Penarol vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	81.3	81.4	162.7	-0.1	51%
Season at home (17)	79.7	77.6	157.3	+2.1	65%
Season away (18)	82.8	85.1	167.8	-2.3	39%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	82.4	166.2	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	84.2	168.0	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.0	85.0	155.0	-15.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	82.6	80.2	162.8	+2.4	61%
vs Weaker (4)	81.0	80.0	161.0	+1.0	25%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

72-69

A07/03

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

80-81

-1

H11/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

72-91

-19

A16/03

Liga A

Obera TC

80-84

-4

A18/03

Liga A

San Martin

#12

65-71

-6

A21/03

Liga A

Regatas

70-77

-7

A24/03

Liga A

Argentino

#19

100-74

100

+26

H05/04

Liga A

Obera TC

75-76

-1

H08/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

90-81

A11/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#15

81-74

A16/04

Liga A

25-26

14-17

19-9

14-17

19-20

21-24

21-20

19-17

25-27

17-14

22-28

8-22

21-18

25-17

19-28

15-21

16-12

16-15

17-18

16-26

27-20

17-20

12-17

14-20

30-21

29-15

25-19

16-19

22-14

16-24

19-14

18-24

23-21

25-21

20-29

22-10

21-14

16-27

20-16

24-17

156.3Avg total

78.5Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	83.8	81.8	165.6	+2.0	60%
Season at home (18)	87.1	79.3	166.4	+7.8	72%
Season away (17)	80.3	84.4	164.7	-4.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	77.8	156.3	+0.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	76.4	159.6	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.0	103.5	184.5	-22.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	82.7	81.0	163.7	+1.7	52%
vs Weaker (5)	86.0	80.4	166.4	+5.6	80%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	25.8	45.0	-6.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	18.6	41.9	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	29.5	49.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.9	40.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.6	21.7	41.2	-2.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	15.8	32.0	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.4	42.3	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	21.7	43.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	29.0	49.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.0	21.0	40.9	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.0	20.6	45.6	+4.4	80%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

#16

43-36

H07/03

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

31-39

-8

H13/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

38-36

H15/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-44

-9

A18/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

57-53

A28/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

44-33

+11

A29/03

Liga A

Atenas

#18

36-54

-18

A01/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#15

29-32

-3

H05/04

Liga A

La Union

#10

42-44

-2

A15/04

Liga A

Obera TC

35-47

-12

A17/04

Liga A

80.8Avg total

39.0Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.0	82.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	40.1	77.1	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	43.6	86.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.0	45.7	89.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.5	41.5	77.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#13

39-43

-4

A07/03

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

40-44

-4

H11/03

Liga A

La Union

#10

42-41

A16/03

Liga A

Obera TC

46-35

+11

A18/03

Liga A

San Martin

#12

32-27

A21/03

Liga A

Regatas

44-40

A24/03

Liga A

Argentino

#19

59-36

+23

H05/04

Liga A

Obera TC

38-38

H08/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

48-42

A11/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#15

37-41

-4

A16/04

Liga A

81.2Avg total

42.5Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	41.3	84.5	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	40.2	85.4	+4.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	42.6	83.4	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.7	81.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.4	84.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	58.5	99.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	42.3	40.3	82.6	+1.9	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	48.2	39.0	87.2	+9.2	80%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.0	42.8	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.0	18.3	32.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.2	20.0	47.2	+7.2	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	23.6	44.4	-2.8	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.2	46.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	61%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.3	35.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	28.5	48.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.0	17.8	34.8	-0.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.4	78.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.7	36.1	77.9	+5.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	40.3	79.8	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	40.6	85.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	42.2	88.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.0	39.3	65.3	-13.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.3	65%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.5	38.5	84.0	+7.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	40.4	79.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	38.4	79.6	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	42.7	79.9	-5.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	39.1	75.1	-3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	39.6	39.8	79.3	-0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.8	41.4	79.2	-3.6	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.6	52.9%	53.7%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.5	35.7%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	23.3	17.1	73.4%	71.5%	17.1

They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	18.9	56.8%	53.7%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	9.9	31.8%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.3	68.2%	71.5%	10.3

