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Okapi Aalst vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 107-103
32-22 20-24 30-30 25-27
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game87.4
Okapi Aalst 🏆
vs
Den Bosch
Position#6
Record17-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 28· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Den Bosch
14 Nov 2026
OKAP102
DBO100
11 Apr 2026
OKAP107
DBO103
26 Oct 2024
OKAP93
DBO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 85
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-67
73
67
+6
68avg 85
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 85
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
102avg 85
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 85
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 85
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
102avg 85
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 85
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
111-82
111
82
+29
119avg 85
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
64avg 85
A04/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
24-20
21-25
15-20
23-16
9-19
22-14
19-18
23-25
17-22
26-20
21-17
28-23
18-19
35-27
23-26
27-17
22-24
19-27
35-14
32-22
25-17
17-19
21-18
26-21
27-27
19-22
34-20
25-28
20-28
15-16
30-37
34-14
30-30
27-18
20-20
18-28
17-18
15-27
24-21
179.7Avg total
92.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)95.287.4182.6+7.870%
Season at home (13)99.285.6184.8+13.585%
Season away (14)91.589.1180.6+2.457%
Last 10 (10)92.587.2179.7+5.370%
Last 5 (5)95.290.2185.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.097.5200.5+5.550%
vs Similar (7)90.393.4183.7-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.884.6179.3+10.280%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 84
A24/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 84
H30/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
85-98
85
98
-13
84avg 84
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
95-77
95
77
+18
95avg 84
H22/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
91-92
91
92
-1
87avg 84
A06/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 84
A13/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
112-74
112
74
+38
108avg 84
H15/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-61
77
61
+16
76avg 84
A28/03
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
66avg 84
H01/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
75-65
75
65
+10
74avg 84
H03/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
15-21
22-18
25-20
31-27
23-19
16-15
25-18
26-24
17-23
19-26
23-25
32-21
18-16
23-19
22-21
25-17
27-26
24-24
15-25
19-13
12-29
17-8
26-21
28-24
27-17
29-14
28-19
17-20
17-15
23-6
20-20
16-23
16-30
24-16
16-25
14-17
28-16
17-16
16-16
163.9Avg total
85.4Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)86.381.1167.4+5.365%
Season at home (14)89.280.5169.7+8.764%
Season away (12)83.081.8164.8+1.267%
Last 10 (10)85.478.5163.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)82.073.0155.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)87.384.3171.7+3.050%
vs Similar (7)87.385.3172.6+2.057%
vs Weaker (15)84.976.9161.8+7.973%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Okapi AalstDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H21/03
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H28/03
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/04
BNXT League
91.3Avg total
46.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.590.7+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.344.993.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)44.444.288.6+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.744.691.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.846.697.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)42.648.991.4-6.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.342.990.2+4.465%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H30/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H22/02
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A06/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/03
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H15/03
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A28/03
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H01/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H03/04
BNXT League
83.7Avg total
42.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.139.883.8+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)41.442.583.8-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.383.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.879.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.842.086.8+2.850%-
vs Similar (7)46.143.489.6+2.757%-
vs Weaker (15)40.739.880.5+0.940%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.5
58.4%
54.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.3
38.4%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.619.3
81.8%
72.4%19.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.8
56.1%
54.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws26.420.2
76.5%
72.4%20.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWLWWWWWWL
Den Bosch
WLWWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#6
+6.0
Net rating
+8.4
106.4
Offensive rating
101.7
100.4
Defensive rating
93.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.45
38.4%
3-point %
34.6%
56.0%
Assist %
70.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 101.7Defence100.4 · 93.3Shooting58.1% · 54.3%3-point %38.4% · 34.6%Ball care15.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Okapi Aalst wins
2
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Den Bosch v Okapi Aalst98-76
07/05/25Den Bosch v Okapi Aalst80-61
26/10/24Okapi Aalst v Den Bosch93-61
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26AMechelen74-94
28/03/26HDonar Groningen111-82
21/03/26HOostende90-109
15/03/26ALeuven Bears106-90
13/03/26HLeuven Bears95-76
07/03/26ABAL Weert103-82
22/02/26AZwolle104-95
14/02/26HBrussels Basketball87-84
31/01/26ASpirou Charleroi73-67
23/01/26AKortrijk82-93
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/26HLWD Basket75-65
01/04/26HBrussels Basketball72-94
28/03/26ABAL Weert77-61
15/03/26HRotterdam112-74
13/03/26ARotterdam74-71
06/03/26AKortrijk91-92
22/02/26HOostende95-77
14/02/26HSpirou Charleroi85-98
30/01/26HLimburg95-79
24/01/26AMechelen78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%85%57%
Points / game95.299.291.5
Allowed / game87.485.689.1
Point differential+7.8+13.5+2.4
Avg total182.6184.8180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%69%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game86.389.283.0
Allowed / game81.180.581.8
Point differential+5.3+8.7+1.2
Avg total167.4169.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2622485%96.277.4+18.7
2 Oostende2821775%89.880.9+8.9
3 Okapi Aalst2719870%95.287.4+7.8
4 Kortrijk2819968%88.180.9+7.3
5 Den Bosch2617965%86.381.1+5.3
6 Mechelen28171161%78.178.2-0.1
7 Limburg27161159%89.981.4+8.5
8 Donar Groningen26151158%83.784.6-0.9
9 Brussels Basketball27151256%84.981.6+3.2
10 Leiden28151354%83.380.8+2.5
11 Spirou Charleroi27131448%83.385.8-2.5
12 Leuven Bears28121643%80.881.3-0.5
13 Den Helder27101737%80.382.3-2.0
14 Zwolle27101737%80.884.3-3.5
15 Belfius Mons2791833%84.591.6-7.1
16 LWD Basket2791833%84.092.8-8.9
17 Rotterdam2842414%73.089.4-16.5
18 BAL Weert282267%69.588.2-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst32203025107
Den Bosch22243027103
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