Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 96-61

26-22 24-14 23-14 23-11

Position#2

Record5-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game74.0

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Pesaro

Position#17

Record2-5

FormLLWLW

Points / game69.9

Allowed / game83.9

Lega ARound 8

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

80-71

H26/10

Lega A

Bayern

#24

81-74

A31/10

Euroleague

Avellino

#13

69-73

-4

A03/11

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#11

63-90

-27

A07/11

Euroleague

Reggiana

76-77

-1

A10/11

Lega A

Turow Zgorzelec

#27

90-71

+19

H13/11

Euroleague

Cantu

83-64

+19

H16/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

74-80

-6

H20/11

Euroleague

Varese

#12

105-97

105

A23/11

Lega A

Barcelona

80-84

-4

A28/11

Euroleague

23-14

12-15

28-16

17-26

25-21

16-20

15-18

25-15

12-24

14-23

17-10

26-16

13-23

17-21

13-27

20-19

17-21

20-20

17-17

22-19

26-16

14-22

18-19

32-14

18-15

19-21

27-9

19-19

23-21

14-23

12-18

25-18

23-17

20-23

30-31

32-26

19-16

23-20

14-21

24-27

158.2Avg total

80.1Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	81.6	74.0	155.6	+7.6	71%
Season at home (3)	84.3	70.0	154.3	+14.3	100%
Season away (4)	79.5	77.0	156.5	+2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	78.1	158.2	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	79.2	165.6	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.7	84.2	157.8	-10.5	0%
vs Similar (14)	77.0	73.5	150.5	+3.5	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	83.2	74.1	157.3	+9.1	78%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

79-78

H27/04

Lega A

Brindisi

74-70

A04/05

Lega A

Venezia

#11

86-73

+13

H11/05

Lega A

Brindisi

56-92

-36

A12/10

Lega A

Varese

#12

85-96

-11

H19/10

Lega A

Avellino

#13

60-69

-9

A26/10

Lega A

Reggiana

73-91

-18

A01/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

89-87

H08/11

Lega A

Sassari

64-92

-28

A17/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

62-60

H23/11

Lega A

19-20

26-19

20-19

14-20

17-20

13-14

19-17

25-19

18-18

22-8

26-29

20-18

17-31

10-26

12-18

17-17

22-22

25-23

21-26

17-25

11-24

10-16

21-17

18-12

21-27

10-19

16-25

26-20

17-30

22-21

24-20

26-16

13-24

18-21

15-26

19-12

13-22

16-5

14-21

153.6Avg total

72.8Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	69.9	83.9	153.7	-14.0	29%
Season at home (3)	78.7	81.0	159.7	-2.3	67%
Season away (4)	63.2	86.0	149.2	-22.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	80.8	153.6	-8.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	79.8	149.4	-10.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	74.3	85.7	160.1	-11.4	30%
vs Similar (3)	85.3	82.0	167.3	+3.3	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	22.5	39.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.0	15.9	34.9	+3.1	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.4	23.3	38.7	-7.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.8	40.2	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.4	22.1	39.4	-4.7	11%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.8	37.7	-3.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.3	21.4	38.8	-4.1	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.7	42.1	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.9	35.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.8	34.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	48%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.3	21.3	46.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

35-29

H26/10

Lega A

Bayern

#24

41-41

A31/10

Euroleague

Avellino

#13

26-47

-21

A03/11

Lega A

Panathinaikos

#11

30-44

-14

A07/11

Euroleague

Reggiana

37-41

-4

A10/11

Lega A

Turow Zgorzelec

#27

40-38

H13/11

Euroleague

Cantu

37-36

H16/11

Lega A

Fenerbahce

37-44

-7

H20/11

Euroleague

Varese

#12

43-40

A23/11

Lega A

Barcelona

42-36

A28/11

Euroleague

76.4Avg total

36.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	37.4	75.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	37.2	75.2	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	37.6	75.0	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	39.6	76.4	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.3	43.3	80.7	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.1	35.3	74.4	+3.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	36.3	37.3	73.7	-1.0	67%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

