PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#20
Record4-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game114.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record7-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Memphis Grizzlies
03 Jan 2027
ORL v MEM
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
ORL118
MEM111
21 Feb 2025
ORL104
MEM105
30 Mar 2024
ORL118
MEM88
05 Jan 2023
ORL115
MEM123
05 Feb 2022
ORL115
MEM135
01 May 2021
ORL112
MEM111
08 Nov 2019
ORL118
MEM86
22 Mar 2019
ORL123
MEM119
03 Mar 2018
ORL107
MEM100
26 Dec 2016
ORL112
MEM102
03 Apr 2016
ORL119
MEM107
16 Jan 2015
ORL96
MEM106
12 Feb 2014
ORL81
MEM86
03 Mar 2013
ORL82
MEM108
15 Nov 2010
ORL89
MEM72
04 Apr 2010
ORL107
MEM92
08 Apr 2009
ORL81
MEM78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis Grizzlies win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
93-115
93
115
-22
83avg 105
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 105
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 105
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 105
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 105
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 105
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 105
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
no box
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
25-31
15-29
33-29
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
219.0Avg total
106.8Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.5114.0222.5-5.536%
Season at home (4)102.2114.5216.8-12.20%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)106.8112.2219.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)109.4110.8220.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)121.3110.5231.8+10.8100%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrizzlies
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
111-108
111
108
+3
107avg 100
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 100
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
110-105
110
105
+5
104avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
W
124-103
124
103
+21
121avg 100
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
136-105
136
105
+31
135avg 100
H01/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
134-135 OT
134
135
-1
133avg 100
H03/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
103-107
103
107
-4
97avg 100
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
97-128
97
128
-31
80avg 100
H07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 100
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
118-123
118
123
-5
no box
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-34
27-22
24-34
27-18
25-28
42-31
29-31
27-22
30-21
28-31
31-24
21-29
25-25
33-33
33-25
33-20
27-21
39-34
42-25
28-25
28-34
34-25
33-41
29-24
24-32
28-22
30-26
21-27
28-35
21-36
27-27
21-30
25-26
34-27
30-28
29-21
24-35
28-30
38-29
28-29
230.2Avg total
117.4Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)117.9111.9229.8+6.064%
Season at home (6)118.5116.8235.3+1.733%
Season away (5)117.2106.0223.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)117.4112.8230.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)114.0119.0233.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)111.2129.4240.6-18.17%
vs Similar (9)112.2121.7233.9-9.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)121.0112.9233.9+8.157%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
Orlando MagicMemphis Grizzlies
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H23/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
111.3Avg total
53.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.256.7113.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.055.4115.4+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)53.457.9111.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)54.858.2113.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)62.556.8119.3+5.783%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A24/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H01/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H03/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
49-71
49
71
-22
H07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H12/11
NBA
116.5Avg total
58.3Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.661.7118.4-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.661.1116.7-5.419%-
Last 30 away (14)57.862.5120.3-4.743%-
Last 10 (10)58.358.2116.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)54.860.4115.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.564.2119.7-8.714%-
vs Similar (9)55.762.0117.7-6.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)60.156.4116.6+3.771%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.4
52.0%
54.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.513.1
33.2%
35.0%39.3
🏀 Free throws23.416.4
70.1%
76.8%16.4
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.3
53.0%
54.0%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.114.7
35.8%
35.0%44.1
🏀 Free throws19.116.1
84.3%
76.8%16.1
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWLLLLWLWL
Memphis Grizzlies
LWLLLWWWWW
#20
League position
#11
-10.4
Net rating
-0.6
103.2
Offensive rating
106.8
113.5
Defensive rating
107.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.2%
3-point %
35.8%
67.1%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 106.8Defence113.5 · 107.4Shooting50.9% · 53.3%3-point %33.2% · 35.8%Ball care16.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Memphis Grizzlies
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Orlando Magic wins
8
Memphis Grizzlies wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
23/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves93-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HDenver Nuggets118-123
10/11/26AToronto Raptors118-102
07/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder97-128
05/11/26HIndiana Pacers103-107
03/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans134-135 OT
01/11/26HSacramento Kings136-105
30/10/26APortland Trail Blazers124-103
27/10/26AUtah Jazz110-105
26/10/26ASacramento Kings123-112
24/10/26AGolden State Warriors111-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%0%57%
Points / game108.5102.2112.0
Allowed / game114.0114.5113.7
Point differential-5.5-12.2-1.7
Avg total222.5216.8225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%0%14%
Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL64%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%33%100%
Points / game117.9118.5117.2
Allowed / game111.9116.8106.0
Point differential+6.0+1.7+11.2
Avg total229.8235.3223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
10 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.