Ballarat vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jul 2022

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 97-89

35-25 21-18 21-19 20-27

Position#12

Record8-8

FormWLLLL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game79.6

Ballarat 🏆

NW Tasmania

Position#13

Record9-9

FormLWLWW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game78.7

NBL1 SouthRound 13

Other2022

Meetings · Ballarat v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#18

86-72

+14

H21/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

67-74

-7

A22/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

83-80

A28/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

78-63

+15

A04/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

75-82

-7

H18/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

72-70

A19/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

75-85

-10

H25/06

NBL1 South

Knox

62-81

-19

A02/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

68-88

-20

H09/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

84-87

-3

H16/07

NBL1 South

30-21

23-16

11-25

22-10

18-20

16-22

17-10

22-25

20-22

19-21

22-12

12-17

20-13

26-11

20-22

22-16

17-20

19-26

17-20

18-19

25-13

16-15

13-23

13-22

20-17

21-24

21-22

14-14

15-28

19-18

14-21

15-19

18-19

17-24

18-26

24-21

21-27

15-18

153.2Avg total

75.0Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	80.2	79.6	159.8	+0.6	50%
Season at home (8)	84.0	83.4	167.4	+0.6	38%
Season away (8)	76.4	75.9	152.2	+0.5	62%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	78.2	153.2	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	82.2	154.4	-10.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	76.8	80.1	156.9	-3.4	38%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.0	79.5	158.5	-0.5	43%
vs Weaker (8)	86.1	75.4	161.5	+10.8	88%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

59-91

-32

A18/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

76-69

A19/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

82-86

-4

A25/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

71-88

-17

A26/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

92-67

+25

H02/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

88-92 OT

-4

A09/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

90-81

A10/07

NBL1 South

Knox

50-69

-19

H15/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

90-61

+29

H16/07

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

89-86

A23/07

NBL1 South

20-23

12-21

17-20

10-27

18-17

24-20

16-21

18-11

20-25

19-27

19-19

24-15

17-23

20-22

13-20

21-23

20-16

24-15

25-22

23-14

28-20

16-23

24-20

17-22

25-21

27-22

12-10

26-28

16-14

16-20

13-16

5-19

18-18

30-21

12-9

30-13

30-27

24-17

14-22

21-20

157.7Avg total

78.7Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.6	78.7	154.2	-3.1	50%
Season at home (9)	74.0	74.3	148.3	-0.3	56%
Season away (9)	77.1	83.0	160.1	-5.9	44%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	79.0	157.7	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	77.8	159.2	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	71.2	82.3	153.6	-11.1	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	82.5	84.1	166.6	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker (11)	86.5	70.1	156.6	+16.5	100%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	14%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	18.1	41.1	+4.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	18.1	39.5	+3.4	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.4	39.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.7	39.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.1	16.9	39.0	+5.2	82%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#18

53-37

+16

H21/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

34-42

-8

A22/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

42-47

-5

A28/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

32-30

A04/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

39-36

H18/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

43-32

+11

A19/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

33-39

-6

H25/06

NBL1 South

Knox

29-42

-13

A02/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

33-38

-5

H09/07

NBL1 South

Frankston

48-42

H16/07

NBL1 South

77.1Avg total

38.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.3	80.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	39.6	81.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	40.9	79.1	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.5	77.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.6	75.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.1	41.6	78.8	-4.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (8)	45.8	38.2	84.0	+7.5	88%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

