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Orlando Magic vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 115-121
34-23 32-29 21-40 28-29
Position#15
Record29-30
FormWWLWL
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game105.4
vs
Position#11
Record31-26
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Golden State Warriors
19 Jan 2027
ORL v GSW
upcoming
18 Nov 2025
ORL121
GSW113
27 Feb 2025
ORL115
GSW121
27 Mar 2024
ORL93
GSW101
03 Nov 2022
ORL130
GSW129
22 Mar 2022
ORL94
GSW90
19 Feb 2021
ORL124
GSW120
01 Dec 2019
ORL100
GSW96
28 Feb 2019
ORL103
GSW96
01 Dec 2017
ORL112
GSW133
22 Jan 2017
ORL98
GSW118
25 Feb 2016
ORL114
GSW130
26 Nov 2014
ORL96
GSW111
31 Dec 2013
ORL81
GSW94
14 Dec 2012
ORL99
GSW85
03 Jan 2011
ORL110
GSW90
03 Mar 2010
ORL117
GSW90
22 Dec 2008
ORL113
GSW81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
87avg 97
A04/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-111
130
111
+19
126avg 97
A06/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
90-112
90
112
-22
76avg 97
A07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
112-111
112
111
+1
101avg 97
H09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
106-112
106
112
-6
98avg 97
H11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-86
102
86
+16
93avg 97
H13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
103avg 97
A21/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
104-105
104
105
-1
94avg 97
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
110-90
110
90
+20
103avg 97
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
82-122
82
122
-40
63avg 97
H26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
17-25
24-39
32-22
37-31
25-29
42-23
26-28
26-25
24-34
17-33
23-20
32-30
25-30
24-28
31-23
22-25
35-25
25-33
24-29
28-20
16-26
33-19
25-21
21-33
38-25
31-23
24-27
22-29
31-24
30-27
21-25
27-29
22-18
32-17
29-26
16-34
27-23
23-35
16-30
211.0Avg total
104.9Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)103.8105.4209.2-1.549%
Season at home (30)104.6102.8207.3+1.860%
Season away (29)103.0108.0211.1-5.038%
Last 10 (10)104.9106.1211.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)102.4102.2204.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)95.4111.2206.6-15.820%
vs Similar ◀ (19)101.6108.5210.1-6.932%
vs Weaker (6)101.599.0200.5+2.567%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#15
W
104-99
104
99
+5
98avg 108
H04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
128-131
128
131
-3
117avg 108
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
112-120
112
120
-8
96avg 108
A07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
132-111
132
111
+21
131avg 108
A09/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
125-111
125
111
+14
116avg 108
A11/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
107-111
107
111
-4
100avg 108
A13/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
105-98
105
98
+7
95avg 108
A14/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
132-108
132
108
+24
132avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
126-102
126
102
+24
121avg 108
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
128-92
128
92
+36
128avg 108
H26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
25-17
39-24
22-32
25-28
33-28
29-31
41-44
21-34
28-35
30-21
33-30
34-31
21-38
42-25
35-17
29-27
29-24
31-32
36-28
31-32
25-25
22-26
29-28
28-19
34-29
20-22
23-28
31-28
37-25
32-30
32-25
33-18
28-26
39-31
26-27
28-18
28-23
41-24
31-27
228.2Avg total
119.9Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)113.2111.4224.6+1.854%
Season at home (30)112.3110.8223.1+1.557%
Season away (27)114.1112.1226.2+2.152%
Last 10 (10)119.9108.3228.2+11.670%
Last 5 (5)119.6102.2221.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)98.7115.7214.3-17.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)110.5111.2221.6-0.747%
vs Weaker (10)120.9110.1231.0+10.870%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Orlando MagicGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A06/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H09/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H11/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H13/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A21/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H26/02
NBA
105.0Avg total
51.7Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.153.6103.8-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.451.499.8-3.135%-
Last 30 away (13)52.556.5109.0-4.146%-
Last 10 (10)51.753.3105.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)49.652.2101.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.457.2103.6-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.553.6106.1-1.253%-
