PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alvark vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 83-81
19-18 18-20 23-15 23-28
Position#2
Record28-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.3
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record13-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.2
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Gymnasium (Tokyo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alvark v Osaka
13 Apr 2025
ALVA82
OSAK47
12 Apr 2025
ALVA66
OSAK68
28 Jan 2024
ALVA83
OSAK81
27 Jan 2024
ALVA77
OSAK68
05 Feb 2023
ALVA68
OSAK61
04 Feb 2023
ALVA74
OSAK66
23 Jan 2022
ALVA99
OSAK71
22 Jan 2022
ALVA90
OSAK77
03 Jan 2021
ALVA67
OSAK73
02 Jan 2021
ALVA83
OSAK79
27 Jan 2019
ALVA83
OSAK72
26 Jan 2019
ALVA85
OSAK70
10 Dec 2017
ALVA79
OSAK69
09 Dec 2017
ALVA99
OSAK55
11 Mar 2017
ALVA75
OSAK58
10 Mar 2017
ALVA71
OSAK70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 78
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
59-82
59
82
-23
45avg 78
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
73avg 78
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
99avg 78
A30/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 78
H06/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
99-76
99
76
+23
102avg 78
H07/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 78
H17/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
87-57
87
57
+30
85avg 78
A20/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
81-63
81
63
+18
76avg 78
A21/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
64avg 78
H27/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
26-18
21-14
17-17
21-21
9-25
19-19
10-17
18-14
18-13
13-15
25-26
24-22
21-14
32-8
17-17
23-24
21-20
24-22
26-13
24-25
28-13
21-12
26-26
23-23
26-20
28-14
15-15
25-16
21-16
23-14
18-11
12-12
19-21
22-16
28-14
21-20
18-18
20-16
18-14
153.4Avg total
84.0Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.066.3148.3+15.788%
Season at home (16)80.869.9150.7+10.875%
Season away (16)83.262.7145.9+20.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.069.4153.4+14.690%
Last 5 (5)87.267.2154.4+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)72.565.5138.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)82.266.1148.4+16.189%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
97-95
97
95
+2
102avg 72
H23/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 72
H24/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
82-111
82
111
-29
77avg 72
A30/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 72
A31/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
78avg 72
A06/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
45avg 72
A07/01
B League
Saga
#15
L
69-91
69
91
-22
62avg 72
H17/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
100-89
100
89
+11
104avg 72
H20/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
91-97
91
97
-6
87avg 72
H21/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-77
68
77
-9
66avg 72
A27/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
19-20
26-18
26-31
22-23
24-18
23-12
21-19
22-26
16-41
23-26
21-18
21-22
18-29
27-17
17-21
27-24
27-30
14-23
14-21
18-14
9-29
14-23
12-15
11-25
19-22
19-31
20-13
32-17
24-18
26-35
18-19
17-25
19-23
23-17
32-32
20-21
18-18
16-20
14-18
171.5Avg total
81.5Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.782.2159.9-4.641%
Season at home (18)80.580.3160.8+0.256%
Season away (14)74.084.7158.7-10.721%
Last 10 (10)81.590.0171.5-8.530%
Last 5 (5)76.287.0163.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.083.9154.9-12.911%
vs Similar (9)84.979.9164.8+5.078%
vs Weaker (2)96.584.0180.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
AlvarkOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H07/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/01
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A21/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
B League
79.1Avg total
41.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.433.875.2+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.236.978.1+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.730.271.9+11.593%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.479.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.880.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)30.534.565.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.233.876.0+8.586%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H24/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
38-67
38
67
-29
A30/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A31/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A06/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A07/01
B League
Saga
#15
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H17/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H20/01
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H21/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/01
B League
88.0Avg total
40.9Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.781.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.340.679.9-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.145.283.3-7.17%-
Last 10 (10)40.947.188.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.479.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.844.279.9-8.416%-
vs Similar (9)42.039.981.9+2.144%-
vs Weaker (2)52.042.094.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.4
50.8%
50.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.8
41.9%
33.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
72.0%14.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.6
58.9%
50.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.9
35.4%
33.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
72.0%13.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWWWWWLW
Osaka
LLWLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#18
+22.3
Net rating
-11.5
120.8
Offensive rating
112.4
98.5
Defensive rating
123.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
57.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
39.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
41.9%
3-point %
35.4%
61.3%
Assist %
67.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 112.4Defence98.5 · 123.9Shooting54.8% · 57.0%3-point %41.9% · 35.4%Ball care16.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds39.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Alvark   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alvark wins
1
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Alvark v Osaka77-68
05/02/23Alvark v Osaka68-61
04/02/23Alvark v Osaka74-66
23/01/22Alvark v Osaka99-71
22/01/22Alvark v Osaka90-77
03/01/21Alvark v Osaka67-73
02/01/21Alvark v Osaka83-79
25/10/20Osaka v Alvark77-85
24/10/20Osaka v Alvark69-97
30/12/19Osaka v Alvark55-62
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HOsaka77-68
21/01/24AShinshu81-63
20/01/24AShinshu87-57
17/01/24HSendai92-72
07/01/24HBrave Thunders99-76
06/01/24HBrave Thunders94-79
30/12/23ASaga94-61
29/12/23ASaga74-68
24/12/23HDiamond Dolphins59-82
23/12/23HDiamond Dolphins83-68
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AAlvark68-77
21/01/24HYokohama91-97
20/01/24HYokohama100-89
17/01/24HSaga69-91
07/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex53-81
06/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex82-98
31/12/23AShimane83-89
30/12/23AShimane82-111
24/12/23HNagasaki90-72
23/12/23HNagasaki97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game82.080.883.2
Allowed / game66.369.962.7
Point differential+15.7+10.8+20.5
Avg total148.3150.7145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%69%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %41%56%21%
Points / game77.780.574.0
Allowed / game82.280.384.7
Point differential-4.6+0.2-10.7
Avg total159.9160.8158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%28%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3329488%90.877.0+13.8
2 Alvark3228488%82.066.3+15.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%78.268.5+9.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa32211166%82.976.8+6.0
5 Ryukyu32211166%79.476.4+3.0
6 Shimane33211264%85.077.8+7.2
7 Chiba33201361%85.882.9+2.8
8 Diamond Dolphins32191359%81.379.2+2.1
9 Brave Thunders33191458%79.977.2+2.7
10 Saga32181456%76.274.3+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%77.675.7+1.9
12 Hiroshima D.32171553%78.373.2+5.1
13 Akita33161748%73.174.7-1.6
14 Gunma32151747%77.881.7-3.9
15 Sendai32141844%79.580.5-1.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%71.174.8-3.7
17 Nagasaki33141942%81.183.9-2.8
18 Yokohama33141942%76.882.7-6.0
19 Osaka32131941%77.782.2-4.6
20 Kyoto32102231%78.084.3-6.3
21 Hokkaido33102330%74.779.9-5.2
22 Shinshu3362718%71.384.2-12.8
23 Toyama3342912%74.285.3-11.2
24 Ibaraki Robots323299%73.986.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark1918232383
Osaka1820152881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.