PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ferro vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 80-78
21-25 29-18 12-20 18-15
Position#6
Record22-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game82.2
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#11
Record19-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ferro v Penarol
13 Nov 2026
FERR v PENA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FERR80
PENA78
24 Apr 2026
FERR97
PENA91
28 Sep 2025
FERR97
PENA84
09 Oct 2024
FERR84
PENA82
13 Nov 2023
FERR80
PENA73
19 Jan 2023
FERR88
PENA102
02 Apr 2022
FERR90
PENA78
20 Jan 2021
FERR90
PENA98
16 Feb 2020
FERR80
PENA69
14 Dec 2018
FERR82
PENA77
30 Apr 2018
FERR77
PENA89
19 Apr 2017
FERR63
PENA80
05 Oct 2016
FERR78
PENA52
03 Mar 2016
FERR78
PENA90
15 Oct 2015
FERR97
PENA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
L
72-91
72
91
-19
66avg 75
A16/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 75
A18/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
57avg 75
A21/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
68avg 75
A24/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
100-74
100
74
+26
105avg 75
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
59avg 75
H08/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 75
A11/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 75
A16/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 75
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
87avg 75
H24/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
17-14
22-28
8-22
21-18
25-17
19-28
15-21
16-12
16-15
17-18
16-26
27-20
17-20
12-17
14-20
30-21
29-15
25-19
16-19
22-14
16-24
19-14
18-24
23-21
25-21
20-29
22-10
21-14
16-27
20-16
24-17
25-25
22-22
18-23
15-17
29-30
24-13
17-21
27-27
161.6Avg total
81.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)84.182.2166.2+1.959%
Season at home (19)87.679.9167.6+7.774%
Season away (18)80.384.6164.8-4.344%
Last 10 (10)81.080.6161.6+0.440%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.0103.5184.5-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)83.081.3164.3+1.652%
vs Weaker (5)86.080.4166.4+5.680%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
L
71-79
71
79
-8
67avg 75
H15/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
57avg 75
A18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
107-102
107
102
+5
114avg 75
A28/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
74avg 75
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
75avg 75
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 75
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 75
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 75
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 75
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
81avg 75
A24/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-17
12-27
21-16
25-19
10-25
12-23
23-19
31-22
26-31
27-20
23-29
13-19
31-14
18-14
21-21
22-31
14-23
27-17
22-24
15-6
14-26
29-17
27-34
22-22
20-22
29-27
14-20
18-26
17-21
21-15
25-22
25-25
22-22
23-18
17-15
30-29
13-24
21-17
27-27
171.0Avg total
84.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.781.8163.5-0.151%
Season at home (18)80.177.7157.8+2.467%
Season away (19)83.285.7168.9-2.537%
Last 10 (10)84.586.5171.0-2.040%
Last 5 (5)85.887.0172.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.085.0155.0-15.033%
vs Similar ◀ (23)83.281.3164.4+1.957%
vs Weaker (4)81.080.0161.0+1.025%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
FerroPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A16/03
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A18/03
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A21/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A24/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A11/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/04
Liga A
83.6Avg total
44.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.085.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.839.685.3+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.684.6-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.083.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.286.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.558.599.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)43.339.983.3+3.457%-
vs Weaker (5)48.239.087.2+9.280%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A28/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
Liga A
84.9Avg total
40.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.540.177.5-2.631%-
Last 30 away (17)42.844.287.0-1.441%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.384.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.683.8-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.045.789.7-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)40.942.183.0-1.243%-
vs Weaker (4)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.3
59.0%
53.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.010.9
72.7%
71.5%10.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.6%
53.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.217.6
69.8%
71.5%17.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
WLWWLWLLLL
Penarol
LWLLWLWWLL
#6
League position
#11
+0.6
Net rating
-2.7
114.7
Offensive rating
113.0
114.2
Defensive rating
115.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.7%
3-point %
33.9%
57.0%
Assist %
54.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 113.0Defence114.2 · 115.7Shooting54.1% · 53.5%3-point %32.7% · 33.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ferro   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ferro wins
3
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
24/04/26Ferro v Penarol97-91
20/04/26Penarol v Ferro87-80
28/09/25Ferro v Penarol97-84
27/04/25Penarol v Ferro73-75
09/10/24Ferro v Penarol84-82 OT
13/05/24Penarol v Ferro70-86
14/11/23Ferro v Penarol80-73
19/01/23Ferro v Penarol88-102
26/11/22Penarol v Ferro69-64
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26HPenarol97-91
20/04/26APenarol80-87
16/04/26AUnion De Santa Fe81-74
11/04/26ABoca Juniors90-81
08/04/26HObera TC75-76
05/04/26HArgentino100-74
24/03/26ARegatas70-77
21/03/26ASan Martin65-71
18/03/26AObera TC80-84
16/03/26ALa Union72-91
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/26AFerro91-97
20/04/26HFerro87-80
17/04/26AObera TC81-84
15/04/26ALa Union85-91
05/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe85-83
01/04/26AAtenas85-95
29/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba83-68
28/03/26AIndependiente de Oliva107-102
18/03/26ABoca Juniors70-86
15/03/26HSan Lorenzo71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWLWLW74%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %59%74%44%
Points / game84.187.680.3
Allowed / game82.279.984.6
Point differential+1.9+7.7-4.3
Avg total166.2167.6164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)38% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL51%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %51%67%37%
Points / game81.780.183.2
Allowed / game81.877.785.7
Point differential-0.1+2.4-2.5
Avg total163.5157.8168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%17%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)75% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa36241267%83.376.4+6.9
2 Gimnasia36241267%81.876.5+5.2
3 Obera TC36231364%81.277.0+4.1
4 Regatas36231364%79.676.2+3.4
5 Boca Juniors37231462%81.978.2+3.7
6 Ferro37221559%84.182.2+1.9
7 Independiente de Oliva37211657%88.084.9+3.1
8 Instituto de Cordoba37211657%77.575.6+1.9
9 Obras Sanitarias37211657%80.979.0+1.9
10 La Union37201754%81.580.8+0.7
11 Penarol37191851%81.781.8-0.1
12 San Martin37172046%75.877.0-1.2
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
16 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
17 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
18 Atenas36132336%76.981.5-4.6
19 Argentino3672919%73.988.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2129121880
Penarol2518201578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.