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Leuven Bears vs Okapi Aalst Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 90-106
21-26 27-27 22-19 20-34
Position#13
Record11-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.4
Leuven Bears
vs
Okapi Aalst 🏆
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 24· Sportoase
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst
17 Jan 2027
LEUV v OKAP
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
LEUV90
OKAP106
26 Apr 2025
LEUV90
OKAP75
27 Mar 2024
LEUV71
OKAP63
14 Nov 2023
LEUV84
OKAP60
15 May 2023
LEUV101
OKAP65
07 Jan 2023
LEUV88
OKAP69
25 May 2022
LEUV74
OKAP66
07 Jan 2022
LEUV103
OKAP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
90avg 74
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
91avg 74
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 74
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 74
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 74
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 74
A18/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
76avg 74
H21/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
71-77 OT
71
77
-6
60avg 74
H07/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 74
A13/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
28-19
22-21
15-12
25-22
17-24
12-22
16-14
29-18
22-22
20-21
19-28
17-21
24-15
11-17
14-18
22-12
23-13
29-21
10-19
19-14
28-17
15-22
28-20
9-18
22-15
19-18
21-19
18-12
19-26
25-13
24-27
21-13
16-15
15-18
13-19
22-32
17-25
19-17
18-21
155.9Avg total
79.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.179.4159.6+0.748%
Season at home (12)83.981.6165.5+2.358%
Season away (11)76.077.1153.1-1.136%
Last 10 (10)79.576.4155.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)78.878.6157.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.784.7157.4-12.029%
vs Similar (16)80.679.9160.5+0.844%
vs Weaker (6)92.268.3160.5+23.8100%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
64avg 82
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Rotterdam
#17
W
106-76
106
76
+30
99avg 82
A11/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
W
103-89 OT
103
89
+14
97avg 82
H13/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
105-85
105
85
+20
no box
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 82
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-67
73
67
+6
68avg 82
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 82
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
102avg 82
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 82
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 82
H13/03
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
8-15
23-16
24-28
23-24
24-19
27-19
32-14
16-30
22-16
23-13
20-22
29-24
20-26
28-20
28-15
22-28
24-20
21-25
15-20
23-16
9-19
22-14
19-18
23-25
17-22
26-20
21-17
28-23
18-19
35-27
23-26
27-17
22-24
19-27
35-14
32-22
25-17
17-19
21-18
176.2Avg total
93.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)95.286.3181.5+8.974%
Season at home (11)98.983.8182.7+15.191%
Season away (12)91.888.6180.3+3.258%
Last 10 (10)93.382.9176.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)92.480.8173.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)90.090.8180.8-0.850%
vs Similar (7)86.189.3175.4-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.783.6178.2+11.183%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
Leuven BearsOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Leiden
#10
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A18/02
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H21/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H07/03
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A13/03
BNXT League
78.9Avg total
42.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.278.4+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.479.8+3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.177.0+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.578.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.475.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.441.678.0-5.129%-
vs Similar (16)39.738.978.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker (6)46.733.279.8+13.583%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Rotterdam
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A11/01
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H13/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H17/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A31/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/02
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A22/02
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/03
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H13/03
BNXT League
86.1Avg total
43.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.089.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.543.892.4+4.754%-
Last 30 away (17)42.944.187.1-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.986.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.885.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.245.086.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (7)40.047.987.9-7.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.742.389.9+5.467%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.2
53.8%
54.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.4
33.9%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.316.1
72.2%
72.4%16.1
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.6
61.2%
54.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.0
38.3%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.8
82.8%
72.4%17.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLWWWWLWLW
Okapi Aalst
WWWWWLWWWL
#13
League position
#3
+8.7
Net rating
+8.9
97.0
Offensive rating
107.8
88.4
Defensive rating
98.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
59.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.9%
3-point %
38.3%
56.3%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 107.8Defence88.4 · 98.9Shooting52.8% · 59.6%3-point %33.9% · 38.3%Ball care16.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds- · 32.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Leuven Bears wins
2
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears95-76
03/01/26Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears75-82
26/04/25Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst90-75
14/09/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears51-64
27/03/24Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst71-63
17/02/24Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears76-86
14/11/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst84-60
15/05/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst101-65
12/05/23Okapi Aalst v Leuven Bears81-75
07/01/23Leuven Bears v Okapi Aalst88-69
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AOkapi Aalst76-95
07/03/26HMechelen71-77 OT
21/02/26HDonar Groningen86-78
18/02/26AOostende71-70
14/02/26HLeiden90-73
07/02/26HSpirou Charleroi84-65
31/01/26ADen Helder66-71
24/01/26HLimburg90-89
18/01/26ABrussels Basketball70-82
10/01/26HBAL Weert91-64
Okapi Aalstlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HLeuven Bears95-76
07/03/26ABAL Weert103-82
22/02/26AZwolle104-95
14/02/26HBrussels Basketball87-84
31/01/26ASpirou Charleroi73-67
23/01/26AKortrijk82-93
17/01/26HDen Helder105-85
13/01/26HAntwerp Giants103-89 OT
11/01/26ARotterdam106-76
03/01/26HLeuven Bears75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game80.183.976.0
Allowed / game79.481.677.1
Point differential+0.7+2.3-1.1
Avg total159.6165.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %17%25%9%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game95.298.991.8
Allowed / game86.383.888.6
Point differential+8.9+15.1+3.2
Avg total181.5182.7180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%73%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %13%9%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants2219386%96.576.8+19.7
2 Oostende2317674%88.879.7+9.0
3 Okapi Aalst2317674%95.286.3+8.9
4 Kortrijk2315865%88.081.2+6.7
5 Den Bosch2214864%86.882.5+4.3
6 Leiden2314961%86.680.4+6.2
7 Mechelen2314961%77.679.3-1.7
8 Donar Groningen2012860%82.883.8-0.9
9 Limburg23131057%89.281.3+7.8
10 Brussels Basketball23131057%85.082.0+3.0
11 Leuven Bears23111248%80.179.4+0.7
12 Spirou Charleroi2191243%83.087.9-4.9
13 Belfius Mons2391439%86.091.1-5.1
14 LWD Basket2271532%84.494.9-10.5
15 Zwolle2371630%79.784.4-4.7
16 Den Helder2261627%80.086.2-6.1
17 Rotterdam2231914%75.890.9-15.1
18 BAL Weert232219%70.088.2-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2127222090
Okapi Aalst26271934106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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