vs Weaker (6)45.850.796.5-4.833%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A09/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A11/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A13/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A14/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A22/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H26/02
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.5108.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.555.5109.1-2.029%-
Last 30 away (13)55.553.2108.6+2.354%-
Last 10 (10)56.653.1109.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)60.648.6109.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.752.794.3-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.653.2107.9+1.447%-
vs Weaker (10)57.757.2114.9+0.540%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.729.7
52.4%
54.3%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.6
30.7%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
77.8%16.7
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.428.4
56.3%
54.3%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.414.5
33.4%
35.9%43.5
🏀 Free throws24.419.6
80.3%
77.8%19.6
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLWWLWLWL
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWWLLW
#15
League position
#11
-1.0
Net rating
+11.4
107.6
Offensive rating
117.3
108.6
Defensive rating
106.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
11.7%
Turnover %
11.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.7%
3-point %
33.4%
56.2%
Assist %
72.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 117.3Defence108.6 · 106.0Shooting50.1% · 53.5%3-point %30.7% · 33.4%Ball care11.7% · 11.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HCleveland Cavaliers82-122
23/02/25HWashington Wizards110-90
22/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies104-105
21/02/25AAtlanta Hawks114-108
13/02/25HCharlotte Hornets102-86
11/02/25HAtlanta Hawks106-112
09/02/25HSan Antonio Spurs112-111
07/02/25ADenver Nuggets90-112
06/02/25ASacramento Kings130-111
04/02/25AGolden State Warriors99-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HCharlotte Hornets128-92
23/02/25HDallas Mavericks126-102
22/02/25ASacramento Kings132-108
14/02/25AHouston Rockets105-98
13/02/25ADallas Mavericks107-111
11/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks125-111
09/02/25AChicago Bulls132-111
07/02/25ALos Angeles Lakers112-120
06/02/25AUtah Jazz128-131
04/02/25HOrlando Magic104-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL49%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %49%60%38%
Points / game103.8104.6103.0
Allowed / game105.4102.8108.0
Point differential-1.5+1.8-5.0
Avg total209.2207.3211.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)70% (10)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWWLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573027
Win %54%57%52%
Points / game113.2112.3114.1
Allowed / game111.4110.8112.1
Point differential+1.8+1.5+2.1
Avg total224.6223.1226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)67% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers58481083%122.9111.2+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder56451180%118.8106.2+12.6
3 Boston Celtics59421771%116.9108.1+8.8
4 New York Knicks57381967%118.0113.0+5.0
5 Memphis Grizzlies58382066%123.3116.6+6.7
6 Denver Nuggets58382066%121.3116.0+5.4
7 Houston Rockets57362163%113.5109.1+4.4
8 Los Angeles Lakers56352162%113.0111.6+1.4
9 Indiana Pacers57332458%116.4115.2+1.1
10 Detroit Pistons59332656%114.3113.0+1.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers58322655%110.9108.6+2.3
12 Milwaukee Bucks55302555%114.0112.7+1.3
13 Golden State Warriors57312654%113.2111.4+1.8
14 Minnesota Timberwolves59322754%112.1109.0+3.1
15 Dallas Mavericks58312753%115.3113.3+2.0
16 Sacramento Kings58302852%116.9115.6+1.3
17 Orlando Magic59293049%103.8105.4-1.5
18 Miami Heat57273047%110.0110.6-0.6
19 Phoenix Suns58273147%113.8115.9-2.1
20 Atlanta Hawks57263146%117.0119.7-2.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers59263344%110.0114.3-4.3
22 San Antonio Spurs57243342%112.4114.5-2.1
23 Chicago Bulls59233639%116.4120.4-4.0
24 Brooklyn Nets58213736%105.1111.1-6.0
25 Philadelphia 76ers58203834%108.9113.4-4.6
26 Toronto Raptors59184131%110.4116.3-5.9
27 New Orleans Pelicans58154326%110.5118.6-8.1
28 Charlotte Hornets57144325%105.4112.9-7.5
29 Utah Jazz58144424%112.2119.4-7.2
30 Washington Wizards58104817%108.3121.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic34322128115
Golden State Warriors23294029121
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