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Ockelbo vs AIK Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.6
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ockelbo v AIK Basket
30 Jan 2027
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OCKE56
AIK 73
01 Mar 2025
OCKE95
AIK 82
09 Mar 2024
OCKE77
AIK 62
08 Oct 2022
OCKE82
AIK 74
29 Jan 2022
OCKE70
AIK 75
06 Mar 2021
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Alvik
#3
L
59-127
59
127
-68
41avg 64
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 64
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
64avg 64
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 64
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
64avg 64
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 64
H24/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 64
H31/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
48avg 64
H01/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
58-70
58
70
-12
no box
H07/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
64-97
64
97
-33
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
16-35
12-36
11-23
16-20
22-19
28-12
28-24
22-18
15-16
23-18
13-19
14-21
29-27
14-18
14-24
15-18
17-17
16-24
21-21
15-20
23-13
20-28
17-15
17-21
25-12
26-15
12-21
13-20
18-26
20-20
14-12
21-22
17-24
10-11
10-13
18-28
18-24
15-20
13-25
154.1Avg total
70.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.883.3154.1-12.530%
Season at home (5)69.474.6144.0-5.220%
Season away (5)72.292.0164.2-19.840%
Last 10 (10)70.883.3154.1-12.530%
Last 5 (5)68.478.0146.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.685.5158.1-12.916%
vs Similar (8)78.177.1155.2+1.050%
vs Weaker (3)73.763.0136.7+10.767%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 78
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 78
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 78
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 78
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 78
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 78
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 78
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 78
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 78
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
93-61
93
61
+32
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
18-14
10-22
26-9
19-11
25-17
31-17
15-12
22-15
161.2Avg total
86.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.769.6154.3+15.186%
Season at home (3)86.361.7148.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)86.374.9161.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.386.0158.3-13.70%
vs Similar (15)83.981.7165.5+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.568.2152.7+16.383%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
OckelboAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#3
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A19/09
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/09
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H10/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H24/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H01/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/11
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A14/11
Superettan
80.5Avg total
37.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.478.5-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.238.376.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.680.5-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.480.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.943.181.0-5.226%-
vs Similar (8)40.137.978.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker (3)33.330.363.7+3.033%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H14/11
Superettan
81.1Avg total
44.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.976.6+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.081.1+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.675.8+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.083.0-3.067%-
vs Similar (15)40.339.880.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.135.278.3+7.867%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.6
51.4%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.75.1
21.5%
29.5%15.3
🏀 Free throws23.314.5
62.2%
65.7%14.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.2
30.3%
29.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.7%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
LLLWLLLWWL
AIK Basket
WWWWLWWLWW
#12
League position
#1
-7.8
Net rating
+8.3
79.6
Offensive rating
87.9
87.4
Defensive rating
79.6
44.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
21.5%
3-point %
30.3%
61.8%
Assist %
65.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence79.6 · 87.9Defence87.4 · 79.6Shooting44.5% · 48.7%3-point %21.5% · 30.3%Ball care17.6% · 14.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Ockelbo   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ockelbo wins
6
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Ockelbo v AIK Basket56-73
14/02/26AIK Basket v Ockelbo78-69
01/03/25Ockelbo v AIK Basket95-82
26/10/24AIK Basket v Ockelbo74-63
09/03/24Ockelbo v AIK Basket77-62
30/09/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo87-68
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFryshuset Basket64-97
07/11/26HTrelleborg58-70
01/11/26HAlvik65-78
31/10/26HMalbas80-69
24/10/26HHuddinge75-76
10/10/26HNorrort69-80
04/10/26AIK Eos71-90
03/10/26AMalbas73-71
26/09/26ACross Over94-75
19/09/26AAlvik59-127
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCross Over93-61
01/11/26AEskilstuna73-56
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game70.869.472.2
Allowed / game83.374.692.0
Point differential-12.5-5.2-19.8
Avg total154.1144.0164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.786.383.5
Allowed / game69.661.775.5
Point differential+15.1+24.7+8.0
Avg total154.3148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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