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Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 112-112
Projected total 223.7
Scheduled
Position#20
Record5-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game112.8
Vs
51%
49%
■ ORL 51%■ PHI 49%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
3.2/10
Below normal
Position#5
Record10-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Philadelphia 76ers
14 Dec 2026
ORL v PHI
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
ORL v PHI
upcoming
09 Jan 2026
ORL91
PHI103
12 Jan 2025
ORL104
PHI99
15 Nov 2024
ORL98
PHI86
19 Jan 2024
ORL109
PHI124
27 Dec 2023
ORL92
PHI112
27 Nov 2022
ORL103
PHI133
25 Nov 2022
ORL99
PHI107
13 Mar 2022
ORL114
PHI116
05 Jan 2022
ORL106
PHI116
31 Dec 2020
ORL92
PHI116
27 Dec 2019
ORL98
PHI97
13 Nov 2019
ORL112
PHI97
25 Mar 2019
ORL119
PHI98
14 Nov 2018
ORL111
PHI106
22 Mar 2018
ORL98
PHI118
20 Mar 2017
ORL112
PHI109
09 Feb 2017
ORL111
PHI112
28 Feb 2016
ORL130
PHI116
20 Jan 2016
ORL87
PHI96
22 Feb 2015
ORL103
PHI98
21 Dec 2014
ORL88
PHI96
02 Mar 2014
ORL92
PHI81
27 Nov 2013
ORL105
PHI94
10 Mar 2013
ORL99
PHI91
16 Apr 2012
ORL113
PHI100
15 Feb 2012
ORL103
PHI87
19 Jan 2011
ORL99
PHI98
18 Dec 2010
ORL89
PHI97
14 Apr 2010
ORL125
PHI111
28 Oct 2009
ORL120
PHI106
28 Apr 2009
ORL91
PHI78
22 Apr 2009
ORL96
PHI87
19 Apr 2009
ORL98
PHI100
06 Nov 2008
ORL98
PHI88
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 18 November 2026 the Orlando Magic will host the Philadelphia 76ers in a tightly contested NBA matchup where the edge is razor thin, with Pythia giving the Magic a 51% chance to win against the 49% for the 76ers, making the Magic the model favourite; the projected score is 112-112 and the total is 223.7 points, with a 7% chance of overtime. Orlando has gone 4-7 all-season, averaging 108.5 points and allowing 114.0, and sits 20th in the league, while their home record is 0-4, 102.2 points for and 114.5 against; they won two of their last five games, including a 123-108 win over Utah and a 107-100 win over Sacramento, but fell 119-126 to Golden State. Philadelphia, meanwhile, is 10-3 all-season, 111.2 points for and 109.4 against, in fourth place, and has a 5-1 road record, 110.5 points for and 109.8 against; they won three of their last five, with a 123-112 win over Toronto, a 101-123 loss to Boston, and a 127-121 win over Chicago.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic win
51.1%fair 1.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Philadelphia 76ers win
48.9%fair 2.04
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#16
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 106
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 106
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 106
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 106
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 106
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
116avg 106
A12/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
107-99
107
99
+8
104avg 106
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
23-15
29-22
32-35
23-27
218.8Avg total
108.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)108.3112.8221.1-4.442%
Season at home (5)103.2111.4214.6-8.220%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)108.2110.6218.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)112.0110.0222.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)119.0107.5226.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form76ers
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
93-106
93
106
-13
70avg 103
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 103
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 103
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
109-104
109
104
+5
72avg 103
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
126-107
126
107
+19
128avg 103
H03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
112-106
112
106
+6
106avg 103
A05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
95-119
95
119
-24
78avg 103
A07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
127-121
127
121
+6
122avg 103
A08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
101-123
101
123
-22
90avg 103
H11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
123-112
123
112
+11
121avg 103
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
22-22
25-23
24-27
25-25
37-27
13-36
39-21
29-21
24-23
24-24
21-25
27-37
30-17
20-29
32-21
30-23
34-36
26-20
36-28
29-21
27-21
35-33
21-31
22-33
32-29
20-29
21-28
34-33
34-28
31-32
28-28
23-30
28-32
31-29
19-32
24-33
36-27
36-27
27-25
219.8Avg total
109.8Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)111.2109.4220.5+1.877%
Season at home (7)111.7109.0220.7+2.771%
Season away (6)110.5109.8220.3+0.783%
Last 10 (10)109.8110.0219.8-0.270%
Last 5 (5)111.6116.2227.8-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)102.1111.9214.1-9.835%