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.5	53.1%	53.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	9.5	31.5%	32.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.9	73.0%	71.5%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.5	53.6%	53.7%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	10.1	38.1%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	13.9	68.5%	71.5%	13.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.6	18.1	53.8%	53.7%	36.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.6%	32.9%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.3	73.1%	71.5%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	19.3	56.4%	53.7%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	10.1	31.6%	32.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	15.4	10.5	68.4%	71.5%	10.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.5	53.8%	53.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	9.3	31.0%	32.9%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.8	69.2%	71.5%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.9	52.2%	53.7%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	9.4	36.0%	32.9%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	20.8	13.9	67.0%	71.5%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

LLWLWWLLWW

Ferro

WWLWLLLLLW

#11

League position

+1.9

Net rating

-4.8

112.6

Offensive rating

110.4

110.7

Defensive rating

115.2

53.2%

Effective FG%

52.4%

50.4%

Opp. effective FG%

55.2%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.23

35.7%

3-point %

31.8%

56.6%

Assist %

57.3%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ Ferro

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
28/09/25	Ferro v Penarol	97-84
27/04/25	Penarol v Ferro	73-75
09/10/24	Ferro v Penarol	84-82 OT
13/05/24	Penarol v Ferro	70-86
14/11/23	Ferro v Penarol	80-73
19/01/23	Ferro v Penarol	88-102
26/11/22	Penarol v Ferro	69-64
03/04/22	Ferro v Penarol	90-78
02/12/21	Penarol v Ferro	80-89
10/10/21	Penarol v Ferro	97-101 OT

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/26	A	Obera TC	81-84
15/04/26	A	La Union	85-91
05/04/26	H	Union De Santa Fe	85-83
01/04/26	A	Atenas	85-95
29/03/26	A	Instituto de Cordoba	83-68
28/03/26	A	Independiente de Oliva	107-102
18/03/26	A	Boca Juniors	70-86
15/03/26	H	San Lorenzo	71-79
13/03/26	H	Racing de Chivilcoy	92-64
07/03/26	H	Platense	79-72

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/26	A	Union De Santa Fe	81-74
11/04/26	A	Boca Juniors	90-81
08/04/26	H	Obera TC	75-76
05/04/26	H	Argentino	100-74
24/03/26	A	Regatas	70-77
21/03/26	A	San Martin	65-71
18/03/26	A	Obera TC	80-84
16/03/26	A	La Union	72-91
11/03/26	H	Racing de Chivilcoy	80-81
07/03/26	A	Olimpico	72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	51%
Home	LWWLW	65%
Away	WWLLL	39%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	51%	65%	39%
Points / game	81.3	79.7	82.8
Allowed / game	81.4	77.6	85.1
Point differential	-0.1	+2.1	-2.3
Avg total	162.7	157.3	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	18%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	75% (8)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Ferro

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	60%
Home	WWLWL	72%
Away	LLLWW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	60%	72%	47%
Points / game	83.8	87.1	80.3
Allowed / game	81.8	79.3	84.4
Point differential	+2.0	+7.8	-4.1
Avg total	165.6	166.4	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	50%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	38% (8)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	36	24	12	67%	83.3	76.4	+6.9
2	Gimnasia	36	24	12	67%	81.8	76.5	+5.2
3	Obera TC	35	23	12	66%	81.3	76.9	+4.4
4	Regatas	36	23	13	64%	79.6	76.2	+3.4
5	Boca Juniors	35	21	14	60%	81.3	77.8	+3.5
6	Obras Sanitarias	35	21	14	60%	81.3	78.8	+2.5
7	Ferro	35	21	14	60%	83.8	81.8	+2.0
8	Independiente de Oliva	36	20	16	56%	87.6	84.7	+2.9
9	Instituto de Cordoba	36	20	16	56%	77.4	75.6	+1.8
10	La Union	36	20	16	56%	81.2	80.2	+1.0
11	Penarol	35	18	17	51%	81.3	81.4	-0.1
12	San Martin	35	17	18	49%	75.5	76.1	-0.6
13	Olimpico	36	15	21	42%	79.2	80.0	-0.9
14	Racing de Chivilcoy	36	14	22	39%	79.4	81.8	-2.4
15	Platense	36	13	23	36%	82.3	85.2	-2.9
16	San Lorenzo	36	13	23	36%	78.7	82.3	-3.7
17	Union De Santa Fe	35	12	23	34%	81.3	84.3	-3.0
18	Atenas	35	12	23	34%	76.8	81.6	-4.8
19	Argentino	36	7	29	19%	73.9	88.9	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	25	22	23	17	87
Ferro	25	22	18	15	80

← all games of the day

Penarol vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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