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Ole Miss vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-94
32-42 55-52
Position#259
Record8-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#36
Record11-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ole Miss v Arkansas
07 Jan 2026
OLE 87
ARKA94
13 Mar 2025
OLE 83
ARKA80
24 Jan 2024
OLE 77
ARKA51
26 Jan 2022
OLE 55
ARKA64
11 Jan 2020
OLE 72
ARKA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H18/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
79-43
79
43
+36
H30/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-23
41-42
31-31
38-43
34-42
40-33
26-42
40-33
25-33
33-30
31-29
40-38
44-29
36-37
26-45
36-31
37-25
42-18
41-43
29-43
139.1Avg total
70.1Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.367.9142.1+6.457%
Season at home (10)78.165.1143.2+13.080%
Season away (4)64.874.8139.5-10.00%
Last 10 (10)70.169.0139.1+1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.467.6140.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.978.2149.1-7.223%
vs Similar (10)78.874.9153.7+3.980%
vs Weaker (7)79.062.7141.7+16.386%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#62
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H19/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
115-61
115
61
+54
H22/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H28/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H04/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
108-80
108
80
+28
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H20/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-41
41-42
47-19
68-42
35-41
36-39
47-29
42-51
34-24
48-34
43-49
50-37
60-36
48-44
41-49
44-45
48-28
55-46
37-36
49-39
168.7Avg total
91.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.274.9165.1+15.479%
Season at home (13)92.175.3167.4+16.885%
Season away (1)66.069.0135.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)91.677.1168.7+14.580%
Last 5 (5)95.081.8176.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.180.3158.4-2.129%
vs Similar (14)83.476.6159.9+6.879%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.969.2157.1+18.789%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +6.2+6.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +8.3+8.32nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +6.2+6.2
Ole MissArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H18/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
32.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.334.670.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.433.271.6+5.267%-
Last 30 away (12)33.136.869.8-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.266.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.270.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.036.668.6-4.623%-
vs Similar (10)39.633.973.5+5.770%-
vs Weaker (7)39.431.971.3+7.671%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#62
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H04/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/12
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H13/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H17/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/01
NCAA
78.7Avg total
43.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.675.9+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.335.879.1+7.568%-
Last 30 away (11)35.135.470.5-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)43.535.278.7+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.685.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.939.175.0-3.329%-
vs Similar (14)40.937.478.3+3.479%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.930.173.0+12.878%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ole Miss wins
4
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Ole Miss v Arkansas83-80
09/01/25Arkansas v Ole Miss66-73
25/01/24Ole Miss v Arkansas77-51
21/01/23Arkansas v Ole Miss69-57
27/01/22Ole Miss v Arkansas55-64
28/01/21Arkansas v Ole Miss74-59
11/01/20Ole Miss v Arkansas72-76
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AOklahoma70-86
30/12/25HAlcorn State79-43
21/12/25ANC State62-76
18/12/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs80-66
13/12/25HSouthern Miss71-67
07/12/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)58-63
03/12/25HMiami (FL)66-75
27/11/25HUtah Utes74-75
26/11/25AIowa69-74
19/11/25HAustin Peay72-65
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HTennessee86-75
30/12/25HJames Madison103-74
20/12/25HHouston85-94
17/12/25HQueens Royals108-80
13/12/25HTexas Tech93-86
06/12/25HFresno State82-58
04/12/25HLouisville89-80
28/11/25HDuke71-80
22/11/25HJackson State115-61
19/11/25HWinthrop84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game74.378.164.8
Allowed / game67.965.174.8
Point differential+6.4+13.0-10.0
Avg total142.1143.2139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14131
Win %79%85%0%
Points / game90.292.166.0
Allowed / game74.975.369.0
Point differential+15.4+16.8-3.0
Avg total165.1167.4135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt14140100%93.470.7+22.7
2 Georgia1513287%97.975.2+22.7
3 Texas A&M1512380%94.477.5+16.9
4 LSU1512380%86.571.7+14.7
5 Missouri1512380%82.571.4+11.1
6 Arkansas1411379%90.274.9+15.4
7 Alabama1411379%94.181.1+13.1
8 Tennessee1511473%83.465.7+17.7
9 Oklahoma1511473%85.072.2+12.8
10 Mississippi St.1511473%81.974.7+7.1
11 Florida1510567%84.871.2+13.6
12 South Carolina1510567%80.169.2+10.9
13 Kentucky159660%83.169.5+13.5
14 Texas159660%87.574.2+13.3
15 Auburn159660%87.079.5+7.5
16 Ole Miss148657%74.367.9+6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ole Miss325587
Arkansas425294
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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