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Orzinuovi vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-72
21-22 22-18 15-11 13-21
Position#21
Record3-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.7
ItalySerie A2Round 15· PalaBertocchi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Forli
16 Feb 2025
ORZI57
FORL61
17 Dec 2023
ORZI71
FORL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 61
H22/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 61
A29/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 61
A01/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 61
H05/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
46avg 61
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
56-67
56
67
-11
49avg 61
H19/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
54-57
54
57
-3
42avg 61
A26/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
52avg 61
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
68avg 61
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
59avg 61
A10/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-20
23-21
13-13
19-21
21-26
19-31
18-11
24-26
21-25
18-16
25-23
22-13
19-19
19-18
16-21
18-18
16-33
13-12
14-19
13-13
9-18
12-15
22-21
19-17
7-15
16-2
12-23
15-28
15-22
18-18
21-19
24-19
16-17
22-12
13-23
19-23
28-23
12-18
17-26
148.1Avg total
70.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.777.6148.3-6.921%
Season at home (6)69.273.5142.7-4.333%
Season away (8)71.980.6152.5-8.812%
Last 10 (10)70.477.7148.1-7.320%
Last 5 (5)66.074.4140.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.486.3156.7-15.98%
vs Similar (6)69.571.5141.0-2.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
76-68 OT
76
68
+8
no box
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 71
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
60avg 71
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 71
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 71
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
18-20
16-15
18-11
23-27
22-13
17-15
18-22
23-20
19-18
12-17
18-17
18-30
24-18
15-23
25-25
21-13
11-11
22-19
17-19
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
160.2Avg total
81.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.575.7157.2+5.879%
Season at home (7)84.472.1156.6+12.3100%
Season away (7)78.679.3157.9-0.757%
Last 10 (10)81.578.7160.2+2.880%
Last 5 (5)84.481.2165.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)74.274.8148.9-0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.369.4151.7+12.993%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
OrzinuoviForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A01/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A11/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H19/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/12
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
36.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.644.379.9-8.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.442.577.9-7.121%-
Last 30 away (16)35.845.981.7-10.225%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.577.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.072.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.046.382.3-10.421%-
vs Similar (6)34.036.370.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
75.1Avg total
39.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.075.0+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.472.7+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)39.637.777.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.975.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.474.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.538.174.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.733.775.4+8.086%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.4
46.4%
50.3%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.9
30.6%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.712.8
72.3%
74.2%12.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.1
49.7%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
73.3%
74.2%13.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LWLLLLWLLL
Forli
WWWLWWLWWW
#21
League position
#2
-13.2
Net rating
+3.1
96.7
Offensive rating
107.8
110.0
Defensive rating
104.7
46.2%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.6%
3-point %
34.0%
51.1%
Assist %
47.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 107.8Defence110.0 · 104.7Shooting46.2% · 50.2%3-point %30.6% · 34.0%Ball care17.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orzinuovi wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Forli v Orzinuovi86-69
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ARimini76-90
06/12/23ACividale75-71
03/12/23HTrieste69-87
26/11/23AAssigeco Piacenza54-57
19/11/23HCento56-67
11/11/23AUdine61-82
05/11/23HChiusi76-71
01/11/23ANardo88-90
29/10/23AFortitudo Bologna77-89
22/10/23HVerona72-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
12/11/23AChiusi71-62
04/11/23AVerona82-96
01/11/23HCividale84-78 OT
29/10/23AAssigeco Piacenza80-77
22/10/23HRimini76-68 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%33%12%
Points / game70.769.271.9
Allowed / game77.673.580.6
Point differential-6.9-4.3-8.8
Avg total148.3142.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game81.584.478.6
Allowed / game75.772.179.3
Point differential+5.8+12.3-0.7
Avg total157.2156.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %36%57%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1514193%92.977.9+15.0
2 Cantu1512380%89.982.0+7.9
3 Forli1411379%81.575.7+5.8
4 Fortitudo Bologna1411379%79.173.5+5.6
5 Trieste1310377%79.674.3+5.3
6 Udine1410471%80.471.1+9.4
7 Basket Torino1410471%85.380.6+4.7
8 Verona1510567%76.673.1+3.5
9 Sebastiani Rieti159660%82.979.6+3.3
10 Urania Milano159660%83.784.5-0.7
11 Treviglio148657%83.683.0+0.6
12 Assigeco Piacenza158753%79.876.5+3.3
13 JuVi Cremona158753%87.885.1+2.7
14 Nardo147750%79.585.3-5.8
15 Cento145936%73.878.7-4.9
16 Monferrato1441029%80.483.2-2.9
17 Agrigento1441029%75.679.9-4.4
18 Rimini1541127%76.078.9-2.9
19 Cividale1541127%72.875.9-3.1
20 Vigevano1541127%77.584.4-6.9
21 Luiss Roma1541127%77.387.1-9.7
22 Orzinuovi1431121%70.777.6-6.9
23 Chiusi1321115%64.574.2-9.6
24 Latina1521313%77.787.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi2122151371
Forli2218112172
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