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Okapi Aalst vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-91
19-17 19-22 30-24 25-28
Position#13
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Donar Groningen
25 Oct 2026
OKAP114
DGR90
28 Mar 2026
OKAP111
DGR82
05 Oct 2024
OKAP93
DGR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
103-74
103
74
+29
110avg 70
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 70
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 70
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 70
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
103-75
103
75
+28
103avg 70
H26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
66-67
66
67
-1
61avg 70
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 70
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
38avg 70
H14/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 70
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
69-76 OT
69
76
-7
56avg 70
A28/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
31-17
23-32
22-15
25-20
19-23
14-15
15-12
21-24
16-22
15-14
19-15
6-26
24-17
18-13
24-25
30-12
25-20
21-19
27-24
16-23
24-21
10-10
16-13
22-15
19-14
27-23
26-23
16-15
12-16
8-15
15-18
17-22
25-18
16-21
24-29
14-11
15-20
22-21
14-13
153.1Avg total
78.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.376.7144.0-9.30%
Season at home (1)51.064.0115.0-13.00%
Season away (2)75.583.0158.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)78.474.7153.1+3.740%
Last 5 (5)72.474.4146.8-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.681.6153.2-10.010%
vs Similar (12)74.877.5152.2-2.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.671.1155.8+13.588%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#5
W
89-57
89
57
+32
94avg 70
H12/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
79-90
79
90
-11
79avg 70
A15/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 70
H17/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 70
A19/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 70
H22/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 70
A24/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#10
W
73-64
73
64
+9
39avg 70
A14/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
67avg 70
H21/09
BNXT League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
79-95
79
95
-16
74avg 70
A25/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#1
L
70-99
70
99
-29
59avg 70
H28/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-7
20-20
21-16
23-14
20-26
16-28
15-21
28-15
22-15
19-13
22-25
19-22
22-37
25-24
23-19
20-20
27-20
24-23
22-19
15-18
23-29
18-28
21-17
21-16
12-26
19-7
17-13
25-18
11-24
28-27
18-19
22-22
19-22
19-27
13-25
28-21
26-22
9-27
16-25
19-25
165.4Avg total
81.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
Season at home (2)74.595.5170.0-21.00%
Season away (1)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.284.2165.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)76.888.0164.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.688.5164.1-12.823%
vs Similar (10)75.678.1153.7-2.540%
vs Weaker (7)75.164.4139.6+10.771%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Okapi AalstDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H06/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/04
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H26/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A30/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H14/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A22/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A28/09
BNXT League
77.0Avg total
40.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.776.7+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.178.8-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.677.0+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.071.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.540.275.7-4.720%-
vs Similar (12)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.937.282.1+7.675%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#5
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A15/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A19/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H22/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A24/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#10
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A14/09
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H21/09
BNXT League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A25/09
ENBL
Kortrijk
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H28/09
BNXT League
85.6Avg total
40.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.977.4-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.937.875.7+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.343.678.9-8.312%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.285.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.884.6-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.245.081.2-8.88%-
vs Similar (10)37.241.278.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker (7)36.132.969.0+3.371%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.522.9
49.2%
52.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.8
29.0%
34.1%17.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
71.9%14.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.8
55.3%
52.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.8
38.6%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.6
74.6%
71.9%12.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LLLWLWLLWW
Donar Groningen
LLLWLWLWLW
#13
League position
#14
+5.4
Net rating
-3.8
101.8
Offensive rating
108.8
96.4
Defensive rating
112.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
56.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.0%
3-point %
38.6%
59.2%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 108.8Defence96.4 · 112.5Shooting47.5% · 56.3%3-point %29.0% · 38.6%Ball care16.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.1% · 26.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Okapi Aalst wins
0
Donar Groningen wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24ABelfius Mons69-76 OT
22/09/24AZwolle82-90
14/09/24HLeuven Bears51-64
03/05/24HDen Helder94-75
30/04/24ALWD Basket66-67
26/04/24HFeyenoord103-75
20/04/24HMechelen72-81
13/04/24ACircus Brussels71-75
10/04/24AQSTA Utd73-70
06/04/24HLWD Basket103-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24HKortrijk70-99
25/09/24ADziki Warszawa79-95
21/09/24HBelfius Mons79-92
14/09/24ALWD Basket73-64
24/05/24ADen Bosch83-90
22/05/24HDen Bosch88-80
19/05/24ADen Bosch90-100
17/05/24HDen Bosch82-75
15/05/24ADen Bosch79-90
12/05/24HBAL Weert89-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.351.075.5
Allowed / game76.764.083.0
Point differential-9.3-13.0-7.5
Avg total144.0115.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%50%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game74.074.573.0
Allowed / game85.095.564.0
Point differential-11.0-21.0+9.0
Avg total159.0170.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk440100%96.877.2+19.5
2 Limburg440100%81.863.2+18.5
3 Zwolle330100%87.781.0+6.7
4 Oostende54180%86.873.8+13.0
5 Belfius Mons43175%82.575.5+7.0
6 Leuven Bears32167%74.769.0+5.7
7 Circus Brussels42250%75.276.8-1.5
8 Mechelen21150%72.074.5-2.5
9 Leiden42250%77.082.0-5.0
10 BAL Weert42250%81.089.0-8.0
11 Spirou Charleroi31233%85.077.3+7.7
12 LWD Basket31233%83.087.3-4.3
13 Donar Groningen31233%74.085.0-11.0
14 QSTA Utd31233%71.386.7-15.3
15 Antwerp Giants41325%72.275.2-3.0
16 Den Helder41325%68.077.0-9.0
17 Den Bosch3030%84.389.0-4.7
18 Okapi Aalst3030%67.376.7-9.3
19 Feyenoord3030%69.089.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst1919302593
Donar Groningen1722242891
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