Olimpia Milano vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 71-85

15-21 16-22 16-23 24-19

Position#5

Record14-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game76.3

Olimpia Milano

Sutor Montegranaro 🏆

Position#14

Record8-15

FormWLWLW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game85.5

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

83-76

A13/01

Lega A

Caserta

#12

78-69

A20/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

91-68

+23

H27/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

108-57

108

+51

H03/02

Lega A

Varese

74-92

-18

A07/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Roma

79-66

+13

A17/02

Lega A

Reggiana

61-79

-18

A24/02

Lega A

Siena

72-68

H03/03

Lega A

Venezia

97-88 OT

A10/03

Lega A

Cremona

#10

78-81

-3

H16/03

Lega A

20-17

26-12

11-28

26-19

12-24

26-17

27-17

13-11

20-22

29-15

24-13

18-18

27-18

24-21

31-7

26-11

14-21

15-25

29-20

16-26

23-10

20-20

16-18

20-18

18-25

19-21

16-13

8-20

23-15

3-18

17-8

29-27

20-18

16-14

21-26

20-19

20-18

23-18

15-20

20-25

156.5Avg total

82.1Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.6	76.3	156.9	+4.3	61%
Season at home (11)	84.7	78.5	163.2	+6.3	45%
Season away (12)	76.8	74.3	151.2	+2.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	74.4	156.5	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	76.4	153.8	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.0	81.2	157.2	-5.2	0%
vs Similar (12)	73.9	77.3	151.2	-3.4	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	86.5	75.1	161.5	+11.4	85%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

79-93

-14

A07/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

84-86 OT

-2

H13/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

95-71

+24

H20/01

Lega A

Sassari

90-106

106

-16

A27/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

80-83

-3

A03/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

97-76

+21

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

87-89

-2

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

88-64

+24

H03/03

Lega A

Reggiana

83-100

100

-17

A10/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

93-86

H17/03

Lega A

24-28

20-29

14-20

21-16

20-17

22-12

19-31

12-13

24-14

23-20

29-20

19-17

24-28

15-24

24-33

27-21

18-20

23-21

12-21

27-21

22-18

31-9

18-21

26-28

27-21

22-24

15-21

23-23

20-13

33-12

17-17

18-22

24-21

23-21

13-23

23-35

22-24

27-16

23-18

21-28

173.0Avg total

87.6Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.3	85.5	168.8	-2.2	35%
Season at home (12)	83.3	81.6	164.9	+1.8	42%
Season away (11)	83.3	89.7	173.0	-6.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	85.4	173.0	+2.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	83.0	172.6	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	79.0	94.1	173.1	-15.1	0%
vs Similar (16)	84.4	81.0	165.4	+3.4	50%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.1	36.8	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.2	19.7	38.8	-0.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.7	21.6	45.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.2	46%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.1	19.4	41.4	+2.7	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.0	39.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	21.8	42.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	17.6	36.3	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.7	41.1	-4.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	18.8	42.7	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	16.4	43.6	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.5	23.2	42.6	-3.7	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

46-29

+17

A13/01

Lega A

Caserta

#12

38-41

-3

A20/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

49-37

+12

H27/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

51-39

+12

H03/02

Lega A

Varese

29-46

-17

A07/02

Italian Cup

Virtus Roma

43-30

+13

A17/02

Lega A

Reggiana

37-46

-9

A24/02

Lega A

Siena

26-33

-7

H03/03

Lega A

Venezia

36-32

A10/03

Lega A

Cremona

#10

43-36

H16/03

Lega A

76.7Avg total

39.8Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	38.6	78.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	40.6	81.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.4	72.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	41.2	81.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.5	37.0	75.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.8	38.8	79.5	+2.0	54%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

