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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 87-59
21-15 27-6 26-15 13-23
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game58.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game89.5
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Final
Other2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
102-73
102
73
+29
93avg 79
H17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 79
A19/01
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
75-51
75
51
+24
72avg 79
H21/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
84avg 79
A24/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
87avg 79
H26/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H28/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 79
H31/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
57avg 79
A05/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
80-52
80
52
+28
no box
H11/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
no box
H13/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
31-18
20-22
20-15
24-18
20-17
18-22
21-24
20-10
22-10
21-15
12-16
23-22
22-20
20-23
17-12
24-19
20-15
21-28
25-17
16-24
19-20
21-15
26-17
22-21
20-26
20-25
19-28
23-20
17-17
16-15
13-26
19-10
22-12
18-9
21-21
20-25
22-13
30-11
24-16
157.2Avg total
84.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.058.5146.5+29.5100%
Season at home (2)88.058.5146.5+29.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.073.2157.2+10.880%
Last 5 (5)81.674.2155.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (10)82.279.3161.5+2.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.078.6165.6+8.478%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 76
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 76
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 76
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 76
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
63avg 76
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
107-83
107
83
+24
103avg 76
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-70
81
70
+11
79avg 76
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
19-23
22-21
20-28
13-27
26-20
27-18
29-14
25-31
20-19
14-13
15-15
16-31
26-15
13-21
19-15
23-19
24-26
25-27
21-23
29-23
15-12
26-16
11-17
22-24
173.9Avg total
87.1Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.589.5184.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)94.589.5184.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.186.8173.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)88.482.0170.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.991.5173.5-9.627%
vs Similar (15)81.378.6159.9+2.760%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H21/01
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A24/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H31/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/02
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H11/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/02
Italian Cup
79.2Avg total
43.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.281.6+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.737.381.1+6.467%-
Last 30 away (12)45.337.082.3+8.392%-
Last 10 (10)43.735.579.2+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.677.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (10)42.537.680.1+4.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.538.283.7+7.383%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/01
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/02
Italian Cup
84.8Avg total
43.6Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.881.0+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.278.7+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)42.840.483.2+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.284.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.541.784.3+0.855%-
vs Similar (15)38.939.978.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.4
50.7%
-36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.110.3
44.6%
-30.9
🏀 Free throws18.816.0
85.1%
-16.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.5
50.3%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.3
39.9%
-33.9
🏀 Free throws13.810.5
76.1%
-10.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWWWWW
Pesaro
WWWLWLWLLW
#1
League position
#2
+11.8
Net rating
-0.8
117.5
Offensive rating
114.4
105.7
Defensive rating
115.2
57.0%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
44.6%
3-point %
39.9%
62.7%
Assist %
59.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HVenezia96-65
11/02/21HReggiana80-52
05/02/21ALyon-Villeurbanne69-78
31/01/21HTrieste81-100
28/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-76
26/01/21HOlympiacos90-79
24/01/21ATreviso82-77
21/01/21HBayern75-51
19/01/21ACremona83-81
17/01/21HReggiana102-73
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21ABrindisi74-69
12/02/21ASassari115-110 OT
07/02/21ATrento81-70
31/01/21HVenezia65-78
24/01/21HCantu107-83
17/01/21ASassari74-99
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Italian Cup 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game58.558.5-
Point differential+29.5+29.5-
Avg total146.5146.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Pesaro
Italian Cup 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.5-94.5
Allowed / game89.5-89.5
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %50%-50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%88.058.5+29.5
2 Pesaro220100%94.589.5+5.0
3 Brindisi21150%81.077.5+3.5
4 Venezia21150%77.089.0-12.0
5 Sassari1010%110.0115.0-5.0
6 Virtus Bologna1010%82.089.0-7.0
7 Trieste1010%81.093.0-12.0
8 Reggiana1010%52.080.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2127261387
Pesaro156152359
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