Nurnberger host Bayreuth in the Pro A on 15 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 71% and projecting a 87-81 win. Nurnberger have gone 4-6 this season, averaging 76.4 points and conceding 82.6, and are 13th in the league; at home they are 2-2, scoring 75.5 and allowing 78.5, and have won two of their last five. Bayreuth are 1-8 overall, 87.7 points for and 97.1 against, 18th in the standings, and 0-4 on the road, 90.2 points for and 104.5 against, with one win in their last five. Their recent results include a 98-83 home win over Bochum, a 76-87 loss to Heidelberg and a 98-100 defeat to Paderborn. In the six meetings between the clubs, Bayreuth lead 5-1, most recently beating Nurnberger 96-68 on 6 February 2026. The spread is -7.5 for Nurnberger with a 46% chance to cover, the total is 170.5 with a 43% over probability, and the game has a 5% chance of overtime. The projected score of 87-81 reflects Nurnberger's modest offensive output against Bayreuth's higher-scoring but defensively weaker performance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 76.4 | 82.6 | 159.0 | -6.2 | 40% |
| Season at home (4) | 75.5 | 78.5 | 154.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Season away (6) | 77.0 | 85.3 | 162.3 | -8.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.4 | 82.6 | 159.0 | -6.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.2 | 79.8 | 159.0 | -0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 69.0 | 83.6 | 152.6 | -14.6 | 22% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 80.3 | 84.2 | 164.5 | -3.9 | 30% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 88.7 | 75.8 | 164.5 | +12.9 | 64% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 87.7 | 97.1 | 184.8 | -9.4 | 11% |
| Season at home (5) | 85.6 | 91.2 | 176.8 | -5.6 | 20% |
| Season away (4) | 90.2 | 104.5 | 194.8 | -14.2 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.2 | 96.2 | 185.4 | -7.0 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 94.4 | 185.6 | -3.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 83.4 | 92.1 | 175.6 | -8.7 | 29% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 87.8 | 83.6 | 171.3 | +4.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 81.5 | 87.8 | 169.2 | -6.2 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 40.2 | 81.2 | +0.9 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.1 | 40.0 | 81.1 | +1.1 | 53% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.0 | 40.3 | 81.3 | +0.7 | 47% | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.9 | 40.6 | 79.5 | -1.7 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.0 | 39.0 | 80.0 | +2.0 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 34.4 | 39.9 | 74.3 | -5.4 | 33% | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 42.7 | 43.5 | 86.2 | -0.8 | 40% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 44.9 | 37.4 | 82.3 | +7.5 | 73% | 45% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.8 | 44.2 | 83.9 | -4.4 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | -3.0 | 29% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 37.8 | 43.4 | 81.2 | -5.6 | 31% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.8 | 49.2 | 91.0 | -7.4 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 48.2 | 90.6 | -5.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 39.1 | 44.9 | 84.1 | -5.8 | 21% | 43% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 40.2 | 42.6 | 82.8 | -2.4 | 42% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 40.8 | 46.2 | 87.0 | -5.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nurnberger under 93.5 | 73.8% | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Nurnberger under 92.5 | 70.5% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.51 | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Nurnberger under 94.5 | 76.9% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Nurnberger under 95.5 | 79.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Nurnberger under 96.5 | 82.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +15.5 | 79.5% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +16.5 | 81.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Under 176.5 | 70.4% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 74.4% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Under 177.5 | 72.4% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 76.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +12.5 | 71.3% | 1.46 | 1.52 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +13.5 | 74.2% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Bayreuth +14.5 | 76.9% | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Bayreuth under 86.5 | 71.1% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Bayreuth under 87.5 | 74.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Nurnberger win | 70.9% | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.22 | -5.8pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 30.0 | 16.0 | 53.3% | - | 32.0 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 11.3 | 37.9% | - | 33.9 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 14.1 | 71.2% | - | 14.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 | Bayreuth v Nurnberger | 96-68 |
| 23/11/25 | Nurnberger v Bayreuth | 90-89 |
| 29/03/25 | Nurnberger v Bayreuth | 87-95 |
| 01/12/24 | Bayreuth v Nurnberger | 86-72 |
| 03/03/24 | Nurnberger v Bayreuth | 95-97 OT |
| 26/12/23 | Bayreuth v Nurnberger | 92-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Giessen | 57-83 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Wolmirstedt | 68-70 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Bremerhaven | 75-82 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Koln | 112-87 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Artland | 84-77 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Gottingen | 74-95 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Kirchheim | 65-92 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Tubingen | 61-86 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Koblenz | 85-75 |
| 26/09/26 | A | PS Karlsruhe | 83-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Heidelberg | 76-87 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Paderborn | 98-100 OT |
| 30/10/26 | H | Bochum | 98-83 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Koln | 98-105 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Artland | 86-97 |
| 14/10/26 | H | OrangeAcademy | 89-100 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Kirchheim | 75-104 |
| 02/10/26 | H | PS Karlsruhe | 79-89 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Koblenz | 90-109 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Bochum | 103-88 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 40% |
| Home | WLWL | 50% |
| Away | LLWLL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 76.4 | 75.5 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.6 | 78.5 | 85.3 |
| Point differential | -6.2 | -3.0 | -8.3 |
| Avg total | 159.0 | 154.0 | 162.3 |
| Over 172 | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 11% |
| Home | LLLWL | 20% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Points / game | 87.7 | 85.6 | 90.2 |
| Allowed / game | 97.1 | 91.2 | 104.5 |
| Point differential | -9.4 | -5.6 | -14.2 |
| Avg total | 184.8 | 176.8 | 194.8 |
| Over 172 | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 90.1 | 76.3 | +13.8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 81.8 | 68.3 | +13.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 78.7 | 71.4 | +7.2 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 81.0 | 71.8 | +9.2 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 83.4 | 79.7 | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 78.1 | 74.8 | +3.3 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 79.3 | 79.4 | -0.1 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 79.7 | 83.2 | -3.5 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 82.9 | 90.0 | -7.1 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.1 | 80.9 | +1.2 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.8 | 85.9 | -2.1 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 78.3 | 84.1 | -5.8 | |
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40% | 76.4 | 82.6 | -6.2 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 83.9 | 84.7 | -0.8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 80.9 | 86.0 | -5.1 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 81.9 | 89.7 | -7.8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 79.7 | 85.8 | -6.1 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 87.7 | 97.1 | -9.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 22 | 27 | 16 | 86 | |
| 16 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 83 |
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