PythiaBasketballBETA
The Oklahoma City Thunder, favoured by the model, will host the Atlanta Hawks on 18 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Thunder projected to win 66% of the time and the Hawks 34%; the model favours the Thunder and projects a 117-111 victory for the home side, a total of 227.8 points, and a 6% chance of overtime. Oklahoma City has gone 8-4 this season, averaging 111.1 points and allowing 106.9, and is 10th in the league; at home they are unbeaten 5-0, scoring 113.4 and conceding 98.0, and in their last five they have won three and lost two, including a 114-75 home win over Washington. Atlanta is 7-5 overall, 118.2 points for and 116.2 against, 13th in the standings; on the road they are 4-2, 116.2 points for and 109.3 allowed, and in their last five they have won four and lost one, highlighted by a 139-132 home win over Washington. In the ten meetings between the clubs the Thunder have won six to the Hawks' four, with the last encounter ending 140-129 in favour of Oklahoma City on 29 December 2025.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 111.2 | 107.4 | 218.5 | +3.8 | 62% |
| Season at home (5) | 113.4 | 98.0 | 211.4 | +15.4 | 100% |
| Season away (8) | 109.8 | 113.2 | 223.0 | -3.5 | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 112.5 | 110.7 | 223.2 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 113.0 | 105.2 | 218.2 | +7.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 114.0 | 106.7 | 220.7 | +7.3 | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 108.2 | 112.5 | 220.7 | -4.2 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 117.1 | 107.3 | 224.4 | +9.8 | 79% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 118.2 | 116.8 | 235.0 | +1.3 | 54% |
| Season at home (6) | 120.3 | 123.0 | 243.3 | -2.7 | 50% |
| Season away (7) | 116.3 | 111.6 | 227.9 | +4.7 | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 116.2 | 119.2 | 235.4 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 122.8 | 121.4 | 244.2 | +1.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 106.8 | 116.9 | 223.8 | -10.1 | 31% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 118.2 | 113.8 | 232.0 | +4.3 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 126.0 | 115.1 | 241.1 | +10.9 | 73% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 56.7 | 53.6 | 110.3 | +3.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 57.1 | 51.8 | 108.9 | +5.3 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 56.3 | 55.2 | 111.6 | +1.1 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 57.7 | 52.9 | 110.6 | +4.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 56.2 | 51.4 | 107.6 | +4.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 62.3 | 51.7 | 114.0 | +10.7 | 67% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 54.5 | 53.6 | 108.1 | +0.8 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker (14) | 57.5 | 54.1 | 111.6 | +3.4 | 57% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 59.7 | 58.5 | 118.1 | +1.2 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 56.1 | 58.2 | 114.4 | -2.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 62.8 | 58.7 | 121.4 | +4.1 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 59.4 | 61.3 | 120.7 | -1.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 62.0 | 63.6 | 125.6 | -1.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 54.6 | 60.0 | 114.6 | -5.4 | 38% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 62.5 | 55.3 | 117.8 | +7.2 | 83% | - |
| vs Weaker (11) | 64.1 | 58.4 | 122.5 | +5.7 | 64% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 56.4 | 28.4 | 54.0% | 56.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.5 | 11.1 | 35.1% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 18.8 | 77.2% | 18.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 54.4 | 30.3 | 54.0% | 60.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 41.2 | 13.1 | 35.1% | 39.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 16.0 | 77.2% | 16.0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30/12/25 | Oklahoma City Thunder v Atlanta Hawks | 140-129 |
| 25/10/25 | Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder | 100-117 |
| 01/03/25 | Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder | 119-135 |
| 27/10/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder v Atlanta Hawks | 128-104 |
| 04/01/24 | Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder | 141-138 |
| 07/11/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder v Atlanta Hawks | 126-117 |
| 26/01/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder v Atlanta Hawks | 132-137 |
| 06/12/22 | Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder | 114-121 |
| 31/03/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder v Atlanta Hawks | 118-136 |
| 23/11/21 | Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder | 113-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Los Angeles Clippers | 112-113 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Portland Trail Blazers | 108-118 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Portland Trail Blazers | 103-123 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Washington Wizards | 114-75 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Memphis Grizzlies | 128-97 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Cleveland Cavaliers | 124-116 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Cleveland Cavaliers | 117-112 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Houston Rockets | 98-119 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Dallas Mavericks | 96-120 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Phoenix Suns | 125-114 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Chicago Bulls | 117-125 OT |
| 10/11/26 | H | Los Angeles Lakers | 114-124 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Brooklyn Nets | 124-121 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Washington Wizards | 139-132 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Washington Wizards | 120-105 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Indiana Pacers | 108-104 |
| 31/10/26 | A | New Orleans Pelicans | 99-121 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Cleveland Cavaliers | 114-111 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Miami Heat | 117-129 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Houston Rockets | 110-120 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLL | 62% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWLLL | 38% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Win % | 62% | 100% | 38% |
| Points / game | 111.2 | 113.4 | 109.8 |
| Allowed / game | 107.4 | 98.0 | 113.2 |
| Point differential | +3.8 | +15.4 | -3.5 |
| Avg total | 218.5 | 211.4 | 223.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 60% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 54% |
| Home | LWWWL | 50% |
| Away | LLWWL | 57% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 6 | 7 |
| Win % | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Points / game | 118.2 | 120.3 | 116.3 |
| Allowed / game | 116.8 | 123.0 | 111.6 |
| Point differential | +1.3 | -2.7 | +4.7 |
| Avg total | 235.0 | 243.3 | 227.9 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (3) | 100% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +13.2 |
| 2 |  Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  Boston Celtics | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +11.2 |
| 4 |  Houston Rockets | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +8.8 |
| 5 |  Philadelphia 76ers | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Timberwolves | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.3 | 105.9 | +13.4 |
| 7 |  Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +7.8 |
| 8 |  Detroit Pistons | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 115.5 | 107.8 | +7.7 |
| 9 |  Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 119.9 | 111.8 | +8.1 |
| 10 |  Golden State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +4.3 |
| 11 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +3.8 |
| 12 |  Denver Nuggets | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 114.5 | 113.3 | +1.2 |
| 13 |  Dallas Mavericks | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 113.2 | 112.2 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +1.3 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +6.1 |
| 16 |  Miami Heat | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 117.2 | 120.1 | -2.9 |
| 17 |  Cleveland Cavaliers | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 116.8 | 115.8 | +1.0 |
| 18 |  Phoenix Suns | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -4.4 |
| 19 |  Toronto Raptors | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +1.4 |
| 20 |  Orlando Magic | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -4.4 |
| 21 |  Indiana Pacers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -2.1 |
| 22 |  Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -11.0 |
| 23 |  Washington Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -5.8 |
| 24 |  New Orleans Pelicans | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 116.5 | 125.6 | -9.2 |
| 25 |  Brooklyn Nets | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 110.2 | 115.3 | -5.1 |
| 26 |  Los Angeles Clippers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -5.3 |
| 27 |  Chicago Bulls | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 114.4 | 127.7 | -13.4 |
| 28 |  Sacramento Kings | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -12.8 |
| 29 |  Utah Jazz | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -11.2 |
| 30 |  Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -14.1 |
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