PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

QSTA Utd vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 83-79
18-21 19-16 29-15 17-27
Position#19
Record1-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game69.3
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcentrum De Schaapskooi (Bemmel)
Other2023-24
Meetings · QSTA Utd v Leiden
05 Jan 2025
QSTA74
LEI75
20 Oct 2024
QSTA71
LEI76
16 Dec 2023
QSTA65
LEI81
10 Dec 2023
QSTA83
LEI79
21 Oct 2022
QSTA68
LEI79
17 Feb 2022
QSTA82
LEI88
07 Mar 2021
QSTA72
LEI87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

QSTA Utd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QSTA UtdLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUtd
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 58
H24/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
58-102
58
102
-44
41avg 58
A30/09
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
66-67
66
67
-1
53avg 58
H15/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
54-82
54
82
-28
34avg 58
A21/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
81-60
81
60
+21
78avg 58
H29/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
71-91
71
91
-20
59avg 58
A05/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 58
H12/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 58
A18/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
70avg 58
H25/11
BNXT League
Limburg 2
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
no box
A02/12
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
22-18
16-28
14-15
18-27
9-28
17-31
14-16
14-18
9-22
20-12
23-15
19-20
17-29
4-18
14-15
11-22
20-10
29-7
21-21
24-21
15-23
12-28
20-19
22-27
19-18
19-13
16-23
32-13
10-23
11-28
17-23
18-27
17-23
23-21
17-13
–
–
–
–
153.4Avg total
73.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.082.2152.2-12.211%
Season at home (5)75.475.6151.0-0.220%
Season away (4)63.290.5153.8-27.20%
Last 10 (10)73.180.3153.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)78.681.2159.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.486.9157.3-16.67%
vs Similar (10)80.282.6162.8-2.430%
vs Weaker (5)86.070.4156.4+15.680%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#12
W
74-65
74
65
+9
74avg 70
H28/10
BNXT League
Galil Elyon
#50
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
82avg 70
A04/11
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
46-74
46
74
-28
27avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
72-67
72
67
+5
69avg 70
H11/11
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 70
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 70
H19/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
62avg 70
A28/11
BNXT League
BS Leiden
#16
W
100-47
100
47
+53
no box
A02/12
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 70
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
18-19
19-13
20-12
–
–
–
–
20-16
21-23
29-15
18-17
6-24
14-13
15-15
11-22
19-21
23-14
13-16
17-16
23-22
18-15
17-18
22-21
25-18
18-23
23-17
19-19
28-16
16-16
13-21
15-17
27-8
21-12
34-12
18-15
19-23
24-19
18-17
16-23
134.3Avg total
71.4Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.869.3150.1+11.489%
Season at home (4)83.266.8150.0+16.5100%
Season away (5)78.871.4150.2+7.480%
Last 10 (10)71.462.9134.3+8.580%
Last 5 (5)82.870.4153.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.575.8139.2-12.225%
vs Similar (11)75.371.2146.5+4.173%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
QSTA UtdLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QSTA UtdLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/09
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A30/09
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H15/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A21/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H29/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A05/11
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H25/11
BNXT League
79.7Avg total
35.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.743.581.2-5.828%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.982.5-3.233%-
Last 30 away (14)35.644.179.8-8.521%-
Last 10 (9)35.943.879.7-7.922%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.147.283.3-11.17%-
vs Similar (10)38.940.679.5-1.750%-
vs Weaker (5)40.038.878.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
BNXT League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
BNXT League
Trepca
#25
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H19/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/11
BNXT League
BS Leiden
#16
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A02/12
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
75.6Avg total
39.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.734.772.4+3.169%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 away (14)38.133.271.3+4.979%-
Last 10 (9)39.735.975.6+3.878%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.478.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.238.269.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (11)36.435.872.2+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.834.074.8+6.892%-
This opponent (QSTA Utd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
QSTA Utdtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

QSTA Utd: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
33.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws10.87.8
72.2%
71.4%7.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.520.9
48.0%
52.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.7
35.6%
33.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.110.5
74.5%
71.4%10.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
QSTA Utd
WLLLLWLLLL
Leiden
LWWWWWLWWW
#19
League position
#5
-16.3
Net rating
+6.9
95.7
Offensive rating
105.9
112.0
Defensive rating
99.0
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.3%
3-point %
35.6%
44.1%
Assist %
67.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 105.9Defence112.0 · 99.0Shooting47.8% · 49.8%3-point %30.3% · 35.6%Ball care18.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 30.3%Free throws0.17 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ QSTA Utd   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
QSTA Utd wins
5
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Leiden v QSTA Utd102-58
18/02/23Leiden v QSTA Utd72-80
21/10/22QSTA Utd v Leiden68-79
17/02/22QSTA Utd v Leiden82-88
26/09/21Leiden v QSTA Utd104-82
07/03/21QSTA Utd v Leiden72-87
QSTA Utdlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ALimburg 2101-63
25/11/23HDen Bosch75-84
18/11/23ALWD Basket70-87
12/11/23HZwolle76-81
05/11/23ADen Bosch71-91
29/10/23HDen Helder81-60
21/10/23ADonar Groningen54-82
15/10/23HFeyenoord66-67
30/09/23ALeiden58-102
24/09/23HBAL Weert79-86
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HCSM Oradea77-82
02/12/23ABS Leiden100-47
28/11/23ADonar Groningen72-70
19/11/23HDonar Groningen85-77
15/11/23HTrepca80-76
11/11/23HLWD Basket72-67
08/11/23AGravelines-Dunkerque46-74
04/11/23ABAL Weert88-71
01/11/23AGalil Elyon20-0
28/10/23HZwolle74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

QSTA Utd
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game70.075.463.2
Allowed / game82.275.690.5
Point differential-12.2-0.2-27.2
Avg total152.2151.0153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game80.883.278.8
Allowed / game69.366.871.4
Point differential+11.4+16.5+7.4
Avg total150.1150.0150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch109190%82.467.8+14.6
2 Leiden98189%80.869.3+11.4
3 Antwerp Giants119282%82.674.1+8.5
4 Oostende119282%78.070.5+7.5
5 Limburg108280%76.566.8+9.7
6 Zwolle107370%77.766.8+10.9
7 Kortrijk117464%80.681.3-0.6
8 BAL Weert95456%72.673.7-1.1
9 Donar Groningen116555%72.166.4+5.7
10 Mechelen116555%75.573.1+2.5
11 Circus Brussels116555%79.076.6+2.4
12 Liege116555%74.475.5-1.2
13 Feyenoord105550%76.382.9-6.6
14 Spirou Charleroi115645%72.875.6-2.8
15 Leuven Bears113827%75.177.9-2.8
16 Den Helder102820%65.780.2-14.5
17 QSTA Utd91811%70.082.2-12.2
18 LWD Basket101910%72.181.1-9.0
19 Belfius Mons111109%71.581.2-9.6
20 Okapi Aalst110110%76.889.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
QSTA Utd1819291783
Leiden2116152779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.