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Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 111-82
34-14 30-30 27-18 20-20
Position#3
Record18-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#7
Record12-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 25· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Donar Groningen
25 Oct 2026
OKAP114
DGR90
28 Mar 2026
OKAP111
DGR82
05 Oct 2024
OKAP93
DGR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
103-89 OT
103
89
+14
97avg 84
H13/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
105-85
105
85
+20
no box
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 84
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-67
73
67
+6
68avg 84
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 84
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
102avg 84
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 84
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 84
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
106-90
106
90
+16
102avg 84
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
90-109
90
109
-19
78avg 84
H21/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
22-16
23-13
20-22
29-24
20-26
28-20
28-15
22-28
24-20
21-25
15-20
23-16
9-19
22-14
19-18
23-25
17-22
26-20
21-17
28-23
18-19
35-27
23-26
27-17
22-24
19-27
35-14
32-22
25-17
17-19
21-18
26-21
27-27
19-22
34-20
25-28
20-28
15-16
30-37
181.8Avg total
94.8Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.487.4182.8+8.072%
Season at home (12)98.285.9184.1+12.283%
Season away (13)92.888.7181.5+4.262%
Last 10 (10)94.887.0181.8+7.880%
Last 5 (5)99.690.4190.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.097.5200.5+5.550%
vs Similar (8)86.691.8178.4-5.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)95.383.9179.2+11.484%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
77-76
77
76
+1
73avg 78
H24/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
105-84
105
84
+21
104avg 78
H31/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
72-113
72
113
-41
63avg 78
A13/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 78
A21/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 78
H08/03
BNXT League
Opava
#8
W
103-86
103
86
+17
106avg 78
H10/03
ENBL
Den Helder
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
85avg 78
A12/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
90-92
90
92
-2
84avg 78
H15/03
BNXT League
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
76avg 78
H17/03
ENBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
72avg 78
A25/03
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-19
20-23
17-15
26-19
23-20
26-22
30-23
19-29
22-31
17-23
14-30
12-18
26-19
13-25
27-24
26-15
22-21
21-26
23-23
30-19
25-28
27-20
21-19
25-31
18-14
26-20
19-21
27-22
19-23
22-18
22-29
14-26
27-18
19-33
21-23
12-21
21-15
19-24
21-20
174.7Avg total
85.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.284.1167.3-1.057%
Season at home (9)86.278.3164.6+7.978%
Season away (12)80.988.5169.4-7.642%
Last 10 (10)85.988.8174.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.088.8175.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.990.3174.2-6.433%
vs Similar (9)83.387.4170.8-4.144%
vs Weaker (9)86.672.2158.8+14.3100%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
Okapi AalstDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H13/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A15/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H21/03
BNXT League
90.7Avg total
45.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.590.5+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.344.793.0+3.650%-
Last 30 away (16)43.944.488.2-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.290.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)50.045.295.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.088.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)40.648.989.5-8.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.942.690.5+5.468%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H31/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A13/02
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A21/02
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/03
BNXT League
Opava
#8
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H10/03
ENBL
Den Helder
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/03
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/03
BNXT League
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H17/03
ENBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A25/03
ENBL
86.1Avg total
43.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.283.4-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.283.2+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.743.983.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.786.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.545.285.7-4.725%-
vs Similar (9)40.844.685.3-3.844%-
vs Weaker (9)42.735.978.6+6.878%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.7
59.4%
54.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.1
38.8%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.818.9
82.9%
72.4%18.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.4
57.0%
54.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.9
33.6%
34.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
72.4%14.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LWWWWWWLWW
Donar Groningen
LLLWWWLLWW
#3
League position
#7
+10.2
Net rating
-3.6
106.9
Offensive rating
95.3
96.8
Defensive rating
98.8
59.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.8%
3-point %
33.6%
50.6%
Assist %
67.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 95.3Defence96.8 · 98.8Shooting59.0% · 54.0%3-point %38.8% · 33.6%Ball care15.1% · 18.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Okapi Aalst wins
2
Donar Groningen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HOostende90-109
15/03/26ALeuven Bears106-90
13/03/26HLeuven Bears95-76
07/03/26ABAL Weert103-82
22/02/26AZwolle104-95
14/02/26HBrussels Basketball87-84
31/01/26ASpirou Charleroi73-67
23/01/26AKortrijk82-93
17/01/26HDen Helder105-85
13/01/26HAntwerp Giants103-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ASyntainics MBC73-80
17/03/26HSyntainics MBC81-100
15/03/26HDen Helder90-92
12/03/26ADen Helder88-86
10/03/26HOpava103-86
08/03/26HBelfius Mons92-85
21/02/26ALeuven Bears78-86
13/02/26AAntwerp Giants72-113
31/01/26HKortrijk105-84
24/01/26HBrussels Basketball77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %72%83%62%
Points / game95.498.292.8
Allowed / game87.485.988.7
Point differential+8.0+12.2+4.2
Avg total182.8184.1181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %57%78%42%
Points / game83.286.280.9
Allowed / game84.178.388.5
Point differential-1.0+7.9-7.6
Avg total167.3164.6169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2319483%96.377.5+18.7
2 Oostende2519676%89.880.6+9.2
3 Okapi Aalst2518772%95.487.4+8.0
4 Kortrijk2517868%86.780.2+6.5
5 Den Bosch2416867%87.481.2+6.2
6 Limburg25151060%89.479.8+9.6
7 Mechelen25151060%77.478.4-1.1
8 Donar Groningen2112957%83.284.1-1.0
9 Leiden25141156%84.480.5+3.9
10 Brussels Basketball24131154%84.181.5+2.7
11 Spirou Charleroi23111248%83.085.9-2.9
12 Leuven Bears24111346%80.580.5+0.0
13 Belfius Mons2491538%85.091.3-6.2
14 Den Helder2481633%81.385.5-4.1
15 Zwolle2481633%80.284.3-4.1
16 LWD Basket2371630%84.394.7-10.5
17 Rotterdam2532212%75.291.5-16.3
18 BAL Weert252238%69.187.7-18.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst34302720111
Donar Groningen1430182082
← all games of the day
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