PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-71
24-20 17-12 12-22 26-17
Position#13
Record1-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#20
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#17
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A11/12
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-57
84
57
+27
H13/12
Lega A
Limoges
#21
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H20/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H02/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#26
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A06/01
Eurocup
Aris
#11
W
95-54
95
54
+41
H12/01
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H16/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-13
21-26
19-25
18-14
23-14
26-16
17-13
19-20
22-28
13-18
15-11
15-7
21-21
16-22
25-22
18-19
16-11
19-16
13-23
28-22
17-15
19-25
27-14
16-10
31-10
19-20
21-10
21-25
19-16
12-19
15-23
24-17
33-10
14-15
24-12
23-24
21-14
11-16
28-25
150.3Avg total
80.4Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.068.5149.5+12.550%
Season at home (1)95.054.0149.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)67.083.0150.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)80.469.9150.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)84.668.4153.0+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.081.0155.0-7.029%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.671.2150.8+8.460%
vs Weaker (17)80.170.8150.9+9.265%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#22
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A16/12
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H20/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H23/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H16/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
15-11
26-20
11-22
22-22
16-11
22-21
16-17
21-6
20-18
23-20
18-21
17-18
22-19
19-14
18-29
22-26
20-15
21-16
22-15
23-25
24-21
11-16
32-17
5-25
17-21
22-17
14-21
11-19
16-6
9-20
19-13
20-9
18-20
12-23
23-13
13-22
26-16
13-19
18-17
145.9Avg total
73.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.079.7159.7+0.358%
Season at home (6)85.282.5167.7+2.767%
Season away (6)74.876.8151.7-2.050%
Last 10 (10)73.672.3145.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)69.272.0141.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.780.8156.5-5.217%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.277.3153.5-1.150%
vs Weaker (14)79.173.9153.0+5.364%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Olimpia MilanoNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/12
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H13/12
Lega A
Limoges
#21
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H18/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/12
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H02/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#26
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Eurocup
Aris
#11
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/01
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/01
Lega A
75.8Avg total
43.0Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.475.7+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.777.7+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)36.637.173.7-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.032.875.8+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.632.679.2+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.640.077.6-2.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.233.075.2+9.260%-
vs Weaker (17)39.935.975.8+4.065%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#22
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A16/12
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H23/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
LKL
Aris
#11
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A06/01
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A10/01
LKL
Alba Berlin
#26
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H16/01
LKL
71.9Avg total
36.7Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.175.3+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.478.1+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)35.736.872.5-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.271.9+1.590%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.871.4-2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.238.376.5-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.539.676.1-3.160%-
vs Weaker (14)39.434.874.2+4.671%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16HTrento83-79
12/01/16HAris95-54
06/01/16AAlba Berlin67-83
02/01/16HSassari87-50
26/12/15ACremona91-76
23/12/15APesaro66-69
20/12/15HBrindisi77-72
18/12/15HLimoges69-77
13/12/15HCapo d'Orlando84-57
11/12/15ACedevita85-82
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16HLietkabelis70-74
13/01/16HAlba Berlin73-65
10/01/16AAlytaus Dzukija55-58
06/01/16AAris58-84
03/01/16HPieno Zvaigzdes90-79
30/12/15ASkycop85-72
27/12/15ARytas76-80
23/12/15HJuventus82-65
20/12/15HAlytaus Dzukija76-71
16/12/15AAEK Athens71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.095.067.0
Allowed / game68.554.083.0
Point differential+12.5+41.0-16.0
Avg total149.5149.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.085.274.8
Allowed / game79.782.576.8
Point differential+0.3+2.7-2.0
Avg total159.7167.7151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia12120100%82.970.0+12.9
2 Bayern220100%84.076.0+8.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv220100%84.578.0+6.5
4 Strasbourg220100%81.075.0+6.0
5 Zenit Petersburg1210283%82.475.8+6.6
6 Bilbao129375%85.474.1+11.3
7 Unics Kazan129375%81.173.4+7.7
8 Gran Canaria129375%82.575.1+7.4
9 Saratov128467%93.884.3+9.5
10 Galatasaray128467%87.078.0+9.0
11 Trento128467%85.681.8+3.8
12 Tecnyconta Zaragoza128467%76.376.7-0.3
13 Aris138562%72.272.0+0.2
14 Ludwigsburg127558%80.374.8+5.6
15 Reggiana127558%77.476.8+0.6
16 Neptunas127558%80.079.7+0.3
17 Alba Berlin137654%77.276.7+0.5
18 Olimpia Milano21150%81.068.5+12.5
19 Karsiyaka21150%81.078.0+3.0
20 Banvit126650%78.276.5+1.7
21 Nizhny Novgorod126650%79.879.2+0.6
22 Trabzonspor126650%76.275.8+0.3
23 Zielona Gora21150%82.582.5+0.0
24 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
25 Sassari21150%77.080.0-3.0
26 Oldenburg136746%78.582.6-4.1
27 PAOK136746%76.281.9-5.7
28 Hapoel M. Jerusalem125742%80.781.5-0.8
29 Venezia125742%74.877.4-2.7
30 Petrol Olimpija125742%79.683.2-3.7
31 Szolnoki Olaj125742%75.882.5-6.8
32 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
33 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
34 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
35 Ulm124833%79.080.7-1.7
36 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
37 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
38 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
39 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
40 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
41 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
42 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
43 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
44 Limoges2020%76.587.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2417122679
Neptunas2012221771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.