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NW Tasmania vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 88-94
28-16 21-24 12-27 27-27
Position#18
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game86.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Ballarat
11 Apr 2025
NW T88
BALL94
26 Apr 2024
NW T98
BALL95
22 Apr 2023
NW T84
BALL94
24 Apr 2021
NW T71
BALL74
02 Jun 2017
NW T85
BALL78
23 Apr 2016
NW T95
BALL92
30 May 2015
NW T85
BALL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H15/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
96-93
96
93
+3
A22/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A23/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A14/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A06/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
20-24
15-25
20-17
28-22
14-30
26-25
28-16
17-29
24-26
16-15
13-25
24-21
27-20
22-16
20-21
21-24
23-21
20-15
8-12
25-24
25-22
19-16
27-23
18-21
22-19
7-15
24-20
20-25
18-26
23-13
14-17
15-28
20-28
19-26
34-22
26-23
18-21
22-13
24-24
170.3Avg total
83.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.092.5181.5-3.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)89.092.5181.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)83.686.7170.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)84.085.2169.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)80.488.8169.2-8.526%
vs Similar (9)85.487.9173.3-2.444%
vs Weaker (2)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#4
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A13/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
58-97
58
97
-39
A20/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H27/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H10/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
109-75
109
75
+34
H29/03
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
15-25
23-21
16-24
26-19
20-16
29-25
24-25
27-20
34-14
23-24
10-17
23-32
20-23
17-17
15-21
17-28
10-22
17-33
14-14
22-23
17-17
23-12
29-26
24-32
32-22
19-21
28-26
24-12
15-20
21-32
10-15
38-24
18-19
19-16
34-16
21-24
23-21
17-25
11-28
171.5Avg total
84.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.586.5177.0+4.050%
Season at home (1)109.075.0184.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)72.098.0170.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)84.087.5171.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)89.086.2175.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.890.1174.9-5.356%
vs Similar (6)90.885.8176.7+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.885.0177.8+7.867%
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
NW TasmaniaBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H15/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A22/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H28/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A05/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
NBL1 South
91.2Avg total
43.0Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.547.589.0-6.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.947.191.9-2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)38.647.986.4-9.30%-
Last 10 (10)43.048.291.2-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.488.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.947.888.7-6.921%-
vs Similar (9)42.147.789.8-5.622%-
vs Weaker (2)44.544.088.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A20/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/03
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/04
NBL1 South
87.8Avg total
44.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.043.989.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.740.387.0+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)45.347.592.8-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.787.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.889.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.745.487.1-3.844%-
vs Similar (6)46.744.791.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.442.691.0+5.867%-
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NW Tasmania wins
7
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
26/04/24NW Tasmania v Ballarat98-95
17/06/23Ballarat v NW Tasmania102-81
22/04/23NW Tasmania v Ballarat84-94
24/07/22Ballarat v NW Tasmania97-89
24/04/21NW Tasmania v Ballarat71-74 OT
25/05/19Ballarat v NW Tasmania94-67
30/07/17Ballarat v NW Tasmania98-79
02/06/17NW Tasmania v Ballarat85-78
23/04/16NW Tasmania v Ballarat95-92
30/05/15NW Tasmania v Ballarat85-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ABendigo Braves90-81
05/04/25AWaverley88-104
14/07/24ADandenong75-81
13/07/24ANunawading71-75
06/07/24HBendigo Braves96-85
29/06/24HKilsyth77-81 OT
28/06/24HDiamond Valley93-78
23/06/24AKnox70-95
22/06/24AEltham96-93
15/06/24HSandringham Sabres80-94
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AGeelong72-98
29/03/25HBendigo Braves109-75
10/08/24HEltham70-79
03/08/24ASandringham Sabres103-101
27/07/24HDandenong91-78
20/07/24AFrankston58-97
13/07/24AEltham75-93
07/07/24HCasey Cavaliers94-75
05/07/24HSandringham Sabres99-85
30/06/24AFrankston69-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game92.5-92.5
Point differential-3.5--3.5
Avg total181.5-181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game90.5109.072.0
Allowed / game86.575.098.0
Point differential+4.0+34.0-26.0
Avg total177.0184.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Hobart Chargers330100%84.778.3+6.3
3 Mt Gambier32167%96.071.7+24.3
4 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
5 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
6 Casey Cavaliers32167%81.079.3+1.7
7 Waverley32167%93.793.7+0.0
8 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
9 Ballarat21150%90.586.5+4.0
10 Frankston21150%88.587.5+1.0
11 Kilsyth42250%81.282.0-0.8
12 NW Tasmania21150%89.092.5-3.5
13 Geelong21150%78.090.0-12.0
14 Nunawading31233%82.789.0-6.3
15 Keilor Thunder31233%81.389.7-8.3
16 Bendigo Braves31233%81.090.0-9.0
17 Diamond Valley41325%80.594.8-14.2
18 Dandenong3030%84.095.3-11.3
19 Sandringham Sabres3030%75.094.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania2821122788
Ballarat1624272794
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