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Olimpia Milano vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 101-85
26-30 23-16 29-8 23-31
Position#1
Record4-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#16
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game87.2
ItalyLega ARound 9
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro
08 Dec 2013
MIL101
SMO85
24 Mar 2013
MIL71
SMO85
17 Dec 2011
MIL88
SMO72
20 Mar 2011
MIL87
SMO68
22 May 2010
MIL67
SMO65
20 May 2010
MIL72
SMO65
08 May 2010
MIL81
SMO58
02 Nov 2008
MIL75
SMO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sutor Montegranaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H04/11
Lega A
Bamberg
#21
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A07/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Strasbourg
#22
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#11
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A18/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#25
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H22/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
73-52
73
52
+21
H24/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#23
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A29/11
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#5
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A02/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
15-11
23-15
19-16
20-18
23-15
13-18
20-11
19-21
16-16
15-22
21-20
19-18
15-10
23-23
26-21
19-18
19-20
18-21
26-29
21-23
11-18
19-21
26-11
15-17
18-12
34-5
6-18
17-17
14-22
19-21
21-13
19-9
10-13
20-16
6-23
19-23
15-25
12-15
25-15
142.7Avg total
73.4Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.171.5146.6+3.650%
Season at home (3)77.359.7137.0+17.7100%
Season away (5)73.878.6152.4-4.820%
Last 10 (10)73.469.3142.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)69.467.4136.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.5158.0-13.00%
vs Similar (10)79.879.7159.5+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.873.3151.1+4.461%
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H28/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
68-102
68
102
-34
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H27/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A03/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H10/11
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A17/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H23/11
Lega A
Caserta
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H01/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
19-21
25-23
28-21
20-18
13-27
13-24
18-13
20-27
25-17
12-15
18-19
13-21
18-18
19-40
18-23
18-12
18-11
13-19
30-29
13-27
16-18
24-21
20-30
27-23
15-24
21-18
32-25
15-30
15-16
25-15
18-23
14-21
23-23
29-14
22-25
26-24
18-25
24-21
9-24
165.6Avg total
78.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.587.2165.8-8.838%
Season at home (5)82.883.2166.0-0.460%
Season away (3)71.394.0165.3-22.70%
Last 10 (10)78.287.4165.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)81.289.4170.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.289.7168.9-10.521%
vs Similar (9)91.382.8174.1+8.667%
vs Weaker (2)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
Olimpia MilanoSutor Montegranaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#9
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H04/11
Lega A
Bamberg
#21
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A07/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A10/11
Lega A
Strasbourg
#22
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H15/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#25
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H22/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H24/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#23
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A29/11
Euroleague
Virtus Roma
#5
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A02/12
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H05/12
Euroleague
68.1Avg total
34.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.374.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.235.474.6+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.275.3-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.968.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.867.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.550.082.5-17.50%-
vs Similar (10)38.340.078.3-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.834.472.2+3.467%-
This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H28/04
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/05
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/11
Lega A
Siena
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/11
Lega A
Caserta
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H01/12
Lega A
79.6Avg total
36.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.683.1-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.984.0+4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.582.1-4.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.279.6-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.446.282.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.843.582.4-4.732%-
vs Similar (9)48.238.786.9+9.667%-
vs Weaker (2)37.036.573.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/13HReal Madrid71-78
02/12/13AVirtus Roma55-61
29/11/13AZalgiris Kaunas71-73
24/11/13HReggiana73-52
22/11/13HAnadolu Efes77-73
18/11/13AVenezia82-88
15/11/13HStrasbourg83-72
10/11/13AVirtus Bologna71-79
07/11/13ABamberg76-62
04/11/13HPistoia75-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/13HCaserta77-94
23/11/13HVarese88-83
17/11/13ASiena73-84
10/11/13HPesaro95-90
03/11/13AVirtus Bologna73-96
27/10/13HReggiana79-71
20/10/13AVenezia68-102
13/10/13HVirtus Roma75-78
05/05/13AVirtus Roma64-82
28/04/13HSiena90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%100%20%
Points / game75.177.373.8
Allowed / game71.559.778.6
Point differential+3.6+17.7-4.8
Avg total146.6137.0152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sutor Montegranaro
Lega A 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game78.582.871.3
Allowed / game87.283.294.0
Point differential-8.8-0.4-22.7
Avg total165.8166.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi87188%78.973.0+5.9
2 Sassari97278%88.682.0+6.6
3 Siena86275%83.670.8+12.9
4 Virtus Roma85362%74.471.9+2.5
5 Cantu85362%82.580.8+1.8
6 Virtus Bologna85362%83.882.1+1.6
7 Olimpia Milano84450%75.171.5+3.6
8 Varese84450%80.480.4+0.0
9 Avellino84450%75.977.0-1.1
10 Venezia94544%79.379.2+0.1
11 Reggiana94544%71.072.1-1.1
12 Caserta83538%75.674.5+1.1
13 Sutor Montegranaro83538%78.587.2-8.8
14 Pistoia82625%74.583.9-9.4
15 Cremona92722%76.282.4-6.2
16 Pesaro81712%83.192.5-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano26232923101
Sutor Montegranaro301683185
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