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Olimpia Milano vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2014
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 78-71
17-22 17-14 26-16 18-19
Position#2
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#16
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game81.0
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2014-15
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Caserta
30 Oct 2016
MIL100
KAS80
10 Mar 2016
MIL91
KAS86
14 Dec 2014
MIL78
KAS71
02 Feb 2014
MIL61
KAS43
30 Sep 2012
MIL97
KAS71
18 Mar 2012
MIL95
KAS89
05 Jan 2011
MIL98
KAS84
08 Jun 2010
MIL91
KAS74
06 Jun 2010
MIL66
KAS67
14 Feb 2010
MIL85
KAS94
08 Feb 2009
MIL81
KAS51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#4
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A10/11
Lega A
Turow Zgorzelec
#27
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H13/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H16/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H20/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
105-97
105
97
+8
A23/11
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#17
W
96-61
96
61
+35
H30/11
Lega A
Bayern
#24
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H03/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
W
112-111
112
111
+1
A07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#11
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H11/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
20-20
17-17
22-19
26-16
14-22
18-19
32-14
18-15
19-21
27-9
19-19
23-21
14-23
12-18
25-18
23-17
20-23
30-31
32-26
19-16
23-20
14-21
24-27
26-22
24-14
23-14
23-11
20-19
17-19
22-22
24-21
24-32
27-21
30-19
31-39
18-11
14-17
20-23
14-13
165.5Avg total
86.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.676.7163.2+9.978%
Season at home (4)87.267.8155.0+19.5100%
Season away (5)86.083.8169.8+2.260%
Last 10 (10)86.579.0165.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)87.480.2167.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.681.3153.9-8.714%
vs Similar (12)75.071.7146.7+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.976.1163.0+10.880%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#14
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A12/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#7
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A26/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H02/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H09/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#15
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A16/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
95-107 OT
95
107
-12
H22/11
Lega A
Venezia
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A30/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
16-10
18-30
21-16
16-14
14-24
11-17
21-20
25-26
17-16
14-23
13-13
14-23
15-19
16-14
28-23
18-13
11-20
17-15
13-15
12-25
12-20
28-21
14-15
13-12
15-18
18-15
18-23
25-13
18-22
17-25
24-24
16-24
22-18
27-17
11-29
20-19
21-23
22-25
25-23
152.2Avg total
72.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.481.0153.4-8.60%
Season at home (5)75.483.8159.2-8.40%
Season away (4)68.877.5146.2-8.80%
Last 10 (10)72.080.2152.2-8.20%
Last 5 (5)77.886.8164.6-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.881.6157.3-5.833%
vs Similar (16)67.971.4139.3-3.631%
vs Weaker (5)77.269.4146.6+7.880%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
Olimpia MilanoCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/11
Lega A
Turow Zgorzelec
#27
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A23/11
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H30/11
Lega A
Bayern
#24
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
Euroleague
Sassari
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A07/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H11/12
Euroleague
79.6Avg total
40.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.475.2+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.435.973.4+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.177.2-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.079.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.280.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.641.177.7-4.643%-
vs Similar (12)37.834.872.7+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.938.577.4+0.470%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A11/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A26/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H09/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#15
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A16/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/11
Lega A
Venezia
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A30/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/12
Lega A
70.9Avg total
33.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.269.4-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.535.470.9+0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)32.735.067.7-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)33.337.670.9-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.237.376.6+1.933%-
vs Similar (16)30.234.464.6-4.131%-
vs Weaker (5)37.834.272.0+3.640%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Caserta wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/14HPanathinaikos66-64
07/12/14ASassari112-111
03/12/14HBayern83-81
30/11/14HPesaro96-61
28/11/14ABarcelona80-84
23/11/14AVarese105-97
20/11/14HFenerbahce74-80
16/11/14HCantu83-64
13/11/14HTurow Zgorzelec90-71
10/11/14AReggiana76-77
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/14HTrento88-90
30/11/14AVenezia76-88
22/11/14HCantu95-107 OT
16/11/14ACapo d'Orlando64-68
09/11/14HCremona66-81
02/11/14HPistoia59-63
26/10/14AVirtus Bologna73-79
19/10/14HBrindisi69-78
12/10/14AVirtus Roma62-75
11/05/14APistoia68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game86.687.286.0
Allowed / game76.767.883.8
Point differential+9.9+19.5+2.2
Avg total163.2155.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Lega A 2014-15
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.475.468.8
Allowed / game81.083.877.5
Point differential-8.6-8.4-8.8
Avg total153.4159.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia98189%80.876.0+4.8
2 Olimpia Milano97278%86.676.7+9.9
3 Reggiana97278%84.179.3+4.8
4 Sassari96367%86.079.1+6.9
5 Brindisi106460%77.672.2+5.4
6 Cremona95456%76.273.4+2.8
7 Trento95456%82.383.2-0.9
8 Virtus Bologna95456%74.176.9-2.8
9 Avellino105550%75.674.0+1.6
10 Cantu94544%78.679.3-0.8
11 Virtus Roma104640%75.476.2-0.8
12 Pistoia104640%74.576.5-2.0
13 Varese93633%85.087.3-2.3
14 Capo d'Orlando93633%68.972.4-3.6
15 Pesaro92722%71.085.9-14.9
16 Caserta9090%72.481.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1717261878
Caserta2214161971
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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