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Okapi Aalst vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-80
15-24 15-23 32-17 20-16
Position#16
Record0-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#8
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeBNXT League· Okapi Forum (Aalst)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Okapi Aalst v Mechelen
27 Jan 2027
OKAP v MECH
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
OKAP93
MECH76
01 Mar 2025
OKAP65
MECH79
20 Apr 2024
OKAP72
MECH81
12 Jan 2024
OKAP82
MECH80
04 Dec 2022
OKAP77
MECH81
20 Feb 2022
OKAP87
MECH92
19 Oct 2019
OKAP83
MECH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Okapi Aalst winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
A22/10
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
80avg 66
H28/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
77avg 66
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 66
H10/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
60-84
60
84
-24
47avg 66
A14/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 66
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 66
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 66
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
61avg 66
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
48avg 66
A05/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
13-20
16-19
24-20
21-21
17-18
23-26
21-18
19-19
23-23
16-20
20-27
21-25
23-19
21-23
15-16
15-23
18-20
10-21
17-20
14-27
16-18
23-24
19-22
32-24
9-26
18-25
16-27
21-25
13-13
20-25
18-11
16-15
26-14
10-18
22-28
16-24
23-11
13-21
10-25
156.8Avg total
72.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.286.6161.9-11.40%
Season at home (7)77.484.0161.4-6.60%
Season away (7)73.089.3162.3-16.30%
Last 10 (10)72.184.7156.8-12.60%
Last 5 (5)71.084.6155.6-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.184.2157.3-11.110%
vs Similar (8)76.187.4163.5-11.212%
vs Weaker (12)94.278.4172.6+15.883%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
W
69-45
69
45
+24
69avg 69
H12/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
50-63
50
63
-13
38avg 69
H18/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 69
A24/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
H09/12
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A13/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
73avg 69
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 69
A22/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
83avg 69
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
65-64
65
64
+1
57avg 69
H06/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
17-14
18-11
19-7
19-16
15-18
9-9
7-20
20-19
25-23
12-26
13-19
21-16
18-16
24-17
25-25
20-16
23-22
22-20
25-11
25-17
17-17
18-19
19-24
17-23
24-13
20-22
11-11
14-21
24-25
18-18
24-27
29-17
22-27
23-26
13-22
17-15
22-19
10-19
16-11
148.1Avg total
75.0Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.774.7150.3+1.053%
Season at home (9)75.270.6145.8+4.767%
Season away (6)76.380.8157.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)75.073.1148.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)76.678.6155.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.475.1149.5-0.750%
vs Similar (16)76.477.8154.2-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
Okapi AalstMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Circus Brussels
#9
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A22/10
Belgian Cup
Limburg
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H10/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/12
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/12
BNXT League
Liege
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A05/01
BNXT League
78.0Avg total
36.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.485.0+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.738.183.9+7.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.178.0-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.541.579.0-4.030%-
vs Similar (8)42.944.086.9-1.138%-
vs Weaker (12)49.239.688.8+9.675%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H12/11
BNXT League
Liege
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A01/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/12
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/12
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H16/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A22/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H06/01
BNXT League
77.1Avg total
40.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.579.3+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.337.880.1+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)36.941.578.4-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.777.1+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.139.776.8-2.640%-
vs Similar (16)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.040.385.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
52.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.2
25.5%
33.1%15.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.5
72.4%
71.4%15.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.7
55.6%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.26.0
31.2%
33.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.5
69.7%
71.4%14.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Okapi Aalst
LLLLLLLLLL
Mechelen
WLLWWWWLLW
#16
League position
#8
-15.4
Net rating
+5.4
97.4
Offensive rating
104.5
112.7
Defensive rating
99.2
47.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
25.5%
3-point %
31.2%
54.8%
Assist %
58.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 104.5Defence112.7 · 99.2Shooting47.8% · 52.7%3-point %25.5% · 31.2%Ball care20.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Okapi Aalst   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Okapi Aalst wins
3
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst91-84
15/01/23Mechelen v Okapi Aalst90-98
04/12/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen77-81
20/02/22Okapi Aalst v Mechelen87-92 OT
09/10/21Mechelen v Okapi Aalst71-77
19/10/19Okapi Aalst v Mechelen83-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ALiege62-81
26/12/23HBelfius Mons74-75
16/12/23HOostende72-74
02/12/23AAntwerp Giants75-102
25/11/23HAntwerp Giants72-91
14/11/23ALeuven Bears60-84
10/11/23HLiege80-83
04/11/23ABelfius Mons78-89
28/10/23HLimburg82-83
22/10/23ACircus Brussels66-85
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HSpirou Charleroi65-64
26/12/23HLimburg87-92
22/12/23ABelfius Mons80-91
16/12/23HLeuven Bears72-69
13/12/23AAntwerp Giants79-77
09/12/23HAntwerp Giants90-69
01/12/23ACircus Brussels88-74
24/11/23AKortrijk70-87
18/11/23HLiege50-63
12/11/23HOostende69-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.277.473.0
Allowed / game86.684.089.3
Point differential-11.4-6.6-16.3
Avg total161.9161.4162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game75.775.276.3
Allowed / game74.770.680.8
Point differential+1.0+4.7-4.5
Avg total150.3145.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1211192%81.266.6+14.7
2 Oostende1412286%76.970.0+6.9
3 Antwerp Giants1512380%83.172.6+10.5
4 Leiden129375%78.269.6+8.7
5 Zwolle118373%78.667.4+11.3
6 Limburg1410471%78.170.6+7.6
7 Liege149564%75.975.0+0.9
8 Donar Groningen138562%72.665.5+7.1
9 Kortrijk148657%80.779.9+0.8
10 BAL Weert116555%72.272.3-0.1
11 Mechelen158753%75.774.7+1.0
12 Circus Brussels157847%77.276.8+0.4
13 Spirou Charleroi157847%71.674.5-2.9
14 Feyenoord125742%73.581.1-7.6
15 Belfius Mons1541127%72.980.8-7.9
16 Den Helder123925%65.878.7-12.9
17 Leuven Bears1531220%73.779.3-5.7
18 QSTA Utd1221017%70.882.8-12.1
19 LWD Basket111109%71.781.2-9.5
20 Okapi Aalst140140%75.286.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Okapi Aalst1515322082
Mechelen2423171680
← all games of the day
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