32-44

-12

A18/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

42-37

A19/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

39-52

-13

A25/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

37-45

-8

A26/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

44-31

+13

H02/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

44-43

A09/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

52-43

A10/07

NBL1 South

Knox

32-34

-2

H15/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

48-39

H16/07

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

54-44

+10

A23/07

NBL1 South

83.6Avg total

42.4Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.7	39.6	80.3	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.1	78.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	39.2	81.7	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	41.2	83.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	40.6	86.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.0	40.7	78.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.0	44.2	84.2	-4.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.5	35.0	78.5	+8.5	91%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	18.2	39.8	+3.2	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	17.9	34.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	15.4	30.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.3	19.4	36.8	-2.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.2	35.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.4	17.9	35.2	-0.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.9	22.2	38.1	-6.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.7	22.4	47.1	+2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.9	16.0	36.9	+4.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	36.7	75.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	38.6	77.1	-0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	34.9	74.2	+4.4	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	39.7	76.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	43.6	78.6	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.0	34.6	73.6	+4.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.4	37.1	77.5	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	38.4	77.8	+0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	38.3	78.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	38.6	76.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.1	73.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	35.8	70.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	33.2	41.7	74.9	-8.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.4	40.4	82.9	+2.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.7	34.2	75.9	+7.5	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

NW Tasmania wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/21	NW Tasmania v Ballarat	71-74 OT
25/05/19	Ballarat v NW Tasmania	94-67
30/07/17	Ballarat v NW Tasmania	98-79
02/06/17	NW Tasmania v Ballarat	85-78
23/04/16	NW Tasmania v Ballarat	95-92
30/05/15	NW Tasmania v Ballarat	85-101

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/07/22	H	Frankston	84-87
09/07/22	H	Keilor Thunder	68-88
02/07/22	A	Knox	62-81
25/06/22	H	Ringwood	75-85
19/06/22	A	Dandenong	72-70
18/06/22	H	Hobart Chargers	75-82
04/06/22	A	Geelong	78-63
28/05/22	A	Keilor Thunder	83-80
22/05/22	A	Waverley	67-74
21/05/22	H	Melbourne Tigers	86-72

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/07/22	A	Mt Gambier	89-86
16/07/22	H	Diamond Valley	90-61
15/07/22	H	Knox	50-69
10/07/22	A	Ringwood	90-81
09/07/22	A	Eltham	88-92 OT
02/07/22	H	Dandenong	92-67
26/06/22	A	Nunawading	71-88
25/06/22	A	Geelong	82-86
19/06/22	A	Melbourne Tigers	76-69
18/06/22	A	Frankston	59-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	50%
Home	WLLLL	38%
Away	LWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	50%	38%	62%
Points / game	80.2	84.0	76.4
Allowed / game	79.6	83.4	75.9
Point differential	+0.6	+0.6	+0.5
Avg total	159.8	167.4	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	LLWLW	56%
Away	LLLWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	50%	56%	44%
Points / game	75.6	74.0	77.1
Allowed / game	78.7	74.3	83.0
Point differential	-3.1	-0.3	-5.9
Avg total	154.2	148.3	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	33%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hobart Chargers	18	15	3	83%	88.8	78.7	+10.2
2	Mt Gambier	17	12	5	71%	95.2	84.5	+10.7
3	Kilsyth	18	12	6	67%	82.6	79.3	+3.2
4	Bendigo Braves	17	11	6	65%	80.8	73.9	+6.9
5	Sandringham Sabres	17	11	6	65%	82.6	83.4	-0.8
6	Frankston	18	11	7	61%	89.9	84.7	+5.2
7	Geelong	17	10	7	59%	85.1	82.5	+2.5
8	Waverley	16	9	7	56%	84.2	82.1	+2.2
9	Ringwood	17	9	8	53%	79.8	82.2	-2.4
10	Knox	18	9	9	50%	82.6	77.0	+5.6
11	Ballarat	16	8	8	50%	80.2	79.6	+0.6
12	NW Tasmania	18	9	9	50%	75.6	78.7	-3.1
13	Diamond Valley	18	8	10	44%	81.4	85.2	-3.8
14	Nunawading	17	6	11	35%	77.5	82.4	-4.8
15	Keilor Thunder	18	6	12	33%	75.4	78.2	-2.8
16	Casey Cavaliers	17	5	12	29%	82.6	86.9	-4.2
17	Dandenong	17	5	12	29%	80.4	89.6	-9.2
18	Eltham	17	4	13	24%	75.1	82.3	-7.2
19	Melbourne Tigers	15	3	12	20%	71.6	82.3	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	35	21	21	20	97
NW Tasmania	25	18	19	27	89

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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