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Cento vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-96
24-25 17-20 13-21 28-30
Position#12
Record8-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#21
Record4-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game76.1
ItalySerie A2Round 21· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cento v Orzinuovi
06 Oct 2024
CENT84
ORZI86
28 Jan 2024
CENT82
ORZI96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
68avg 60
H26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
48avg 60
A02/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 60
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
59-77
59
77
-18
49avg 60
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 60
A17/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
63avg 60
H23/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
49avg 60
A29/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 60
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
no box
A14/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 60
H21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
22-15
17-22
15-13
15-24
14-25
18-22
15-11
22-15
24-22
16-25
16-23
20-26
16-8
11-19
12-24
10-21
16-23
23-18
17-18
18-10
25-12
12-21
16-19
16-21
17-21
8-20
20-20
21-25
16-20
23-16
18-28
13-14
24-16
14-19
20-22
18-14
18-13
10-13
15-17
146.0Avg total
70.0Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.877.5150.3-4.840%
Season at home (10)76.880.0156.8-3.240%
Season away (10)68.875.1143.9-6.340%
Last 10 (10)70.076.0146.0-6.040%
Last 5 (5)71.473.8145.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.081.9155.9-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.977.1152.0-2.138%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
54-57
54
57
-3
42avg 62
A26/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
52avg 62
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 62
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
59avg 62
A10/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
59avg 62
H17/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 62
A22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
65-66
65
66
-1
59avg 62
H30/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
72avg 62
H07/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
65-70
65
70
-5
54avg 62
A14/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 62
H21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
7-15
16-2
12-23
15-28
15-22
18-18
21-19
24-19
16-17
22-12
13-23
19-23
28-23
12-18
17-26
21-22
22-18
15-11
13-21
12-16
16-32
21-17
31-21
16-14
15-17
18-17
16-18
19-19
17-16
22-15
23-14
21-20
14-17
16-21
14-12
15-17
13-15
21-19
28-27
145.4Avg total
71.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.576.1147.6-4.620%
Season at home (10)70.972.1143.0-1.230%
Season away (10)72.080.1152.1-8.110%
Last 10 (10)71.374.1145.4-2.820%
Last 5 (5)73.672.8146.4+0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.884.8155.6-14.09%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.470.4140.8+0.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
CentoOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A02/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A17/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H23/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/01
Serie A2
73.1Avg total
36.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.078.7-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.582.2-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.638.575.1-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.273.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.270.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.343.680.9-6.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.936.876.7+3.162%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H30/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H07/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/01
Serie A2
73.1Avg total
34.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.042.777.7-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.640.475.1-5.825%-
Last 30 away (14)35.445.480.7-10.029%-
Last 10 (10)34.438.773.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.668.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)35.245.180.3-9.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.436.270.6-1.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.9
47.5%
50.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.5
29.2%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws14.310.8
75.5%
74.2%10.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 68.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.1
47.1%
50.3%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
34.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.116.0
79.6%
74.2%16.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
WWLLWLLLLW
Orzinuovi
LLWLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#21
-7.8
Net rating
-7.6
93.8
Offensive rating
95.6
101.7
Defensive rating
103.2
45.9%
Effective FG%
44.8%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.2%
3-point %
27.7%
47.5%
Assist %
44.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 95.6Defence101.7 · 103.2Shooting45.9% · 44.8%3-point %29.2% · 27.7%Ball care16.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds21.7% · 22.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cento   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cento wins
0
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Orzinuovi v Cento56-67
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HFortitudo Bologna61-57
14/01/24ANardo86-79 OT
07/01/24HRimini78-89
29/12/23AUdine61-82
23/12/23HChiusi71-62
17/12/23ATrieste66-80
10/12/23AAssigeco Piacenza59-77
06/12/23HVerona78-85
02/12/23AForli62-82
26/11/23HCividale78-67
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HUdine77-78
14/01/24AChiusi65-70
07/01/24HNardo81-64
30/12/23HFortitudo Bologna65-66
22/12/23AVerona80-86
17/12/23HForli71-72
10/12/23ARimini76-90
06/12/23ACividale75-71
03/12/23HTrieste69-87
26/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza54-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game72.876.868.8
Allowed / game77.580.075.1
Point differential-4.8-3.2-6.3
Avg total150.3156.8143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %15%20%10%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLWLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game71.570.972.0
Allowed / game76.172.180.1
Point differential-4.7-1.2-8.1
Avg total147.6143.0152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)29% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2120195%91.977.0+14.8
2 Fortitudo Bologna2117481%76.870.9+5.9
3 Forli2117481%79.273.6+5.6
4 Cantu2116576%88.679.9+8.7
5 Udine2115671%79.069.5+9.5
6 Verona2114767%76.071.9+4.1
7 Basket Torino2114767%85.282.0+3.2
8 Trieste2114767%80.377.3+3.0
9 Sebastiani Rieti2113862%81.979.2+2.7
10 JuVi Cremona2112957%87.585.2+2.2
11 Treviglio21111052%82.082.0+0.0
12 Urania Milano21111052%83.784.3-0.7
13 Assigeco Piacenza2191243%75.874.7+1.1
14 Cento2081240%72.877.5-4.8
15 Rimini2181338%77.077.0+0.0
16 Vigevano2181338%78.782.1-3.4
17 Nardo2181338%76.383.1-6.8
18 Cividale2171433%73.677.2-3.7
19 Luiss Roma2171433%79.586.8-7.3
20 Agrigento2161529%75.881.2-5.4
21 Monferrato2151624%79.985.0-5.1
22 Orzinuovi2041620%71.576.1-4.7
23 Chiusi2141719%65.075.0-10.0
24 Latina2131814%78.988.6-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento2417132882
Orzinuovi2520213096
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