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Donar Groningen vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-84
20-15 26-23 23-28 22-18
Position#14
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#13
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Okapi Aalst
24 Apr 2027
DGR v OKAP
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
DGR85
OKAP78
16 Feb 2025
DGR91
OKAP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
86avg 71
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 71
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
78-112
78
112
-34
70avg 71
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
79-124
79
124
-45
63avg 71
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
70-89
70
89
-19
62avg 71
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
98-102
98
102
-4
85avg 71
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 71
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
80avg 71
A04/02
ENBL
Mechelen
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 71
H08/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
26-13
22-21
13-18
23-11
13-30
25-19
16-14
22-32
17-27
21-23
18-30
19-30
20-29
19-32
21-33
12-19
25-21
22-23
11-26
16-25
19-20
30-27
33-30
23-18
18-16
21-19
20-23
28-11
12-25
16-20
28-23
19-34
16-17
24-25
27-12
17-26
24-20
17-19
17-20
170.6Avg total
81.2Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.884.6161.4-7.832%
Season at home (10)77.284.5161.7-7.330%
Season away (9)76.384.7161.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)81.289.4170.6-8.240%
Last 5 (5)85.086.0171.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.888.2165.0-11.412%
vs Similar (5)83.282.0165.2+1.240%
vs Weaker (7)76.975.4152.3+1.471%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
57avg 77
H14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
66-61
66
61
+5
61avg 77
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
74avg 77
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
69-112
69
112
-43
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 77
H11/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 77
A17/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
110-62
110
62
+48
111avg 77
H25/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
103-90
103
90
+13
102avg 77
H01/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
80-71
80
71
+9
82avg 77
H07/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
4-21
22-25
15-19
17-14
14-17
13-20
22-10
25-24
24-14
15-20
20-25
15-25
15-30
22-34
17-23
18-17
20-21
17-20
25-19
29-16
31-17
20-22
13-25
28-21
25-24
20-18
25-27
27-18
34-21
23-14
26-9
28-24
19-22
33-20
23-24
22-11
19-16
14-26
25-18
165.5Avg total
84.7Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.378.0161.3+5.462%
Season at home (12)85.378.0163.3+7.367%
Season away (9)80.777.9158.6+2.856%
Last 10 (10)84.780.8165.5+3.980%
Last 5 (5)96.878.6175.4+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.481.4156.8-6.050%
vs Similar (10)80.479.9160.3+0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.374.5162.7+13.882%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Donar GroningenOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A22/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H11/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A17/01
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/01
ENBL
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/01
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/01
DBL Cup
Opava
#6
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/02
ENBL
Mechelen
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H08/02
BNXT League
82.8Avg total
39.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.580.5-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.842.181.9-2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.079.1-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.782.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.480.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.942.779.6-5.829%-
vs Similar (5)40.642.683.2-2.040%-
vs Weaker (7)41.139.180.3+2.071%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H14/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Kortrijk
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Belfius Mons
#9
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H11/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A17/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H25/01
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H01/02
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H07/02
BNXT League
82.7Avg total
43.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.579.4+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.537.278.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.980.2+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.082.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)52.438.090.4+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (10)40.737.478.1+3.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.537.881.4+5.764%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.1
54.7%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.3
36.1%
34.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.812.0
75.9%
71.9%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
52.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.5
35.0%
34.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.617.9
75.8%
71.9%17.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLWWLLLLWW
Okapi Aalst
WWWWWWLWWL
#14
League position
#13
-10.7
Net rating
+12.2
108.4
Offensive rating
113.7
119.1
Defensive rating
101.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.1%
3-point %
35.0%
59.2%
Assist %
52.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 113.7Defence119.1 · 101.5Shooting54.5% · 54.8%3-point %36.1% · 35.0%Ball care18.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
1
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Okapi Aalst v Donar Groningen93-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HMechelen75-85
04/02/25AOpava86-88
28/01/25HLWD Basket84-79
26/01/25HLeuven Bears82-76
23/01/25HDen Bosch98-102
21/01/25HTartu Ulikool70-89
17/01/25AKortrijk79-124
11/01/25HOostende78-112
27/12/24AQSTA Utd77-74
22/12/24AZwolle83-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HLeiden80-71
01/02/25HQSTA Utd103-90
25/01/25HDen Helder110-62
17/01/25ACircus Brussels98-90
11/01/25HBelfius Mons93-80
05/01/25AKortrijk80-77
03/01/25HKortrijk69-112
26/12/24HKortrijk84-83
21/12/24ABAL Weert66-61
14/12/24HLWD Basket64-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game76.877.276.3
Allowed / game84.684.584.7
Point differential-7.8-7.3-8.3
Avg total161.4161.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game83.385.380.7
Allowed / game78.078.077.9
Point differential+5.4+7.3+2.8
Avg total161.3163.3158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2118386%90.875.9+14.9
2 Kortrijk2016480%96.778.8+17.9
3 Mechelen2216673%80.974.9+6.0
4 Limburg2013765%79.774.4+5.3
5 Circus Brussels2214864%78.376.3+2.0
6 Okapi Aalst2113862%83.378.0+5.4
7 Spirou Charleroi2213959%79.674.1+5.5
8 Leuven Bears22121055%79.774.7+5.0
9 Belfius Mons22121055%80.878.5+2.3
10 LWD Basket21111052%81.782.4-0.7
11 Antwerp Giants21111052%79.380.1-0.8
12 Den Bosch23121152%81.781.2+0.5
13 Leiden22111150%77.579.9-2.5
14 Zwolle2281436%80.684.5-4.0
15 Den Helder2271532%70.683.0-12.4
16 Donar Groningen1961332%76.884.6-7.8
17 Feyenoord2161529%82.089.9-7.9
18 QSTA Utd2121910%77.089.6-12.6
19 BAL Weert222209%69.084.5-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen2026232291
Okapi Aalst1523281884
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