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Olimpia Milano vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 84-74
29-26 27-17 14-13 14-18
Position#4
Record16-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.8
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Khimki M.
Position#18
Record2-22
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game91.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2020
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.
25 Feb 2021
MIL84
KHM74
25 Oct 2018
MIL81
KHM80
07 Dec 2017
MIL71
KHM77
12 Nov 2009
MIL68
KHM72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
84avg 79
A24/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
87avg 79
H26/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H28/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 79
H31/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
57avg 79
A05/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
80-52
80
52
+28
no box
H11/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
no box
H13/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 79
H18/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 79
A22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
22-20
20-23
17-12
24-19
20-15
21-28
25-17
16-24
19-20
21-15
26-17
22-21
20-26
20-25
19-28
23-20
17-17
16-15
13-26
19-10
22-12
18-9
21-21
20-25
22-13
30-11
24-16
21-15
27-6
26-15
13-23
21-12
18-15
26-21
22-20
15-19
23-21
16-14
16-25
155.7Avg total
82.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.677.8159.4+3.864%
Season at home (13)83.875.8159.6+7.969%
Season away (12)79.279.9159.1-0.858%
Last 10 (10)82.473.3155.7+9.170%
Last 5 (5)84.064.6148.6+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)79.478.0157.4+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.576.8164.3+10.783%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 74
H12/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
60-99
60
99
-39
48avg 74
A14/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
74avg 74
H17/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
74avg 74
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
84avg 74
H26/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
76-107
76
107
-31
no box
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 74
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
82avg 74
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
67-89
67
89
-22
49avg 74
H18/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
22-28
12-19
15-14
19-26
17-26
10-23
14-24
21-21
25-24
17-20
24-28
20-23
13-23
18-24
27-24
15-26
29-18
31-29
18-22
22-23
22-30
13-30
19-24
22-18
19-14
21-21
10-16
19-28
18-22
23-17
30-25
22-11
25-16
15-31
20-19
14-24
23-23
20-24
10-18
168.2Avg total
78.0Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.691.3169.9-12.78%
Season at home (12)81.092.8173.8-11.88%
Season away (12)76.289.8165.9-13.68%
Last 10 (10)78.090.2168.2-12.220%
Last 5 (5)77.486.8164.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.491.8173.2-10.416%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)85.480.6166.0+4.860%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
Olimpia MilanoKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H31/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H11/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H18/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A22/02
Euroleague
76.6Avg total
41.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.935.979.8+8.077%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.234.978.1+8.371%-
Last 30 away (13)44.837.282.0+7.585%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.276.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.629.671.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (10)41.137.678.7+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.436.081.4+9.489%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H12/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A14/01
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H17/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A01/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A12/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H18/02
Euroleague
86.3Avg total
41.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.688.5-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.348.192.5-3.820%-
Last 30 away (15)41.443.184.5-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.086.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)41.947.088.9-5.120%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)47.638.886.4+8.880%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.7
52.4%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.8
40.2%
38.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.115.7
86.7%
79.3%15.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.4
47.1%
52.7%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
38.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.114.6
80.7%
79.3%14.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLLWWW
Khimki M.
LWLWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#18
+9.2
Net rating
-16.4
115.9
Offensive rating
107.8
106.7
Defensive rating
124.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.2%
3-point %
36.1%
59.3%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 107.8Defence106.7 · 124.3Shooting55.3% · 50.2%3-point %40.2% · 36.1%Ball care14.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds24.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
08/12/20Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano93-102
28/02/19Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano88-90
25/10/18Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.81-80
08/03/18Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano77-86
07/12/17Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.71-77
07/01/10Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano79-63
12/11/09Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.68-72
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/21AZenit Petersburg70-79
18/02/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-68
14/02/21HPesaro87-59
13/02/21HVenezia96-65
11/02/21HReggiana80-52
05/02/21ALyon-Villeurbanne69-78
31/01/21HTrieste81-100
28/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-76
26/01/21HOlympiacos90-79
24/01/21ATreviso82-77
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21HBaskonia67-89
12/02/21AAstana82-77
08/02/21HLokomotiv Kuban90-92
01/02/21AParma Perm72-69
28/01/21HFenerbahce76-107
26/01/21HBayern93-95
21/01/21APanathinaikos78-94
17/01/21HUnics Kazan87-93
14/01/21AAnadolu Efes60-99
12/01/21HBarcelona75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%69%58%
Points / game81.683.879.2
Allowed / game77.875.879.9
Point differential+3.8+7.9-0.8
Avg total159.4159.6159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %8%8%8%
Points / game78.681.076.2
Allowed / game91.392.889.8
Point differential-12.7-11.8-13.6
Avg total169.9173.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2518772%81.473.6+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2517868%83.679.4+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano2516964%81.677.8+3.8
4 Bayern26161062%79.277.7+1.4
5 Real Madrid25151060%80.577.7+2.8
6 Zenit Petersburg25151060%77.075.4+1.6
7 Fenerbahce25151060%79.078.5+0.5
8 Anadolu Efes24141058%79.876.3+3.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas25141156%78.477.4+1.0
10 Valencia26141254%82.681.8+0.7
11 Baskonia25121348%79.877.6+2.2
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%77.180.0-2.8
13 Olympiacos26111542%78.880.7-1.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%78.878.9-0.1
15 Panathinaikos2391439%80.782.6-1.9
16 Alba Berlin2581732%77.483.3-5.9
17 Crvena zvezda2571828%73.778.5-4.8
18 Khimki M.242228%78.691.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2927141484
Khimki M.2617131874
← all games of the day
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