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Orzinuovi vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-58
17-13 23-19 10-15 16-11
Position#14
Record6-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#19
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game82.4
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaBertocchi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Nardo
01 Dec 2024
ORZI66
NARD58
07 Jan 2024
ORZI81
NARD64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 72
H13/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 72
H16/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 72
A20/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 72
H27/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
65-67
65
67
-2
59avg 72
A03/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 72
H06/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
80avg 72
A10/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
102avg 72
H13/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
71avg 72
H17/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 72
A24/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
22-17
20-24
11-18
26-36
20-22
15-17
20-23
22-25
12-21
22-19
21-19
23-19
30-16
18-18
11-18
21-18
17-19
10-15
17-15
27-18
17-25
13-21
22-22
22-23
15-19
16-15
22-18
27-18
27-19
21-21
16-33
13-14
17-16
20-21
22-13
23-17
12-22
15-14
16-24
160.4Avg total
79.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.281.0160.2-1.846%
Season at home (7)82.682.0164.6+0.671%
Season away (6)75.279.8155.0-4.717%
Last 10 (10)79.181.3160.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)79.882.4162.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.679.0155.6-2.436%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.281.4161.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (3)84.076.3160.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 64
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 64
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 64
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 64
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 64
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 64
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 64
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 64
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 64
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 64
A17/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
15-26
27-26
15-31
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
156.2Avg total
75.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.982.4157.3-7.533%
Season at home (6)77.279.3156.5-2.250%
Season away (6)72.785.5158.2-12.817%
Last 10 (10)75.480.8156.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)74.883.2158.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.380.5153.8-7.231%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.679.5157.1-1.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
OrzinuoviNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H27/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H13/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H17/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A24/11
Serie A2
83.3Avg total
42.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.480.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.281.3+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.879.2-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.683.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.278.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.740.677.4-3.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.240.982.2+0.356%-
vs Weaker (3)44.736.781.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
74.9Avg total
36.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.478.1-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.777.5+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.543.278.7-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.774.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.039.774.7-4.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.641.080.6-1.453%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
50.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
74.4%12.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.9
53.8%
50.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.211.5
66.9%
74.4%11.5
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LWWLLLWLLW
Nardo
LLLLWWWLWL
#14
League position
#19
-2.7
Net rating
-7.6
103.8
Offensive rating
102.9
106.4
Defensive rating
110.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
35.3%
68.1%
Assist %
39.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 102.9Defence106.4 · 110.5Shooting50.1% · 53.5%3-point %32.1% · 35.3%Ball care18.4% · 21.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orzinuovi wins
1
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Orzinuovi v Nardo81-64
01/11/23Nardo v Orzinuovi90-88
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ASebastiani Rieti66-77
17/11/24HVerona72-64
13/11/24HVigevano100-98 OT
10/11/24AForli82-87 OT
06/11/24HUrania Milano79-86
03/11/24APesaro65-67
27/10/24HBasket Torino82-71
20/10/24AJuVi Cremona77-84
16/10/24HRimini81-98
13/10/24HAssigeco Piacenza87-81
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
06/10/24HJuVi Cremona72-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game79.282.675.2
Allowed / game81.082.079.8
Point differential-1.8+0.6-4.7
Avg total160.2164.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %23%29%17%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game74.977.272.7
Allowed / game82.479.385.5
Point differential-7.5-2.2-12.8
Avg total157.3156.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1211192%83.376.4+6.9
2 Cividale1311285%78.873.8+5.0
3 Udine1310377%83.873.2+10.6
4 Cantu129375%79.271.9+7.2
5 Urania Milano139469%79.573.2+6.3
6 Sebastiani Rieti138562%73.572.7+0.8
7 Forli137654%76.273.6+2.5
8 Verona137654%77.575.4+2.1
9 Fortitudo Bologna136746%75.874.8+1.0
10 Basket Torino136746%74.175.9-1.8
11 Orzinuovi136746%79.281.0-1.8
12 JuVi Cremona125742%81.281.5-0.3
13 Avellino Basket125742%75.777.5-1.8
14 Brindisi135838%74.875.7-0.9
15 Vigevano124833%77.881.1-3.3
16 Nardo124833%74.982.4-7.5
17 Libertas Livorno134931%73.177.4-4.3
18 Cento134931%70.677.6-7.0
19 Pesaro134931%72.579.7-7.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza1321115%74.781.1-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi1723101666
Nardo1319151158
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