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Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 81-90
21-23 21-25 29-20 10-22
Position#2
Record20-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
Position#6
Record19-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.1
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro
21 Dec 2026
BOCA v FERR
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
BOCA81
FERR90
16 Jun 2025
BOCA86
FERR70
08 Jun 2025
BOCA69
FERR71
06 Jun 2025
BOCA85
FERR71
27 Feb 2025
BOCA80
FERR77
07 Oct 2023
BOCA77
FERR66
01 Feb 2023
BOCA68
FERR69
18 Mar 2022
BOCA95
FERR59
27 Sep 2021
BOCA97
FERR69
09 Mar 2021
BOCA64
FERR67
16 Dec 2019
BOCA68
FERR69
28 Jan 2019
BOCA76
FERR65
01 Oct 2018
BOCA64
FERR81
18 Feb 2018
BOCA77
FERR71
21 Sep 2017
BOCA76
FERR83
19 Dec 2016
BOCA67
FERR75
13 Oct 2016
BOCA77
FERR83
27 Apr 2016
BOCA84
FERR61
08 Oct 2015
BOCA70
FERR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Boca Juniors
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.5
78.4▼ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.0
75.4▼ 0.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
53%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.1
15.8▼ 0.3
🔥 Form · Ferro
5.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.6
78.0▼ 3.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.0
76.4▼ 3.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
56%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.8
14.6▼ 1.2
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H19/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H20/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A04/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H06/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
11-16
23-17
19-15
29-18
16-19
19-23
20-24
18-17
28-15
25-28
19-14
19-19
20-20
21-14
15-15
19-25
25-10
23-12
19-23
24-22
26-16
15-20
15-13
18-20
21-19
13-19
10-20
26-21
18-17
24-27
25-18
26-18
23-22
14-19
20-18
5-17
21-22
34-11
14-18
155.1Avg total
80.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.077.2158.2+3.861%
Season at home (15)80.873.8154.6+7.073%
Season away (18)81.180.1161.2+1.150%
Last 10 (10)80.874.3155.1+6.590%
Last 5 (5)78.475.4153.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.974.8147.7-1.936%
vs Weaker (19)84.775.2159.8+9.579%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H23/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
73-115
73
115
-42
A06/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H11/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A16/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A18/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A21/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A24/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H08/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
26-23
17-22
19-11
19-34
21-32
17-18
16-31
25-26
14-17
19-9
14-17
19-20
21-24
21-20
19-17
25-27
17-14
22-28
8-22
21-18
25-17
19-28
15-21
16-12
16-15
17-18
16-26
27-20
17-20
12-17
14-20
30-21
29-15
25-19
16-19
22-14
16-24
19-14
18-24
159.2Avg total
77.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.782.1165.8+1.658%
Season at home (18)87.179.3166.4+7.872%
Season away (15)79.685.3164.9-5.740%
Last 10 (10)77.781.5159.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)78.076.4154.4+1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.0103.5184.5-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.880.6162.5+1.250%
vs Weaker (6)87.880.3168.2+7.583%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
Boca JuniorsFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Penarol
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H20/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A04/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
Liga A
77.8Avg total
41.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.536.878.3+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.737.377.0+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)43.636.379.9+7.379%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.880.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.536.974.5+0.645%-
vs Weaker (19)43.836.880.6+7.079%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H23/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A06/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/03
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A16/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A21/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A24/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/04
Liga A
84.8Avg total
43.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.284.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.639.784.3+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)41.943.285.1-1.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.484.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.279.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.558.599.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)42.039.881.8+2.155%-
vs Weaker (6)49.840.590.3+9.383%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.0
51.7%
53.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.316.1
79.3%
71.5%16.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.5
54.1%
53.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.3
68.7%
71.5%10.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWLWWWWWW
Ferro
LWLLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#6
+7.9
Net rating
-5.1
106.3
Offensive rating
109.0
98.3
Defensive rating
114.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
4.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.3%
3-point %
33.3%
54.7%
Assist %
55.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 109.0Defence98.3 · 114.1Shooting51.0% · 52.2%3-point %33.3% · 33.3%Ball care4.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boca Juniors wins
3
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
29/12/25Ferro v Boca Juniors100-84
17/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro86-70
13/06/25Ferro v Boca Juniors72-74
12/06/25Ferro v Boca Juniors76-73
08/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro69-71
06/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro85-71
28/02/25Boca Juniors v Ferro80-77
04/12/24Ferro v Boca Juniors82-97
04/04/24Ferro v Boca Juniors69-70
08/10/23Boca Juniors v Ferro77-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe74-68
04/04/26ASan Lorenzo83-77
28/03/26ALa Union93-83
26/03/26AObera TC62-78
20/03/26HAtenas80-71
18/03/26HPenarol86-70
13/03/26HInstituto de Cordoba75-68
09/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba90-74
22/02/26HPlatense95-91 OT
19/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba70-63
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HObera TC75-76
05/04/26HArgentino100-74
24/03/26ARegatas70-77
21/03/26ASan Martin65-71
18/03/26AObera TC80-84
16/03/26ALa Union72-91
11/03/26HRacing de Chivilcoy80-81
07/03/26AOlimpico72-69
06/03/26AQuimsa73-115
23/02/26HSan Lorenzo90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game81.080.881.1
Allowed / game77.273.880.1
Point differential+3.8+7.0+1.1
Avg total158.2154.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLWL72%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %58%72%40%
Points / game83.787.179.6
Allowed / game82.179.385.3
Point differential+1.6+7.8-5.7
Avg total165.8166.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)38% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia34231168%81.776.4+5.3
2 Quimsa33211264%82.475.7+6.7
3 Obera TC33211264%81.377.0+4.3
4 Boca Juniors33201361%81.077.2+3.8
5 Regatas33201361%78.476.1+2.3
6 Obras Sanitarias32191359%81.679.1+2.5
7 Independiente de Oliva33191458%87.584.1+3.5
8 Instituto de Cordoba33191458%77.275.2+2.0
9 Ferro33191458%83.782.1+1.6
10 La Union34191556%80.980.0+0.9
11 Penarol33181555%81.281.1+0.1
12 San Martin33151845%75.376.3-1.0
13 Olimpico35152043%79.580.1-0.6
14 San Lorenzo33132039%79.682.7-3.1
15 Racing de Chivilcoy34132138%79.582.0-2.5
16 Platense34132138%82.385.1-2.8
17 Union De Santa Fe34122235%81.584.4-2.9
18 Atenas33112233%76.781.3-4.6
19 Argentino3262619%74.089.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2121291081
Ferro2325202290
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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