#13

45-39

H27/04

Lega A

Brindisi

30-34

-4

A04/05

Lega A

Venezia

#11

40-26

+14

H11/05

Lega A

Brindisi

27-57

-30

A12/10

Lega A

Varese

#12

47-45

H19/10

Lega A

Avellino

#13

21-40

-19

A26/10

Lega A

Reggiana

31-46

-15

A01/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

39-51

-12

H08/11

Lega A

Sassari

31-45

-14

A17/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

32-34

-2

H23/11

Lega A

76.0Avg total

34.3Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	41.1	82.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.7	42.9	75.5	-10.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	41.7	76.0	-7.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	43.2	74.0	-12.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	36.1	42.0	78.1	-6.0	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	47.3	41.3	88.7	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.5	38.3	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.9	38.1	+0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.7	20.3	37.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.2	16.2	39.4	+7.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	23.0	41.4	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	24.9	42.7	-7.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.8	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	23.7	45.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	19.9	44.1	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.8	47.2	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.7	20.6	44.2	+3.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.1	39.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.3	39.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	48%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	17.0	33.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.7	77.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	38.5	81.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	40.4	87.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.3	40.8	77.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.9	37.7	74.6	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	46.9	36.8	83.7	+10.1	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	43.0	81.1	-5.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	41.3	79.3	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	44.7	82.9	-6.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	39.1	77.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	38.0	43.3	81.3	-5.3	30%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.0	40.7	78.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
31/03/14	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	95-64
16/12/13	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	73-94
06/04/13	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	93-65
10/12/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	70-72
04/06/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	67-73
02/06/12	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	85-77
31/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-68
29/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-75
29/01/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	81-70
15/10/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	69-66

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/14	A	Barcelona	80-84
23/11/14	A	Varese	105-97
20/11/14	H	Fenerbahce	74-80
16/11/14	H	Cantu	83-64
13/11/14	H	Turow Zgorzelec	90-71
10/11/14	A	Reggiana	76-77
07/11/14	A	Panathinaikos	63-90
03/11/14	A	Avellino	69-73
31/10/14	A	Bayern	81-74
26/10/14	H	Venezia	80-71

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/14	H	Capo d'Orlando	62-60
17/11/14	A	Sassari	64-92
08/11/14	H	Virtus Roma	89-87
01/11/14	A	Reggiana	73-91
26/10/14	A	Avellino	60-69
19/10/14	H	Varese	85-96
12/10/14	A	Brindisi	56-92
11/05/14	H	Venezia	86-73
04/05/14	A	Brindisi	74-70
27/04/14	H	Virtus Bologna	79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	71%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	100%	50%
Points / game	81.6	84.3	79.5
Allowed / game	74.0	70.0	77.0
Point differential	+7.6	+14.3	+2.5
Avg total	155.6	154.3	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	29%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	29%	67%	0%
Points / game	69.9	78.7	63.2
Allowed / game	83.9	81.0	86.0
Point differential	-14.0	-2.3	-22.8
Avg total	153.7	159.7	149.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sassari	7	6	1	86%	84.6	75.4	+9.1
2	Reggiana	7	6	1	86%	87.7	81.6	+6.1
3	Venezia	7	6	1	86%	78.4	74.1	+4.3
4	Olimpia Milano	7	5	2	71%	81.6	74.0	+7.6
5	Brindisi	8	5	3	62%	78.0	72.6	+5.4
6	Cremona	7	4	3	57%	81.7	77.9	+3.9
7	Trento	7	4	3	57%	82.7	82.4	+0.3
8	Cantu	8	4	4	50%	78.9	79.2	-0.4
9	Avellino	7	3	4	43%	74.6	74.4	+0.1
10	Virtus Roma	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
11	Virtus Bologna	7	3	4	43%	73.1	78.6	-5.4
12	Varese	7	2	5	29%	91.6	93.3	-1.7
13	Capo d'Orlando	7	2	5	29%	69.0	72.0	-3.0
14	Pistoia	7	2	5	29%	71.6	74.6	-3.0
15	Pesaro	7	2	5	29%	69.9	83.9	-14.0
16	Caserta	7	0	7	0%	69.7	78.7	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	26	24	23	23	96
Pesaro	22	14	14	11	61

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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