vs Similar (7)108.6107.9216.4+0.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)120.0108.0228.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1751%1802%1852%1904%1955%2007%2059%21010%21511%22010%2259%2308%2356%2405%2453%2502%2551%2601%2651%2700%2750%280
1%1802%1905%2009%21011%2209%2306%2403%2501%2601%2700%280
Pythia expects about 224 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 220-224 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
57.0%
Under 220
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
46.1%
Under 225
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
35.5%
Under 230
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Orlando Magic total 109
Over 109
60.1%
Under 109
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlando Magic total 113
Over 113
46.4%
Under 113
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orlando Magic total 117
Over 117
33.2%
Under 117
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Philadelphia 76ers total 107.5
Over 107.5
63.4%
Under 107.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Philadelphia 76ers total 111.5
Over 111.5
50.3%
Under 111.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Philadelphia 76ers total 115.5
Over 115.5
37.2%
Under 115.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-390%-361%-331%-301%-272%-243%-214%-185%-157%-128%-99%-68%-35%+09%+38%+67%+96%+124%+154%+182%+212%+241%+271%+301%+330%+36
0%-361%-302%-244%-187%-129%-65%+08%+66%+124%+182%+241%+300%+36
Margin from Orlando Magic's side (positive = Orlando Magic win). Pythia's expected margin is +0.4; Orlando Magic win by 1+ in 45% of simulations.
Spread Orlando Magic -3
ORL -3
44.6%
PHI +3
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
ORL
No market prices yet.
PHI
No market prices yet.
Spread Orlando Magic 0
ORL 0
51.1%
PHI 0
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
ORL
No market prices yet.
PHI
No market prices yet.
Spread Orlando Magic +3
ORL +3
57.6%
PHI -3
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
ORL
No market prices yet.
PHI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#16
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H14/11
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.856.0112.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.053.7112.7+5.362%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)54.155.9110.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.6107.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)60.353.2113.5+7.283%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H30/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A31/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A05/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H13/11
NBA
112.1Avg total
56.9Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.259.1114.3-3.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.059.9113.9-5.933%-
Last 30 away (15)56.458.3114.7-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)56.955.2112.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.4115.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)53.460.6113.9-7.229%-
vs Similar (7)54.356.6110.9-2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)61.557.8119.3+3.783%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.6%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.313.2
32.8%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
77.2%17.1
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.829.5
51.9%
54.0%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.0
33.4%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.820.4
79.1%
77.2%20.4
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWWLLLLWLW
Philadelphia 76ers
WLWLWWWWWL
#20
League position
#5
-8.1
Net rating
-0.4
104.5
Offensive rating
107.2
112.6
Defensive rating
107.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
33.4%
67.4%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 107.2Defence112.6 · 107.6Shooting50.9% · 51.3%3-point %32.8% · 33.4%Ball care15.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Philadelphia 76ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-99
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HToronto Raptors123-112
11/11/26HBoston Celtics101-123
08/11/26AChicago Bulls127-121
07/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers95-119
05/11/26ADetroit Pistons112-106
03/11/26HChicago Bulls126-107
31/10/26ACharlotte Hornets109-104
30/10/26HNew York Knicks98-93
28/10/26AIndiana Pacers114-109
25/10/26HDetroit Pistons93-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%20%57%
Points / game108.3103.2112.0
Allowed / game112.8111.4113.7
Point differential-4.4-8.2-1.7
Avg total221.1214.6225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%14%
Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%71%83%
Points / game111.2111.7110.5
Allowed / game109.4109.0109.8
Point differential+1.8+2.7+0.7
Avg total220.5220.7220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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