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Okapi Aalst vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-95
24-27 25-26 19-18 14-24
Position#16
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum (Aalst)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Circus Brussels
15 Mar 2025
OKAP68
CIRC82
20 Oct 2023
OKAP75
CIRC67
14 Oct 2023
OKAP82
CIRC95
18 Feb 2023
OKAP85
CIRC80
23 Jan 2022
OKAP82
CIRC70
15 Jan 2022
OKAP78
CIRC62
14 Dec 2019
OKAP80
CIRC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A23/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
104-76
104
76
+28
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
101-67
101
67
+34
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
65-101
65
101
-36
no box
A15/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
63-85
63
85
-22
52avg 70
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 70
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 70
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 70
A07/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-13
21-30
21-15
20-11
31-17
33-27
20-21
17-28
18-20
28-29
24-17
38-17
19-22
31-14
13-14
26-10
23-24
17-22
15-19
17-27
20-28
13-25
15-21
17-22
20-18
11-17
15-28
29-24
24-27
24-19
12-23
22-23
16-22
20-21
22-21
22-29
23-15
19-23
20-24
168.7Avg total
83.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.089.0168.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Season away (3)78.789.7168.3-11.00%
Last 10 (10)83.984.8168.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)76.291.4167.6-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.786.0161.7-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.387.1165.4-8.830%
vs Weaker (17)89.877.5167.4+12.376%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#19
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A23/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
86-94
86
94
-8
73avg 78
H24/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 78
A30/09
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
87avg 78
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 78
H08/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-29
30-22
27-16
26-14
26-19
17-24
20-27
16-20
20-14
14-19
27-22
13-10
22-17
15-14
25-21
20-23
15-15
13-28
13-18
21-18
28-24
6-25
28-18
24-20
20-22
20-21
22-31
17-24
20-23
22-14
21-11
13-18
30-14
26-11
16-16
13-17
26-22
21-15
19-21
158.4Avg total
80.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.575.0157.5+7.575%
Season at home (2)82.584.5167.0-2.050%
Season away (2)82.565.5148.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.478.0158.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)82.677.0159.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.285.5163.7-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.775.0158.7+8.767%
vs Weaker (6)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
Okapi AalstCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A23/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H28/04
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A03/05
BNXT League
Amsterdam
#20
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H05/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H12/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A15/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A29/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H04/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A07/10
BNXT League
86.3Avg total
44.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.586.0+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.838.786.5+9.171%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.985.6-2.356%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.886.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.089.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.742.081.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.845.886.6-5.040%-
vs Weaker (17)47.538.986.4+8.682%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#19
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A23/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H28/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A03/05
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H05/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A14/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/09
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/09
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/10
BNXT League
78.8Avg total
40.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.080.4-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.380.9+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.779.9-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.840.580.3-0.848%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.340.381.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker (6)37.043.280.2-6.217%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.5
50.0%
52.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.25.0
32.8%
33.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
71.4%17.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.5
55.3%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.3%
33.1%23.2
🏀 Free throws26.819.2
72.0%
71.4%19.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LLLLLWWLWW
Circus Brussels
WWWLLLWWWL
#16
League position
#9
-14.5
Net rating
+10.0
102.2
Offensive rating
109.1
116.8
Defensive rating
99.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.45
32.8%
3-point %
32.3%
49.1%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 109.1Defence116.8 · 99.1Shooting49.8% · 52.5%3-point %32.8% · 32.3%Ball care18.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Okapi Aalst wins
2
Circus Brussels wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23AMechelen84-91
04/10/23HSpirou Charleroi80-87
29/09/23AKortrijk89-93
23/09/23AOostende63-85
15/05/23ALeuven Bears65-101
12/05/23HLeuven Bears81-75
05/05/23HAmsterdam101-67
03/05/23AAmsterdam87-94
28/04/23HAmsterdam104-76
23/04/23AQSTA Utd85-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HAntwerp Giants79-75
04/10/23ALiege85-59
30/09/23ALeuven Bears80-72
24/09/23HKortrijk86-94
14/05/23ASpirou Charleroi83-85
12/05/23HSpirou Charleroi61-84
05/05/23HFeyenoord75-62
03/05/23AFeyenoord77-75
28/04/23HQSTA Utd89-84
23/04/23ADen Helder89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.080.078.7
Allowed / game89.087.089.7
Point differential-10.0-7.0-11.0
Avg total168.0167.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game82.582.582.5
Allowed / game75.084.565.5
Point differential+7.5-2.0+17.0
Avg total157.5167.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zwolle330100%82.058.7+23.3
2 Limburg330100%78.359.0+19.3
3 BAL Weert330100%78.369.7+8.7
4 Spirou Charleroi330100%85.378.3+7.0
5 Feyenoord220100%83.577.5+6.0
6 Circus Brussels43175%82.575.0+7.5
7 Oostende43175%76.870.5+6.2
8 Leiden32167%85.367.0+18.3
9 Den Bosch32167%81.367.0+14.3
10 Antwerp Giants32167%75.374.0+1.3
11 Kortrijk42250%79.084.8-5.8
12 Mechelen52340%73.677.6-4.0
13 Liege52340%75.079.4-4.4
14 Donar Groningen31233%65.770.3-4.7
15 Leuven Bears41325%77.879.2-1.5
16 Belfius Mons3030%71.780.7-9.0
17 Okapi Aalst4040%79.089.0-10.0
18 LWD Basket4040%71.891.5-19.8
19 Den Helder3030%63.083.7-20.7
20 QSTA Utd2020%68.594.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst2425191482
Circus Brussels2726182495
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