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CSKA Moscow vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-78
22-20 12-20 30-21 18-17
Position#1
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#3
Record17-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid
26 Nov 2020
CMO74
MAD73
17 May 2019
CMO95
MAD90
08 Feb 2019
CMO82
MAD78
18 May 2018
CMO83
MAD92
01 Feb 2018
CMO93
MAD87
11 Nov 2016
CMO91
MAD90
07 Jan 2016
CMO95
MAD81
23 Jan 2014
CMO85
MAD71
28 Mar 2013
CMO81
MAD72
17 Dec 2008
CMO78
MAD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A09/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H11/01
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H14/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H17/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A20/01
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A25/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
101-61
101
61
+40
A27/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#13
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H30/01
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H03/02
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-18
16-15
20-16
24-22
17-24
21-18
14-29
21-15
10-19
27-11
17-20
13-20
22-17
17-20
25-13
24-34
20-18
24-20
18-21
20-20
24-21
19-20
21-15
23-16
20-11
28-15
30-19
20-11
30-26
25-25
27-16
28-20
24-27
20-14
27-8
24-19
11-12
16-9
19-17
157.7Avg total
85.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.080.7167.7+6.376%
Season at home (9)87.178.0165.1+9.189%
Season away (12)86.982.8169.7+4.267%
Last 10 (10)85.072.7157.7+12.380%
Last 5 (5)91.268.2159.4+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)90.083.7173.7+6.367%
vs Weaker (27)90.377.5167.7+12.881%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A08/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H10/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H13/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A18/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
A03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-21
15-20
24-27
16-15
11-19
25-22
23-11
28-23
26-23
18-17
22-15
31-31
22-21
23-22
22-22
15-19
13-17
20-20
12-17
22-22
18-22
23-15
20-19
21-21
21-21
22-19
28-23
12-27
31-13
25-19
21-20
23-16
30-22
19-21
14-23
27-19
30-22
19-28
19-26
170.0Avg total
86.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.276.3162.5+9.981%
Season at home (11)91.776.7168.5+15.091%
Season away (10)80.175.9156.0+4.270%
Last 10 (10)86.783.3170.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)90.485.2175.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.280.7161.8+0.550%
vs Weaker (24)87.579.0166.4+8.575%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
CSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#16
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A20/01
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A27/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#13
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H30/01
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/02
VTB United League
80.5Avg total
41.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.784.7+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.884.0+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)45.739.685.3+6.167%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.680.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.681.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)47.343.791.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker (27)44.739.384.0+5.467%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A08/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H10/01
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H13/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A18/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A03/02
ACB
86.5Avg total
44.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.683.6+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.939.486.4+7.579%-
Last 30 away (16)41.639.781.2+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.986.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.041.088.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.539.780.2+0.833%-
vs Weaker (24)45.039.584.5+5.467%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.2
51.5%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.18.5
40.3%
37.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.018.2
79.1%
76.7%18.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.1
53.7%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.9
39.8%
37.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.814.1
75.0%
76.7%14.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWLWWLW
Real Madrid
LWWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+8.2
Net rating
+7.0
118.3
Offensive rating
116.9
110.2
Defensive rating
109.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.3%
3-point %
39.8%
63.8%
Assist %
56.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 116.9Defence110.2 · 109.9Shooting54.6% · 56.3%3-point %40.3% · 39.8%Ball care17.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 31.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
CSKA Moscow wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban70-57
01/02/19HBuducnost99-69
30/01/19HZielona Gora102-78
27/01/19AMinsk101-61
25/01/19ABarcelona84-76
20/01/19AZenit Petersburg86-93
17/01/19HBayern77-70
14/01/19HKhimki M.75-65
11/01/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv76-93
09/01/19ADarussafaka80-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19AUnicaja102-103 OT
01/02/19ADarussafaka86-82
27/01/19HFuenlabrada89-79
24/01/19HAnadolu Efes92-84
20/01/19AManresa83-78
18/01/19ABuducnost60-73
13/01/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza98-96
10/01/19HOlympiacos94-78
08/01/19AGran Canaria75-67
06/01/19AEstudiantes88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %76%89%67%
Points / game87.087.186.9
Allowed / game80.778.082.8
Point differential+6.3+9.1+4.2
Avg total167.7165.1169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%91%70%
Points / game86.291.780.1
Allowed / game76.376.775.9
Point differential+9.9+15.0+4.2
Avg total162.5168.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2118386%84.075.3+8.7
2 Real Madrid2117481%86.276.3+9.9
3 CSKA Moscow2116576%87.080.7+6.3
4 Anadolu Efes2214864%85.480.2+5.1
5 Barcelona2213959%78.376.4+1.9
6 Olympiacos22121055%78.376.8+1.5
7 Bayern21111052%79.880.5-0.8
8 Baskonia21101148%82.080.5+1.4
9 Olimpia Milano21101148%87.386.5+0.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.380.1-0.9
11 Panathinaikos2191243%77.879.4-1.6
12 Khimki M.2291341%77.779.0-1.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%77.679.6-2.0
14 Gran Canaria2261627%78.887.8-9.0
15 Buducnost2261627%74.584.4-9.9
16 Darussafaka2131814%74.984.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow2212301882
Real Madrid2020211778
← all games of the day
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