44-57

-13

A07/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

42-29

+13

H13/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

47-34

+13

H20/01

Lega A

Sassari

39-52

-13

A27/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

41-41

A03/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

53-27

+26

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

49-45

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

53-25

+28

H03/03

Lega A

Reggiana

47-42

A10/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

49-40

H17/03

Lega A

85.6Avg total

46.4Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.7	83.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	44.3	86.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	39.2	85.6	+7.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	35.8	86.0	+14.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	40.2	46.0	86.2	-5.8	31%	-
vs Similar (16)	43.9	38.2	82.1	+5.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	16.4	37.9	+5.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.1	17.2	38.3	+3.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.4	39.0	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.3	24.5	41.8	-7.2	8%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.4	40.1	-2.8	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	20.2	38.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.6	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	21.9	42.2	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	23.3	46.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	27.2	49.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.7	22.5	43.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.3	23.1	45.4	-0.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	14.0	41.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.7	76.5	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	37.9	77.9	+2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.4	76.7	+3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.8	75.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	40.0	75.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.4	40.3	75.8	-4.9	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.4	33.9	76.3	+8.5	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	43.9	83.3	-4.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	43.2	82.2	-4.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	44.7	84.6	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	44.9	85.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	47.2	86.6	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.0	47.1	85.1	-9.1	8%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.1	41.9	82.1	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	34.0	81.0	+13.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/12	Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano	76-82
08/04/12	Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano	92-98
17/12/11	Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro	88-72
20/03/11	Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro	87-68
28/11/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano	89-85
25/05/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano	75-81
22/05/10	Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro	67-65
20/05/10	Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro	72-65
08/05/10	Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro	81-58
17/01/10	Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano	77-72

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/13	H	Cremona	78-81
10/03/13	A	Venezia	97-88 OT
03/03/13	H	Siena	72-68
24/02/13	A	Reggiana	61-79
17/02/13	A	Virtus Roma	79-66
07/02/13	A	Varese	74-92
03/02/13	H	Avellino	108-57
27/01/13	H	Virtus Bologna	91-68
20/01/13	A	Caserta	78-69
13/01/13	A	Brindisi	83-76

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/13	H	Brindisi	93-86
10/03/13	A	Reggiana	83-100
03/03/13	H	Venezia	88-64
24/02/13	A	Cremona	87-89
17/02/13	H	Caserta	97-76
03/02/13	A	Virtus Bologna	80-83
27/01/13	A	Sassari	90-106
20/01/13	H	Avellino	95-71
13/01/13	H	Virtus Roma	84-86 OT
07/01/13	A	Siena	79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	61%
Home	LWWWL	45%
Away	WWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	61%	45%	75%
Points / game	80.6	84.7	76.8
Allowed / game	76.3	78.5	74.3
Point differential	+4.3	+6.3	+2.5
Avg total	156.9	163.2	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	27%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	50% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	35%
Home	LWWWW	42%
Away	LLLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	35%	42%	27%
Points / game	83.3	83.3	83.3
Allowed / game	85.5	81.6	89.7
Point differential	-2.2	+1.8	-6.5
Avg total	168.8	164.9	173.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Sassari	23	18	5	78%	88.2	81.0	+7.2
3	Varese	23	18	5	78%	83.8	77.0	+6.8
4	Virtus Roma	23	16	7	70%	78.1	74.4	+3.7
5	Cantu	23	15	8	65%	74.6	67.4	+7.2
6	Siena	23	14	9	61%	76.4	70.4	+6.0
7	Olimpia Milano	23	14	9	61%	80.6	76.3	+4.3
8	Reggiana	23	13	10	57%	76.6	73.1	+3.5
9	Venezia	23	11	12	48%	77.2	79.6	-2.4
10	Brindisi	23	10	13	43%	81.7	81.6	+0.1
11	Caserta	23	10	13	43%	71.3	76.9	-5.6
12	Cremona	23	9	14	39%	77.9	80.2	-2.3
13	Virtus Bologna	22	8	14	36%	72.8	76.8	-4.0
14	Avellino	22	8	14	36%	75.3	81.6	-6.4
15	Sutor Montegranaro	23	8	15	35%	83.3	85.5	-2.2
16	Pesaro	23	6	17	26%	72.0	77.3	-5.3
17	Biella	23	5	18	22%	71.5	82.3	-10.9
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	15	16	16	24	71
Sutor Montegranaro	21	22	23	19	85

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature