PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 55-54
25-22 30-32
Position#241
Record14-17
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#173
Record17-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Notre Dame v Pittsburgh
20 Jan 2027
NOTR v PITT
upcoming
11 Mar 2025
NOTR55
PITT54
22 Feb 2025
NOTR76
PITT72
01 Mar 2023
NOTR88
PITT81
05 Mar 2022
NOTR78
PITT54
05 Feb 2020
NOTR80
PITT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
112-110 OT
112
110
+2
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
32-38
33-26
30-39
35-41
45-39
28-35
32-40
25-50
48-47
30-30
46-42
31-41
37-42
30-25
41-49
21-24
35-30
37-33
31-35
152.7Avg total
73.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.773.0146.7+0.845%
Season at home (18)77.072.8149.8+4.261%
Season away (13)69.273.2142.5-4.023%
Last 10 (10)73.679.1152.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)76.678.6155.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.376.6144.9-8.320%
vs Similar (14)74.472.5146.9+1.950%
vs Weaker (6)78.770.2148.8+8.567%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A01/03
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
19-34
38-39
32-35
34-32
27-43
36-40
32-30
42-35
34-41
46-28
30-30
42-46
30-35
37-38
33-39
35-40
30-34
33-37
48-19
45-48
142.6Avg total
70.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.671.4147.9+5.255%
Season at home (17)83.167.4150.5+15.776%
Season away (14)68.676.1144.8-7.529%
Last 10 (10)70.372.3142.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)72.673.2145.8-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.778.3144.0-12.70%
vs Similar (13)76.074.5150.5+1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.168.1146.1+10.071%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +0.5+0.5
Notre DamePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#177
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H06/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/03
NCAA
63.2Avg total
29.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.867.6+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.433.968.3+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)33.233.566.7-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)29.833.463.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.660.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)30.438.068.4-7.610%-
vs Similar (14)34.631.365.9+3.371%-
vs Weaker (6)37.832.570.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/03
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H08/03
NCAA
65.5Avg total
31.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.268.1-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.433.170.5+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)30.035.465.4-5.414%-
Last 10 (10)31.534.065.5-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.465.6+2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.333.763.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (13)34.836.971.8-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)34.131.865.9+2.336%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Notre Dame wins
1
Pittsburgh wins
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HCalifornia112-110 OT
06/03/25HStanford56-54
01/03/25AWake Forest71-74
27/02/25AClemson68-83
22/02/25HPittsburgh76-72
20/02/25HSMU Mustangs73-97
17/02/25HLouisville60-75
13/02/25ABoston College97-94 OT
08/02/25HVirginia Tech63-65
05/02/25AFlorida State60-67
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HBoston College93-67
06/03/25ANC State63-71
01/03/25ALouisville68-79
26/02/25HGeorgia Tech67-73
22/02/25ANotre Dame72-76
19/02/25HSyracuse80-69
15/02/25HMiami (FL)74-65
12/02/25ASMU Mustangs63-83
08/02/25ANorth Carolina66-67
04/02/25HVirginia57-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLLWWW61%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %45%61%23%
Points / game73.777.069.2
Allowed / game73.072.873.2
Point differential+0.8+4.2-4.0
Avg total146.7149.8142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%28%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)56% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %10%11%8%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeLWWLW76%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %55%76%29%
Points / game76.683.168.6
Allowed / game71.467.476.1
Point differential+5.2+15.7-7.5
Avg total147.9150.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%65%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3128390%83.561.4+22.1
2 Clemson3126584%77.165.7+11.4
3 Louisville3125681%79.368.5+10.8
4 SMU Mustangs3122971%81.172.2+8.9
5 Wake Forest31211068%70.568.0+2.5
6 North Carolina32201262%81.776.1+5.6
7 Stanford31191261%72.870.4+2.5
8 Pittsburgh31171455%76.671.4+5.2
9 Florida State31171455%74.972.7+2.2
10 Georgia Tech31161552%73.772.6+1.1
11 Virginia31151648%64.966.8-1.9
12 Notre Dame31141745%73.773.0+0.8
13 California31131842%75.576.9-1.4
14 Syracuse31131842%75.678.4-2.8
15 Virginia Tech31131842%69.072.9-3.8
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame253055
Pittsburgh223254
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.