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Okapi Aalst vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-76
32-22 25-17 17-19 21-18
Position#3
Record16-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#13
Record11-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 23· Okapi Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears
10 Apr 2027
OKAP v LEUV
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
OKAP95
LEUV76
03 Jan 2026
OKAP75
LEUV82
14 Sep 2024
OKAP51
LEUV64
17 Feb 2024
OKAP76
LEUV86
12 May 2023
OKAP81
LEUV75
22 Oct 2022
OKAP83
LEUV74
21 May 2022
OKAP71
LEUV73
23 Oct 2021
OKAP68
LEUV57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
W
107-98
107
98
+9
107avg 82
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 82
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Rotterdam
#17
W
106-76
106
76
+30
99avg 82
A11/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
103-89 OT
103
89
+14
97avg 82
H13/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
105-85
105
85
+20
no box
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 82
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-67
73
67
+6
68avg 82
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 82
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
102avg 82
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 82
A07/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
32-31
26-24
23-17
20-23
8-15
23-16
24-28
23-24
24-19
27-19
32-14
16-30
22-16
23-13
20-22
29-24
20-26
28-20
28-15
22-28
24-20
21-25
15-20
23-16
9-19
22-14
19-18
23-25
17-22
26-20
21-17
28-23
18-19
35-27
23-26
27-17
22-24
19-27
35-14
179.6Avg total
94.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)95.286.8182.0+8.473%
Season at home (10)99.384.6183.9+14.790%
Season away (12)91.888.6180.3+3.258%
Last 10 (10)94.585.1179.6+9.480%
Last 5 (5)89.884.2174.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.288.6173.8-3.440%
vs Similar (7)86.189.3175.4-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)94.684.0178.6+10.682%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 74
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
90avg 74
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
91avg 74
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 74
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 74
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 74
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 74
A18/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
76avg 74
H21/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
71-77 OT
71
77
-6
60avg 74
H07/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-8
16-23
28-24
26-12
28-19
22-21
15-12
25-22
17-24
12-22
16-14
29-18
22-22
20-21
19-28
17-21
24-15
11-17
14-18
22-12
23-13
29-21
10-19
19-14
28-17
15-22
28-20
9-18
22-15
19-18
21-19
18-12
19-26
25-13
24-27
21-13
16-15
15-18
13-19
154.5Avg total
80.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.378.7159.0+1.650%
Season at home (12)83.981.6165.5+2.358%
Season away (10)76.075.3151.3+0.740%
Last 10 (10)80.174.4154.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)80.472.6153.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.283.0155.2-10.833%
vs Similar (16)80.679.9160.5+0.844%
vs Weaker (7)89.769.0158.7+20.7100%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
Okapi AalstLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#5
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Rotterdam
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H13/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/03
BNXT League
88.0Avg total
43.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.088.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.844.292.1+3.650%-
Last 30 away (18)42.243.986.1-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.788.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.844.082.8-5.220%-
vs Similar (7)40.047.987.9-7.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.142.589.6+4.665%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A18/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/03
BNXT League
75.9Avg total
42.3Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.577.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.279.2+2.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.936.775.6+2.257%-
Last 10 (10)42.333.675.9+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.070.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (16)39.738.978.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)44.933.678.4+11.371%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.1
59.6%
54.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.2
38.3%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.818.2
83.5%
72.4%18.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.7
54.8%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.6
34.1%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.4%16.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
WWWWLWWWLW
Leuven Bears
LWWWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#13
+6.2
Net rating
+14.4
108.2
Offensive rating
99.8
102.0
Defensive rating
85.4
58.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
43.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.3%
3-point %
34.1%
52.1%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 99.8Defence102.0 · 85.4Shooting58.7% · 53.5%3-point %38.3% · 34.1%Ball care14.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.2% · 43.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Okapi Aalst wins
8
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ABAL Weert103-82
22/02/26AZwolle104-95
14/02/26HBrussels Basketball87-84
31/01/26ASpirou Charleroi73-67
23/01/26AKortrijk82-93
17/01/26HDen Helder105-85
13/01/26HAntwerp Giants103-89 OT
11/01/26ARotterdam106-76
03/01/26HLeuven Bears75-82
26/12/25HLimburg107-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HMechelen71-77 OT
21/02/26HDonar Groningen86-78
18/02/26AOostende71-70
14/02/26HLeiden90-73
07/02/26HSpirou Charleroi84-65
31/01/26ADen Helder66-71
24/01/26HLimburg90-89
18/01/26ABrussels Basketball70-82
10/01/26HBAL Weert91-64
03/01/26AOkapi Aalst82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%90%58%
Points / game95.299.391.8
Allowed / game86.884.688.6
Point differential+8.4+14.7+3.2
Avg total182.0183.9180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%70%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %14%10%17%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%58%40%
Points / game80.383.976.0
Allowed / game78.781.675.3
Point differential+1.6+2.3+0.7
Avg total159.0165.5151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %18%25%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2219386%96.576.8+19.7
2 Oostende2317674%88.879.7+9.0
3 Okapi Aalst2216673%95.286.8+8.4
4 Kortrijk2215768%88.180.9+7.2
5 Den Bosch2214864%86.882.5+4.3
6 Mechelen2214864%78.079.3-1.3
7 Donar Groningen2012860%82.883.8-0.9
8 Limburg2213959%89.580.3+9.3
9 Leiden2213959%87.081.0+6.0
10 Brussels Basketball22121055%84.981.9+3.0
11 Leuven Bears22111150%80.378.7+1.6
12 Spirou Charleroi2081240%83.088.7-5.7
13 Belfius Mons2281436%85.191.5-6.5
14 Zwolle2271532%79.484.0-4.6
15 LWD Basket2161529%84.095.3-11.3
16 Den Helder2261627%80.086.2-6.1
17 Rotterdam2231914%75.890.9-15.1
18 BAL Weert222209%70.088.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst3225172195
Leuven Bears2217191876
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