
6 Virginia Tech129375%74.264.4+9.8
7 NC State129375%79.870.2+9.7
8 Boston College129375%79.470.8+8.6
9 Syracuse129375%78.270.2+8.0
10 Duke118373%81.366.5+14.8
11 Wake Forest118373%80.968.4+12.5
12 SMU Mustangs139469%76.462.2+14.2
13 Georgia Tech128467%71.771.1+0.6
14 Florida State116555%76.373.4+2.9
15 Stanford115645%77.974.7+3.2
16 Louisville125742%74.675.4-0.8
17 Notre Dame125742%62.666.6-4.0
18 California124833%76.477.9-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame413576
Virginia243054
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